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Championship · Matchweek 26

Momentum

PortsmouthIpswich Town
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
26

Venue

Stadium
Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Capacity
20,688
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,251

Teams

Coaches
John Mousinho · Kieran McKenna
Position
21 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Farai Hallam

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
12.1° (feels 11.8°)
Wind
1.8
Humidity
91%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Portsmouth

LLDDW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 5.76–5.69 · xPts 6.68

  • W A Middlesbrough 1–0 xG 0.66–1.53 UK CHAMP
  • D H Oxford United 2–2 xG 0.97–0.89 UK CHAMP
  • D A Norwich City 1–1 xG 0.47–0.54 UK CHAMP
  • L A Queens Park Rangers 1–6 xG 1.49–1.43 UK CHAMP
  • L H Derby County 0–1 xG 2.18–1.29 UK CHAMP

Ipswich Town

DWDWW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 10 GA 5 · xG 9.33–6.28 · xPts 9.02

  • W A Norwich City 2–0 xG 2.05–0.9 UK CHAMP
  • W H Birmingham City 2–1 xG 1.28–0.53 UK CHAMP
  • D H Millwall 1–1 xG 2.07–1.52 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 2–0 xG 2.69–0.47 UK CHAMP
  • D A Stoke City 3–3 xG 1.24–2.87 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 11 matches since 2006

Portsmouth 62 draws3 Ipswich Town

Goals 14–9 · 2.09 per match · BTTS 36% · over 2.5 36%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Portsmouth 52 draws3 Ipswich Town

Goals 13–9 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Portsmouth 31 draws1 Ipswich Town

Goals 10–7 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Portsmouth 2–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Ipswich Town 2–1 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 2–3 Portsmouth aet UK FA Cup · 1st Round
  • W Portsmouth 2–1 Ipswich Town UK FA Cup · 3rd Round Replays
  • D Ipswich Town 2–2 Portsmouth UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
  • L Portsmouth 0–1 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Ipswich Town 1–0 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 0–2 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Portsmouth 0–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 0–1 Portsmouth UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
MetricPortsmouth all · 46Portsmouth at home · 23Ipswich Town all · 46Ipswich Town away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.201.301.831.48
W / D / L14 / 13 / 198 / 6 / 923 / 15 / 89 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.071.091.741.61
Goals against / match1.391.001.021.30
Clean sheets22%26%37%30%
Failed to score28%30%13%17%
Both teams scored54%48%56%61%
Over 2.544%39%52%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.461.831.59
xG against / match1.241.121.031.22
xG difference-0.060.340.800.36
Finishing vs xG-0.11-0.37-0.090.02
xPts / match1.361.601.881.61
Points vs xPts-0.16-0.30-0.06-0.13
Game state
Scored first46%48%54%39%
PPG when scoring first2.192.272.682.78
PPG when conceding first0.300.360.780.58
Came back from behind27%31%60%46%
Leads held64%67%79%75%
Minutes leading18%23%33%21%
Minutes level51%51%50%53%
Minutes trailing31%27%17%26%
First goal (min)50454050
First goal conceded (min)41454035
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%56%59%76%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%56%51%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.280.350.500.52
Late goals against0.280.130.130.22
Style
Possession50%54%56%56%
Shots12.215.415.113.7
On target3.74.45.14.5
Shot conversion9%7%12%12%
Shots inside box65%67%67%66%
Big chances created1.61.82.82.2
Corners5.66.35.75.2
xG from set plays40%41%32%36%
Goals from headers16%20%12%19%
Pressure index11.714.818.816.9
Dominant minutes49.757.062.357.8
Pass accuracy74%74%81%80%
Fouls10.29.811.212.0
Cards1.931.741.932.48

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Portsmouth

0–15'59
16–30'512
31–45'98
46–60'814
61–75'98
76–90'1313

Ipswich Town

0–15'124
16–30'56
31–45'1613
46–60'149
61–75'109
76–90'236

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Portsmouth · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.016
Early press (0-15, level)-0.056
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.403

Game state

When ahead+0.163
When level+0.056
When behind-0.153
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.024

Situations

At home-0.013
Away+0.033
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.052
v bottom-tier opponents+0.044
Evenly matched-0.004

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.013
Conceded late (76+)-0.286

Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level +0.11 · Behind vs level -0.20

Ipswich Town · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.494
Late push (76+, level)-0.762

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.364
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.143

Situations

At home-0.202
Away-0.302
4+ days rest-0.254

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
v mid-tier opponents-0.282
As underdog-0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.034
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)-0.123

Ahead vs level +0.36 · Behind vs level +0.12

Portsmouth

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-143 94%1.261.091.31.181.23
3-4-2-12 4%0.51.01.51.461.28
3-4-31 2%0.00.05.00.341.67

Ipswich Town

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.841.761.021.841.03
4-4-1-11 2%1.01.01.01.271.19

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.5Home 27% P 26%3.5Draw 27% P 28%2.05Away 46% P 46%

Double Chance

1.8Portsmouth or Draw 26% P 25%1.28Portsmouth or Ipswich 37% P 37%1.25Draw or Ipswich 37% P 39%

Draw No Bet

2.751 34%1.42 66%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49% P 49%1.8No 51% P 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 44%1.66Under 57% P 56%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.2Over 42% P 39%1.61Under 58% P 61%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 45–47.5% · 466 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home26%26%26%-0.3
Draw28%28%28%+0.2
Away46%46%46%+0.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 51%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes49%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Farai Hallam

Career
52 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
3.58 (3.52 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
21.9 · 6.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.12
Cards to home side
36%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 36 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.04.05-0.1049
Fouls / match23.021.8+1.03
Fouls per card6.15.4+0.76 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.110.17-0.9412
Time added7.17.2-0.1343
First card
35' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
36% (league 45%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-11 20 131 2'8
2026-04-04 10 201 33'3
2026-03-20 30 190 26'8
2026-03-14 50 261 53'8
2026-03-06 30 200 17'9
2026-02-28 30 150 17'7
2026-02-21 10 200 39'10
2026-02-13 40 160 45'4
2026-02-11 30 190 35'7
2026-01-31 50 260 30'7