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Championship · Matchweek 27
Stoke CityStoke City
0–0
FT
Queens Park RangersQPR

Momentum

– Stoke CityQPR –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
27

Venue

Stadium
Bet365 Stadium, Stoke
Capacity
30,089
Surface
grass
Attendance
22,045

Teams

Coaches
Mark Robins · Julien Stéphan
Position
8 · 11
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Matt Donohue

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
6.4° (feels 3.4°)
Wind
4.3
Humidity
93%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Stoke City

DLWWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 2 · xG 7.76–7.08 · xPts 7.59

  • W H Coventry City 1–0 xG 2.6–1.55 UK FA Cup
  • W A Norwich City 2–0 xG 1.59–0.62 UK CHAMP
  • W A Hull City 1–0 xG 1.79–1.67 UK CHAMP
  • L H Sheffield United 1–2 xG 0.77–2.63 UK CHAMP
  • D H Preston North End 0–0 xG 1.02–0.61 UK CHAMP

Queens Park Rangers

DLLWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 4.07–6.51 · xPts 5.62

  • L A West Ham United 1–2 aet xG 0.8–2.39 UK FA Cup
  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 3–0 xG 1.51–0.11 UK CHAMP
  • L H Norwich City 1–2 xG 0.88–1.35 UK CHAMP
  • L A West Bromwich Albion 1–2 xG 0.18–2.13 UK CHAMP
  • D A Portsmouth 1–1 xG 0.7–0.54 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 28 matches since 2005

Stoke City 108 draws10 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 33–33 · 2.36 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Stoke City 43 draws3 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 10–8 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Stoke City 22 draws1 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 5–3 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Stoke City 0–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 1–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 3–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Queens Park Rangers 1–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 1–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 4–2 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 0–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Queens Park Rangers 0–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 1–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 0–2 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricStoke City all · 46Stoke City at home · 23Queens Park Rangers all · 46Queens Park Rangers away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.201.431.261.09
W / D / L15 / 10 / 219 / 6 / 816 / 10 / 206 / 7 / 10
Goals for / match1.111.481.330.91
Goals against / match1.221.221.591.57
Clean sheets28%26%22%26%
Failed to score37%22%28%39%
Both teams scored44%61%63%52%
Over 2.544%56%63%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.241.441.300.98
xG against / match1.431.191.331.45
xG difference-0.190.26-0.03-0.47
Finishing vs xG-0.130.030.02-0.07
xPts / match1.281.551.371.07
Points vs xPts-0.08-0.12-0.110.02
Game state
Scored first44%52%33%17%
PPG when scoring first2.252.172.473.00
PPG when conceding first0.270.560.600.60
Came back from behind22%38%26%33%
Leads held71%69%84%100%
Minutes leading24%31%20%10%
Minutes level50%48%46%48%
Minutes trailing27%21%34%42%
First goal (min)37344550
First goal conceded (min)44473423
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%50%57%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%75%48%28%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.260.390.26
Late goals against0.350.350.260.04
Style
Possession52%53%46%45%
Shots11.212.712.711.1
On target3.84.74.13.2
Shot conversion10%12%10%8%
Shots inside box65%67%63%63%
Big chances created1.82.11.81.2
Corners6.06.44.84.3
xG from set plays28%34%31%34%
Goals from headers16%15%17%20%
Pressure index13.316.311.77.9
Dominant minutes52.757.346.738.9
Pass accuracy78%79%76%76%
Fouls10.410.611.010.8
Cards2.302.261.911.70

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Stoke City

0–15'88
16–30'55
31–45'108
46–60'1314
61–75'85
76–90'716

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'712
16–30'711
31–45'1215
46–60'716
61–75'107
76–90'1812

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Stoke City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807

Situations

At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.325
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

Stoke City

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-141 89%1.241.11.151.21.34
3-4-2-13 6%1.331.331.331.762.14
4-4-22 4%0.01.02.51.292.17

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-123 50%1.391.261.481.321.24
4-4-223 50%1.131.391.71.281.42

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 46% P 45%3.25Draw 29% P 28%3.8Away 25% P 27%

Double Chance

1.28Stoke or Draw 37% P 37%1.36Stoke or QPR 35% P 36%1.66Draw or QPR 28% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 50%1.83No 50% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 44%1.66Under 57% P 56%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 25–27.5% · 725 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home45%44%44%-0.2
Draw28%30%28%-1.4
Away27%26%28%+1.6

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Matt Donohue

Career
202 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.26 (4.07 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
23.4 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 134 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.634.05+1.0590
Fouls / match23.021.8+0.99
Fouls per card5.05.4-0.77 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.4126
Time added7.27.2-0.0247
First card
36' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-07 30 261 43'7
2025-12-29 30 250 41'6
2025-12-26 50 260 46'4
2025-12-20 60 271 19'7
2025-12-12 10 180 65'6
2025-11-28 –– 18– –7
2025-11-22 · Stoke City 80 270 20'6
2025-11-01 40 290 41'9
2025-10-21 30 200 52'11
2025-10-17 40 261 20'6