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Championship · Matchweek 27
SouthamptonSouthampton
1–2
FT
Hull CityHull City

Momentum

– SouthamptonHull City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
27

Venue

Stadium
St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
Capacity
32,384
Surface
grass
Attendance
27,117

Teams

Coaches
Tonda Eckert · Sergej Jakirović
Position
15 · 7
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Samuel Allison

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
8.7° (feels 7.2°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
93%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Southampton

LDDLW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 9 · xG 6.64–8.13 · xPts 5.91

  • W A Doncaster Rovers 3–2 xG 1.18–1.73 UK FA Cup
  • L A Middlesbrough 0–4 xG 1.15–1.96 UK CHAMP
  • D H Millwall 0–0 xG 1.06–1.4 UK CHAMP
  • D A Birmingham City 1–1 xG 1.53–1.61 UK CHAMP
  • L A Oxford United 1–2 xG 1.72–1.43 UK CHAMP

Hull City

WDWLD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 3 · xG 6.65–6.61 · xPts 6.94

  • D H Blackburn Rovers 0–0 won on pens None–None xG 1.57–1.01 UK FA Cup
  • L H Stoke City 0–1 xG 1.67–1.79 UK CHAMP
  • W A Middlesbrough 1–0 xG 0.52–1.73 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield Wednesday 2–2 xG 1.42–0.96 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 1–0 xG 1.47–1.13 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 18 matches since 2005

Southampton 94 draws5 Hull City

Goals 28–21 · 2.72 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 56%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Southampton 51 draws4 Hull City

Goals 14–11 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Southampton 11 draws3 Hull City

Goals 5–8 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Southampton 1–2 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 3–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 1–2 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 1–2 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 0–0 Hull City UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 2–1 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 2–0 Hull City UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 0–1 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 0–1 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 4–1 Hull City UK PL · Regular Season
MetricSouthampton all · 48Southampton at home · 24Hull City all · 49Hull City away · 24
Results
Matches48244924
Points per game1.751.961.631.58
W / D / L23 / 15 / 1013 / 8 / 323 / 11 / 1511 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match1.751.671.491.54
Goals against / match1.190.831.351.33
Clean sheets25%42%29%29%
Failed to score12%17%18%12%
Both teams scored71%54%61%62%
Over 2.562%54%61%67%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.711.781.371.27
xG against / match1.331.091.661.91
xG difference0.380.69-0.29-0.63
Finishing vs xG0.04-0.110.120.27
xPts / match1.591.781.251.09
Points vs xPts0.160.180.380.49
Game state
Scored first52%50%57%67%
PPG when scoring first2.242.672.182.00
PPG when conceding first1.261.330.880.71
Came back from behind54%67%35%33%
Leads held72%81%72%65%
Minutes leading34%36%30%32%
Minutes level49%48%53%52%
Minutes trailing18%16%17%16%
First goal (min)40393233
First goal conceded (min)44404044
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%49%45%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%55%52%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.250.270.33
Late goals against0.270.170.310.38
Style
Possession56%58%45%43%
Shots14.415.811.111.0
On target5.35.54.14.3
Shot conversion12%11%13%14%
Shots inside box68%66%68%68%
Big chances created2.92.92.22.3
Corners5.86.54.44.6
xG from set plays28%26%21%13%
Goals from headers22%25%14%19%
Pressure index17.921.19.37.6
Dominant minutes59.063.839.832.6
Pass accuracy83%84%72%71%
Fouls10.79.811.211.5
Cards1.881.632.553.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Southampton

0–15'135
16–30'178
31–45'79
46–60'1710
61–75'1212
76–90'1713

Hull City

0–15'117
16–30'1413
31–45'1512
46–60'910
61–75'119
76–90'1315

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.59

Hull City · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133

Situations

At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.583
Conceded late (76+)+0.274

Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 42%2.051.950.951.521.23
3-4-2-117 35%1.181.651.651.951.44
3-4-34 8%1.51.51.51.071.7
5-4-12 4%2.01.50.02.420.33
4-2-2-22 4%2.02.01.52.560.86

Hull City

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 74%1.641.611.441.491.76
3-4-2-16 12%1.51.01.171.091.37
3-4-1-22 4%0.51.52.01.251.52
4-4-22 4%3.01.50.51.091.08
4-3-31 2%1.00.00.00.561.69

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.57Home 60% P 59%3.9Draw 24% P 23%5.75Away 16% P 18%

Double Chance

1.14Southampton or Draw 41% P 41%1.22Southampton or Hull 38% P 39%2.3Draw or Hull 20% P 21%

Draw No Bet

1.21 78%4.332 22%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 55%2.0No 46% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 57%2.2Under 43% P 43%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 34%3.612 - 14 25%6.5Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 57.5–60% · away 17.5–20% · 511 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home59%59%60%+1.3
Draw23%23%24%+1.3
Away18%18%16%-2.6

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 57%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Samuel Allison

Career
80 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
3.88 (3.8 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
22.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.15
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 64 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.834.05-0.4029
Fouls / match22.121.8+0.25
Fouls per card5.95.4+0.47 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.110.17-0.9710
Time added7.37.2+0.1053
First card
33' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-04 –– 23– –12
2025-12-26 20 260 11'4
2025-12-20 60 270 25'6
2025-12-09 · Southampton 40 250 8'9
2025-11-29 30 230 31'7
2025-11-08 20 220 30'11
2025-11-01 40 260 63'9
2025-10-18 20 220 18'6
2025-10-01 50 170 28'8
2025-04-21 71 250 27'13