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Championship · Matchweek 27
WrexhamWrexham
1–2
FT
Norwich CityNorwich City

Momentum

– WrexhamNorwich City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
27

Venue

Stadium
Racecourse Ground, Racecourse Ground
Capacity
10,771
Surface
grass
Attendance
10,650

Teams

Coaches
Phil Parkinson · Philippe Clement
Position
9 · 22
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Will Finnie

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
6.3° (feels 6.3°)
Wind
0.0
Humidity
88%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Wrexham

WWWWD 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 14 GA 8 · xG 9.13–8.56 · xPts 7.25

  • D H Nottingham Forest 3–3 won on pens None–None xG 2.08–3.04 UK FA Cup
  • W A Derby County 2–1 xG 1.18–1.19 UK CHAMP
  • W A Blackburn Rovers 2–0 xG 0.79–0.92 UK CHAMP
  • W H Preston North End 2–1 xG 2.69–1.24 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield United 5–3 xG 2.4–2.17 UK CHAMP

Norwich City

WLWLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 5 · xG 7.79–3.53 · xPts 9.3

  • W H Walsall 5–1 xG 3.11–0.2 UK FA Cup
  • L H Stoke City 0–2 xG 0.62–1.59 UK CHAMP
  • W A Queens Park Rangers 2–1 xG 1.35–0.88 UK CHAMP
  • L H Watford 0–1 xG 0.9–0.5 UK CHAMP
  • W H Charlton Athletic 1–0 xG 1.81–0.36 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Wrexham 10 draws1 Norwich City

Goals 4–4 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Wrexham 10 draws1 Norwich City

Goals 4–4 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Wrexham 10 draws1 Norwich City

Goals 4–4 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L Wrexham 1–2 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 2–3 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricWrexham all · 46Wrexham at home · 23Norwich City all · 46Norwich City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.541.611.411.52
W / D / L19 / 14 / 1310 / 7 / 619 / 8 / 1910 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match1.501.781.371.57
Goals against / match1.411.611.221.22
Clean sheets26%22%20%22%
Failed to score13%4%20%13%
Both teams scored65%74%61%65%
Over 2.550%56%48%52%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.541.351.30
xG against / match1.481.281.461.64
xG difference-0.260.26-0.10-0.35
Finishing vs xG0.280.240.020.27
xPts / match1.221.541.351.23
Points vs xPts0.320.070.060.29
Game state
Scored first52%56%52%56%
PPG when scoring first2.082.232.082.08
PPG when conceding first0.950.800.680.80
Came back from behind46%50%27%33%
Leads held63%62%68%67%
Minutes leading31%30%28%32%
Minutes level46%43%48%42%
Minutes trailing23%26%24%26%
First goal (min)37384236
First goal conceded (min)40374641
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%49%57%56%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%51%59%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.370.480.260.30
Late goals against0.410.350.300.30
Style
Possession48%51%54%52%
Shots11.314.112.611.5
On target3.84.84.54.4
Shot conversion13%13%11%14%
Shots inside box66%68%64%66%
Big chances created2.32.82.32.1
Corners4.55.25.35.0
xG from set plays32%36%25%23%
Goals from headers29%38%10%11%
Pressure index10.113.112.510.8
Dominant minutes41.951.353.247.7
Pass accuracy78%80%79%78%
Fouls9.78.810.210.4
Cards1.591.261.932.30

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Wrexham

0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1212
46–60'138
61–75'79
76–90'1719

Norwich City

0–15'78
16–30'87
31–45'128
46–60'913
61–75'156
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Wrexham · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135

Situations

At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04

Norwich City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.66

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364

Game state

When ahead+0.124
When level-0.147
When behind-0.054
10 min after conceding-0.277
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home-0.213
Away+0.114
3 days rest or fewer+0.072
4+ days rest-0.065

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.025
v bottom-tier opponents-0.142
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched+0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.027
Conceded when ahead-0.134
Conceded late (76+)-0.146

Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.10

Wrexham

Current: winless 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 50%1.611.571.391.171.25
3-5-28 17%0.50.881.880.962.43
3-5-1-16 13%1.51.171.51.641.12
3-1-4-23 6%2.332.00.670.91.43
3-4-1-23 6%1.671.331.01.341.59

Norwich City

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-138 83%1.451.391.181.291.43
3-4-2-15 11%1.41.41.21.551.6
3-4-32 4%0.01.02.51.911.56
3-2-4-11 2%3.01.00.01.861.51

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.15Home 44% P 43%3.5Draw 27% P 27%3.25Away 29% P 29%

Double Chance

1.33Wrexham or Draw 35% P 35%1.28Wrexham or Norwich 37% P 36%1.66Draw or Norwich 28% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 57%2.1No 44% P 43%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54% P 54%2.0Under 46% P 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home43%44%43%-0.3
Draw27%28%30%+2.4
Away29%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes57%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Will Finnie

Career
41 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
3.68 (3.56 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
21.1 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 26 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.04.05-0.1049
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.99
Fouls per card5.45.4-0.24 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3435
Time added8.07.2+0.9178
First card
36' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 26% in last 15'
Cards to home side
40% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-11 70 330 31'12
2026-01-01 50 210 27'6
2025-12-26 40 240 16'9
2025-05-03 · Norwich City 51 221 10'5
2025-04-08 70 210 23'2
2025-02-28 20 230 52'13
2025-02-15 20 200 45'17
2025-02-11 50 180 11'6
2025-02-08 30 320 51'5
2025-02-01 20 210 60'8