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Championship · Matchweek 28

Momentum

Ipswich TownBristol City
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
28

Venue

Stadium
Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich
Capacity
29,673
Surface
grass
Attendance
25,539

Teams

Coaches
Kieran McKenna · Gerhard Struber
Position
3 · 9
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Dean Whitestone

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
7.0° (feels 3.3°)
Wind
6.2
Humidity
91%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Ipswich Town

DWWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 2 · xG 10.76–4.63 · xPts 10.49

  • W H Blackburn Rovers 3–0 xG 2.71–0.78 UK CHAMP
  • W H Blackpool 2–1 xG 3.55–1.42 UK FA Cup
  • W H Oxford United 2–1 xG 1.84–0.9 UK CHAMP
  • W A Coventry City 2–0 xG 1.56–0.91 UK CHAMP
  • D A Millwall 0–0 xG 1.1–0.61 UK CHAMP

Bristol City

LWLWD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 11 GA 5 · xG 6.1–4.19 · xPts 7.86

  • D A Oxford United 0–0 xG 0.35–1.13 UK CHAMP
  • W H Watford 5–1 xG 2.32–0.82 UK FA Cup
  • L H Preston North End 0–2 xG 0.61–0.83 UK CHAMP
  • W H Portsmouth 5–0 xG 1.67–0.34 UK CHAMP
  • L A Millwall 1–2 xG 1.14–1.07 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 24 matches since 2007

Ipswich Town 107 draws7 Bristol City

Goals 37–25 · 2.58 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Ipswich Town 42 draws4 Bristol City

Goals 13–14 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Ipswich Town 32 draws0 Bristol City

Goals 8–4 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W Ipswich Town 2–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Bristol City 1–1 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 3–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 0–1 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Bristol City 1–1 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Ipswich Town 2–3 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 1–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Ipswich Town 1–3 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 2–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 2–0 Ipswich Town neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricIpswich Town all · 46Ipswich Town at home · 23Bristol City all · 46Bristol City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.832.171.351.35
W / D / L23 / 15 / 814 / 8 / 117 / 11 / 188 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match1.741.871.281.13
Goals against / match1.020.741.281.22
Clean sheets37%44%30%26%
Failed to score13%9%33%35%
Both teams scored56%52%46%52%
Over 2.552%56%46%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.832.071.181.16
xG against / match1.030.841.481.46
xG difference0.801.23-0.29-0.31
Finishing vs xG-0.09-0.200.10-0.03
xPts / match1.882.161.201.19
Points vs xPts-0.060.020.150.16
Game state
Scored first54%70%39%35%
PPG when scoring first2.682.622.332.50
PPG when conceding first0.781.170.670.67
Came back from behind60%86%31%33%
Leads held79%82%77%80%
Minutes leading33%45%30%28%
Minutes level50%48%41%43%
Minutes trailing17%8%29%29%
First goal (min)40323236
First goal conceded (min)40463029
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%44%46%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%59%44%39%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.480.240.13
Late goals against0.130.040.240.17
Style
Possession56%56%49%46%
Shots15.116.512.211.7
On target5.15.74.14.2
Shot conversion12%11%10%10%
Shots inside box67%68%60%62%
Big chances created2.83.51.91.9
Corners5.76.24.85.0
xG from set plays32%29%24%29%
Goals from headers12%5%21%20%
Pressure index18.820.711.99.3
Dominant minutes62.366.743.939.0
Pass accuracy81%81%78%76%
Fouls11.210.39.510.3
Cards1.931.391.832.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Ipswich Town

0–15'124
16–30'56
31–45'1613
46–60'149
61–75'109
76–90'236

Bristol City

0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Ipswich Town · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.494
Late push (76+, level)-0.762

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.364
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.143

Situations

At home-0.202
Away-0.302
4+ days rest-0.254

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
v mid-tier opponents-0.282
As underdog-0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.034
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)-0.123

Ahead vs level +0.36 · Behind vs level +0.12

Bristol City · 8 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.378
Early press (0-15, level)+0.568
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.105
When level+0.478
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.087
10 min after scoring+0.496

Situations

At home+0.154
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.423
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.244
As favourite+0.193
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.148
Conceded when ahead-0.285
Conceded late (76+)-0.408

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level +0.04

Ipswich Town

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.841.761.021.841.03
4-4-1-11 2%1.01.01.01.271.19

Bristol City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 54%1.481.441.41.161.42
4-2-3-18 17%1.131.251.380.971.51
3-5-25 11%0.81.01.01.521.38
3-4-1-24 9%1.00.751.51.481.44
4-3-2-11 2%3.02.01.02.461.9

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.61Home 58% P 59%3.8Draw 25% P 24%5.5Away 17% P 17%

Double Chance

1.14Ipswich or Draw 41% P 41%1.25Ipswich or Bristol City 38% P 38%2.25Draw or Bristol City 21% P 21%

Draw No Bet

1.221 77%4.02 23%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49% P 49%1.8No 51% P 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.52.2Over 42% P 44%1.61Under 58% P 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 57.5–60% · away 15–17.5% · 555 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home59%59%57%-1.5
Draw24%25%28%+3.8
Away17%16%14%-2.2

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 49%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes49%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Dean Whitestone

Career
255 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
2.93 (2.83 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
20.1 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.22
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 107 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.324.05-1.328
Fouls / match21.021.8-0.79
Fouls per card6.45.4+1.22 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.17+0.3974
Time added7.37.2+0.0953
First card
42' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-01 30 200 45'10
2025-12-09 20 181 11'9
2025-12-05 10 281 58'6
2025-11-22 · Ipswich Town 50 260 37'5
2025-11-08 20 270 9'12
2025-11-04 · Bristol City 30 180 37'17
2025-10-25 51 181 44'9
2025-09-27 30 270 23'8
2025-09-13 30 260 58'9
2025-08-23 30 270 54'11