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Championship · Matchweek 28
Oxford UnitedOXF
0–0
FT
Queens Park RangersQPR

Momentum

– OXFQPR –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
28

Venue

Stadium
The Kassam Stadium, Oxford
Capacity
12,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
10,478

Teams

Coaches
Matt Bloomfield · Julien Stéphan
Position
23 · 11
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Will Finnie

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
7.2° (feels 2.5°)
Wind
9.8
Humidity
94%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Oxford United

WLLDD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 5 · xG 5.43–7.03 · xPts 5.9

  • D H Bristol City 0–0 xG 1.13–0.35 UK CHAMP
  • D A Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 won on pens None–None xG 1.45–2.31 UK FA Cup
  • L A Ipswich Town 1–2 xG 0.9–1.84 UK CHAMP
  • L H Swansea City 0–1 xG 0.53–0.81 UK CHAMP
  • W H Southampton 2–1 xG 1.43–1.72 UK CHAMP

Queens Park Rangers

LLWLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 3.78–6.62 · xPts 5.21

  • D A Stoke City 0–0 xG 0.41–0.65 UK CHAMP
  • L A West Ham United 1–2 aet xG 0.8–2.39 UK FA Cup
  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 3–0 xG 1.51–0.11 UK CHAMP
  • L H Norwich City 1–2 xG 0.88–1.35 UK CHAMP
  • L A West Bromwich Albion 1–2 xG 0.18–2.13 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 4 matches since 2024

Oxford United 02 draws2 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 1–5 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 25%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Oxford United 02 draws2 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 1–5 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 25%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Oxford United 02 draws2 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 1–5 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 25%

Recent meetings

  • D Oxford United 0–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Queens Park Rangers 0–0 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Oxford United 1–3 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 2–0 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricOxford United all · 46Oxford United at home · 23Queens Park Rangers all · 46Queens Park Rangers away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.021.261.261.09
W / D / L11 / 14 / 217 / 8 / 816 / 10 / 206 / 7 / 10
Goals for / match0.981.041.330.91
Goals against / match1.281.171.591.57
Clean sheets17%22%22%26%
Failed to score41%39%28%39%
Both teams scored52%48%63%52%
Over 2.546%44%63%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.171.361.300.98
xG against / match1.431.171.331.45
xG difference-0.250.19-0.03-0.47
Finishing vs xG-0.20-0.320.02-0.07
xPts / match1.211.481.371.07
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.22-0.110.02
Game state
Scored first39%44%33%17%
PPG when scoring first2.062.402.473.00
PPG when conceding first0.220.270.600.60
Came back from behind19%27%26%33%
Leads held58%70%84%100%
Minutes leading21%23%20%10%
Minutes level47%47%46%48%
Minutes trailing32%30%34%42%
First goal (min)28264550
First goal conceded (min)35333423
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half38%38%57%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half41%41%48%28%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.170.390.26
Late goals against0.150.040.260.04
Style
Possession40%42%46%45%
Shots11.914.112.711.1
On target3.44.24.13.2
Shot conversion8%7%10%8%
Shots inside box54%55%63%63%
Big chances created1.61.71.81.2
Corners4.04.64.84.3
xG from set plays40%46%31%34%
Goals from headers16%12%17%20%
Pressure index6.49.111.77.9
Dominant minutes33.744.246.738.9
Pass accuracy69%69%76%76%
Fouls10.810.511.010.8
Cards1.671.301.911.70

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Oxford United

0–15'1013
16–30'108
31–45'814
46–60'511
61–75'56
76–90'77

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'712
16–30'711
31–45'1215
46–60'716
61–75'107
76–90'1812

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Oxford United

No pressure profile yet.

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.325
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

Oxford United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 59%1.070.931.191.31.37
4-4-26 13%0.831.331.51.331.73
3-4-2-14 9%1.00.751.50.781.22
5-4-14 9%1.01.01.50.841.78
4-1-4-13 6%1.331.01.00.881.11

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-223 50%1.131.391.71.281.42
4-2-3-123 50%1.391.261.481.321.24

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.35Home 40% P 41%3.3Draw 28% P 29%2.9Away 32% P 30%

Double Chance

1.4Oxford Utd or Draw 34% P 35%1.33Oxford Utd or QPR 35% P 35%1.53Draw or QPR 31% P 30%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 50%1.83No 50% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 44%1.72Under 55% P 56%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 54%1.83Under 50% P 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home41%41%41%-0.1
Draw29%28%26%-1.9
Away30%31%33%+2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Will Finnie

Career
41 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
3.68 (3.56 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
21.1 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 26 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.04.05-0.1049
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.99
Fouls per card5.45.4-0.24 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3435
Time added8.07.2+0.9178
First card
36' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 26% in last 15'
Cards to home side
40% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-17 10 160 79'9
2026-01-11 70 330 31'12
2026-01-01 · Oxford United 50 210 27'6
2025-12-26 40 240 16'9
2025-05-03 51 221 10'5
2025-04-08 70 210 23'2
2025-02-28 20 230 52'13
2025-02-15 · Oxford United 20 200 45'17
2025-02-11 · Queens Park Rangers 50 180 11'6
2025-02-08 30 320 51'5