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Championship · Matchweek 27

Momentum

WBAMID
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
27

Venue

Stadium
The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
Capacity
26,445
Surface
grass
Attendance
23,568

Teams

Coaches
Eric Ramsay · Kim Hellberg
Position
18 · 2
Formation
5-4-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Joshua Smith

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
5.0° (feels 5.0°)
Wind
0.5
Humidity
96%

Where to watch · 364

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

West Bromwich Albion

LWLLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 8.47–5.89 · xPts 8.73

  • D A Swansea City 2–2 won on pens None–None xG 1.8–2.52 UK FA Cup
  • L A Leicester City 1–2 xG 1.48–1.3 UK CHAMP
  • L A Swansea City 0–1 xG 1.6–0.92 UK CHAMP
  • W H Queens Park Rangers 2–1 xG 2.13–0.18 UK CHAMP
  • L H Bristol City 1–2 xG 1.46–0.97 UK CHAMP

Middlesbrough

DLLWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 7.12–5.91 · xPts 7.86

  • L A Fulham 1–3 xG 1.28–2.33 UK FA Cup
  • W H Southampton 4–0 xG 1.96–1.15 UK CHAMP
  • L A Derby County 0–1 xG 1.22–0.55 UK CHAMP
  • L H Hull City 0–1 xG 1.73–0.52 UK CHAMP
  • D H Blackburn Rovers 0–0 xG 0.93–1.35 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 29 matches since 2002

West Bromwich Albion 87 draws14 Middlesbrough

Goals 35–41 · 2.62 per match · BTTS 45% · over 2.5 45%

Last 10 · 10 matches

West Bromwich Albion 21 draws7 Middlesbrough

Goals 12–17 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

West Bromwich Albion 00 draws5 Middlesbrough

Goals 4–11 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Middlesbrough 3–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L West Bromwich Albion 2–3 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 2–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 2–0 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L West Bromwich Albion 0–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 1–0 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W West Bromwich Albion 4–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W West Bromwich Albion 2–0 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Middlesbrough 1–1 West Bromwich Albion neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 2–1 West Bromwich Albion neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricWest Bromwich Albion all · 46West Bromwich Albion at home · 23Middlesbrough all · 49Middlesbrough away · 25
Results
Matches46234925
Points per game1.151.481.651.52
W / D / L13 / 14 / 198 / 10 / 522 / 15 / 1210 / 8 / 7
Goals for / match1.041.221.491.56
Goals against / match1.261.091.021.28
Clean sheets30%35%29%16%
Failed to score33%30%26%24%
Both teams scored50%52%55%64%
Over 2.546%44%53%64%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.441.671.591.55
xG against / match1.050.781.051.15
xG difference0.390.890.530.40
Finishing vs xG-0.40-0.45-0.100.01
xPts / match1.621.951.701.60
Points vs xPts-0.47-0.48-0.04-0.08
Game state
Scored first41%52%53%52%
PPG when scoring first2.052.002.462.31
PPG when conceding first0.380.860.670.64
Came back from behind17%29%46%50%
Leads held62%57%79%71%
Minutes leading25%32%32%31%
Minutes level50%52%49%47%
Minutes trailing25%16%19%22%
First goal (min)42383736
First goal conceded (min)45504645
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half52%54%51%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%64%55%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.170.220.28
Late goals against0.260.300.290.28
Style
Possession52%54%59%58%
Shots13.415.216.215.3
On target4.14.74.84.5
Shot conversion8%8%9%10%
Shots inside box65%63%64%65%
Big chances created2.12.42.42.5
Corners5.26.16.85.8
xG from set plays36%41%24%18%
Goals from headers26%22%12%10%
Pressure index13.416.319.718.4
Dominant minutes52.957.363.163.2
Pass accuracy80%81%84%84%
Fouls10.210.19.39.5
Cards1.831.611.612.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

West Bromwich Albion

0–15'66
16–30'89
31–45'912
46–60'511
61–75'88
76–90'1212

Middlesbrough

0–15'97
16–30'1010
31–45'175
46–60'136
61–75'138
76–90'1113

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

West Bromwich Albion · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.147
Early press (0-15, level)+0.027
Late push (76+, level)-0.292

Game state

When ahead+0.085
When level+0.197
When behind-0.033
10 min after conceding-0.105
10 min after scoring+0.387

Situations

At home+0.274
Away-0.043
3 days rest or fewer+0.052
4+ days rest+0.175

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.003
v bottom-tier opponents+0.234
As favourite+0.224
As underdog-0.072

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.047
Conceded when ahead-0.165
Conceded late (76+)-0.257

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.11 · Behind vs level -0.22

Middlesbrough · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697

Situations

At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417

Congested vs rested +0.62 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77

West Bromwich Albion

Current: unbeaten 4 · winless 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 52%1.251.171.291.480.98
4-4-217 37%1.291.00.821.521.08
3-4-2-13 6%0.00.03.00.861.62
5-4-12 4%0.51.52.01.180.75

Middlesbrough

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 29%1.431.140.931.521.11
4-2-3-111 22%2.452.00.731.541.13
4-2-2-28 16%0.750.630.881.921.08
4-4-25 10%2.42.41.61.131.07
4-1-4-13 6%1.672.00.672.480.61

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.45Home 39% P 39%3.3Draw 29% P 28%2.87Away 33% P 33%

Double Chance

1.36West Brom or Draw 35% P 34%1.33West Brom or Middlesbrough 35% P 36%1.57Draw or Middlesbrough 30% P 31%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 54%1.83No 50% P 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 47%1.72Under 55% P 53%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.9Over 49%1.8Under 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 32.5–35% · 571 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home39%39%39%+0.5
Draw28%28%28%-0.0
Away33%34%33%-0.4

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes54%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Joshua Smith

Career
156 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.09 (3.95 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 122 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.34.05+0.4563
Fouls / match22.121.8+0.21
Fouls per card5.35.4-0.42 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.17+0.2667
Time added6.97.2-0.3735
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-10 12 7
2026-01-01 50 170 15'7
2025-12-26 50 220 19'9
2025-12-09 50 260 29'10
2025-12-06 50 220 19'9
2025-11-29 60 270 76'8
2025-11-22 20 170 49'5
2025-11-01 30 200 28'7
2025-10-25 · West Bromwich Albion 20 200 75'7
2025-10-18 40 250 34'8