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Championship · Matchweek 27
Ipswich TownIpswich Town
3–0
FT
Blackburn RoversBBR

Momentum

– Ipswich TownBBR –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
27

Venue

Stadium
Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich
Capacity
29,673
Surface
grass
Attendance
26,715

Teams

Coaches
Kieran McKenna · Valérien Ismaël
Position
3 · 20
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-1-4-2

Referee

Andrew Kitchen

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
9.9° (feels 8.7°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
92%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Ipswich Town

WDWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 3 · xG 11.38–4.65 · xPts 10.65

  • W H Blackpool 2–1 xG 3.55–1.42 UK FA Cup
  • W H Oxford United 2–1 xG 1.84–0.9 UK CHAMP
  • W A Coventry City 2–0 xG 1.56–0.91 UK CHAMP
  • D A Millwall 0–0 xG 1.1–0.61 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 3–1 xG 3.32–0.8 UK CHAMP

Blackburn Rovers

DDLDD 0W 4D 1L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 2 GA 4 · xG 5.47–5.15 · xPts 7.11

  • D A Hull City 0–0 lost on pens None–None xG 1.01–1.57 UK FA Cup
  • D H Charlton Athletic 2–2 xG 1.37–1.47 UK CHAMP
  • L H Wrexham 0–2 xG 0.92–0.79 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield Wednesday 0–0 xG 0.81–0.38 UK CHAMP
  • D A Middlesbrough 0–0 xG 1.35–0.93 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 18 matches since 2001

Ipswich Town 66 draws6 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 25–24 · 2.72 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 39%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Ipswich Town 53 draws2 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 16–12 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Ipswich Town 31 draws1 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 9–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Ipswich Town 3–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Blackburn Rovers 1–1 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 0–1 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 4–3 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 2–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 2–2 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 3–2 Blackburn Rovers neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Blackburn Rovers 0–0 Ipswich Town neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 2–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 2–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricIpswich Town all · 46Ipswich Town at home · 23Blackburn Rovers all · 46Blackburn Rovers away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.832.171.131.35
W / D / L23 / 15 / 814 / 8 / 113 / 13 / 209 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match1.741.870.911.00
Goals against / match1.020.741.221.26
Clean sheets37%44%26%30%
Failed to score13%9%35%39%
Both teams scored56%52%48%39%
Over 2.552%56%39%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.832.071.201.13
xG against / match1.030.841.301.45
xG difference0.801.23-0.10-0.31
Finishing vs xG-0.09-0.20-0.28-0.13
xPts / match1.882.161.321.19
Points vs xPts-0.060.02-0.190.16
Game state
Scored first54%70%46%52%
PPG when scoring first2.682.621.762.17
PPG when conceding first0.781.170.520.33
Came back from behind60%86%26%9%
Leads held79%82%56%69%
Minutes leading33%45%21%28%
Minutes level50%48%55%48%
Minutes trailing17%8%24%24%
First goal (min)40324436
First goal conceded (min)40464944
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%44%48%39%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%59%59%66%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.480.220.09
Late goals against0.130.040.390.35
Style
Possession56%56%48%47%
Shots15.116.511.511.4
On target5.15.73.23.1
Shot conversion12%11%8%9%
Shots inside box67%68%67%66%
Big chances created2.83.52.02.2
Corners5.76.25.34.9
xG from set plays32%29%27%24%
Goals from headers12%5%27%27%
Pressure index18.820.710.19.4
Dominant minutes62.366.744.643.4
Pass accuracy81%81%74%75%
Fouls11.210.310.511.3
Cards1.931.392.172.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Ipswich Town

0–15'124
16–30'56
31–45'1613
46–60'149
61–75'109
76–90'236

Blackburn Rovers

0–15'54
16–30'67
31–45'1112
46–60'69
61–75'46
76–90'1018

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Ipswich Town · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.494
Late push (76+, level)-0.762

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.364
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.143

Situations

At home-0.202
Away-0.302
4+ days rest-0.254

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
v mid-tier opponents-0.282
As underdog-0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.034
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)-0.123

Ahead vs level +0.36 · Behind vs level +0.12

Blackburn Rovers · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.512
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.353

Game state

When ahead-0.145
When level+0.067
When behind+0.155
10 min after conceding+0.236
10 min after scoring+0.556

Situations

At home+0.004
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.282
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.016
Evenly matched+0.125
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.067
Conceded when ahead+0.045
Conceded late (76+)-0.057

Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.09

Ipswich Town

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.841.761.021.841.03
4-4-1-11 2%1.01.01.01.271.19

Blackburn Rovers

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-1-217 37%1.060.941.291.311.11
4-2-3-113 28%1.080.921.231.131.34
3-4-2-112 26%1.170.831.081.151.35
3-5-22 4%1.51.51.01.062.12
5-3-21 2%3.01.00.01.330.18

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.5Home 62% P 64%4.1Draw 23% P 22%6.25Away 15% P 14%

Double Chance

1.1Ipswich or Draw 43% P 43%1.2Ipswich or Blackburn 39% P 39%2.62Draw or Blackburn 18% P 18%

Draw No Bet

1.141 83%5.52 17%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 46% P 45%1.72No 54% P 55%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 48%1.83Under 50% P 52%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 62.5–65% · away 12.5–15% · 544 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home64%64%63%-0.9
Draw22%22%24%+2.1
Away14%14%13%-1.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 55%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes45%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Andrew Kitchen

Career
95 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
3.09 (3.01 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
22.4 · 7.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.18
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 78 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.334.05-1.318
Fouls / match22.821.8+0.84
Fouls per card7.05.4+2.15 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.17+0.0155
Time added7.57.2+0.3357
First card
43' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-26 30 191 65'6
2025-12-13 70 170 56'9
2025-12-10 10 141 57'7
2025-12-04 40 220 8'6
2025-11-25 20 300 82'5
2025-11-22 51 190 28'8
2025-11-08 30 260 49'8
2025-11-01 30 221 23'5
2025-10-25 30 170 44'7
2025-10-18 30 100 10'10