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Championship · Matchweek 28
Coventry CityCVC
2–1
FT
MillwallMillwall

Momentum

– CVCMillwall –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
28

Venue

Stadium
The Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry
Capacity
32,609
Surface
grass
Attendance
28,605

Teams

Coaches
Frank Lampard · Alex Neil
Position
1 · 4
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-1-1

Referee

Andrew Kitchen

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
7.0° (feels 2.9°)
Wind
7.7
Humidity
90%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Coventry City

LDLLW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 8.6–7.73 · xPts 7.47

  • W H Leicester City 2–1 xG 2.5–1.28 UK CHAMP
  • L A Stoke City 0–1 xG 1.55–2.6 UK FA Cup
  • L A Birmingham City 2–3 xG 1.31–0.85 UK CHAMP
  • D A Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 2.31–1.43 UK CHAMP
  • L H Ipswich Town 0–2 xG 0.91–1.56 UK CHAMP

Millwall

WDWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 7.28–6.76 · xPts 7.61

  • W A Watford 2–0 xG 1.37–0.42 UK CHAMP
  • L A Burnley 1–5 xG 1.07–3.08 UK FA Cup
  • W H Swansea City 2–1 xG 2.38–1.06 UK CHAMP
  • D A Southampton 0–0 xG 1.4–1.06 UK CHAMP
  • W H Bristol City 2–1 xG 1.07–1.14 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 19 matches since 2005

Coventry City 113 draws5 Millwall

Goals 30–18 · 2.53 per match · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 58%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Coventry City 62 draws2 Millwall

Goals 16–7 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Coventry City 41 draws0 Millwall

Goals 9–2 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Coventry City 2–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 0–4 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Coventry City 0–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 0–1 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Coventry City 2–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 0–3 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Coventry City 1–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 3–2 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Coventry City 0–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Millwall 1–1 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricCoventry City all · 46Coventry City at home · 23Millwall all · 48Millwall away · 24
Results
Matches46234824
Points per game2.072.391.751.75
W / D / L28 / 11 / 717 / 4 / 224 / 12 / 1211 / 9 / 4
Goals for / match2.112.221.331.29
Goals against / match0.980.831.061.00
Clean sheets37%35%40%33%
Failed to score15%17%21%21%
Both teams scored59%61%48%58%
Over 2.563%65%46%42%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.042.351.501.38
xG against / match1.141.091.331.51
xG difference0.901.270.18-0.13
Finishing vs xG0.07-0.14-0.17-0.08
xPts / match1.832.031.471.30
Points vs xPts0.230.360.280.45
Game state
Scored first65%56%52%46%
PPG when scoring first2.433.002.602.64
PPG when conceding first1.551.860.791.00
Came back from behind53%71%43%60%
Leads held80%100%86%85%
Minutes leading38%39%27%20%
Minutes level50%48%56%61%
Minutes trailing12%13%17%18%
First goal (min)33354451
First goal conceded (min)45424342
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half53%59%61%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%47%67%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.480.570.350.38
Late goals against0.170.170.350.25
Style
Possession55%58%48%46%
Shots16.318.012.912.3
On target5.65.84.23.8
Shot conversion13%12%10%10%
Shots inside box72%72%68%65%
Big chances created2.83.22.32.2
Corners5.35.95.75.2
xG from set plays36%34%33%30%
Goals from headers20%14%16%13%
Pressure index17.021.311.99.1
Dominant minutes58.865.344.439.2
Pass accuracy80%82%70%69%
Fouls9.69.512.614.4
Cards1.611.351.902.42

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Coventry City

0–15'155
16–30'106
31–45'216
46–60'189
61–75'1111
76–90'228

Millwall

0–15'66
16–30'96
31–45'105
46–60'1112
61–75'115
76–90'1717

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Coventry City · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.28

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.104
Early press (0-15, level)-0.284
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.242

Game state

When level+0.024
When behind-0.224
10 min after conceding-0.264

Situations

At home+0.102
Away-0.342
4+ days rest-0.104

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.163
As underdog-0.163

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.462

Behind vs level -0.24

Millwall · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.017
Early press (0-15, level)+0.217

Game state

When ahead+0.045
When level+0.017
When behind-0.133
10 min after conceding-0.344
10 min after scoring+0.546

Situations

Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.043
Away-0.044
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest+0.135

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.054
v bottom-tier opponents-0.073
Evenly matched+0.104
As underdog-0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.275
Conceded late (76+)-0.035

Congested vs rested -0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.14

Coventry City

Current: winless 4 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 78%2.142.170.862.091.12
4-4-24 9%2.252.251.51.831.58
3-4-2-11 2%1.01.01.01.40.96
5-4-11 2%1.01.01.01.870.48
3-4-1-21 2%1.01.01.02.311.43

Millwall

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 83%1.81.41.081.541.27
4-4-24 8%1.750.750.751.480.88
4-4-1-12 4%0.51.01.51.252.23
4-1-4-11 2%1.01.01.01.11.34
4-3-1-21 2%3.02.01.01.073.62

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.8Home 52% P 52%3.6Draw 26% P 26%4.2Away 22% P 22%

Double Chance

1.22Coventry or Draw 39% P 39%1.28Coventry or Millwall 37% P 37%1.95Draw or Millwall 24% P 24%

Draw No Bet

1.331 71%3.252 29%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 56%2.0No 46% P 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 54%1.9Under 50% P 46%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 34%3.612 - 14 25%6.5Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 20–22.5% · 722 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home52%51%55%+3.6
Draw26%27%26%-1.4
Away22%21%19%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 47%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes56%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%54%+0.8

Andrew Kitchen

Career
95 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
3.09 (3.01 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
22.4 · 7.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.18
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 78 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.334.05-1.318
Fouls / match22.821.8+0.84
Fouls per card7.05.4+2.15 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.17+0.0155
Time added7.57.2+0.3357
First card
43' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-17 40 210 25'7
2025-12-26 30 191 65'6
2025-12-13 70 170 56'9
2025-12-10 10 141 57'7
2025-12-04 40 220 8'6
2025-11-25 20 300 82'5
2025-11-22 · Coventry City 51 190 28'8
2025-11-08 30 260 49'8
2025-11-01 30 221 23'5
2025-10-25 30 170 44'7