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Championship · Matchweek 28
Preston North EndPNE
0–3
FT
Hull CityHull City

Momentum

– PNEHull City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
28

Venue

Stadium
Deepdale, Preston
Capacity
23,408
Surface
grass
Attendance
14,174

Teams

Coaches
Paul Heckingbottom · Sergej Jakirović
Position
6 · 5
Formation
3-1-4-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Stephen Martin

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
8.2° (feels 4.3°)
Wind
8.0
Humidity
86%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Preston North End

LWWLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 5.22–6.66 · xPts 6.19

  • L H Derby County 0–1 xG 0.83–1.36 UK CHAMP
  • L H Wigan Athletic 0–1 xG 0.77–1.79 UK FA Cup
  • W A Bristol City 2–0 xG 0.83–0.61 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 3–0 xG 1.56–0.22 UK CHAMP
  • L A Wrexham 1–2 xG 1.24–2.69 UK CHAMP

Hull City

DWLDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 4 · xG 5.95–8.51 · xPts 5.64

  • W A Southampton 2–1 xG 0.77–3.02 UK CHAMP
  • D H Blackburn Rovers 0–0 won on pens None–None xG 1.57–1.01 UK FA Cup
  • L H Stoke City 0–1 xG 1.67–1.79 UK CHAMP
  • W A Middlesbrough 1–0 xG 0.52–1.73 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield Wednesday 2–2 xG 1.42–0.96 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 26 matches since 2005

Preston North End 96 draws11 Hull City

Goals 24–34 · 2.23 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Preston North End 24 draws4 Hull City

Goals 6–12 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Preston North End 12 draws2 Hull City

Goals 4–7 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Preston North End 0–3 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 2–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 2–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 1–0 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 0–0 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 1–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 0–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 0–0 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 0–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 1–4 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricPreston North End all · 46Preston North End at home · 23Hull City all · 49Hull City away · 24
Results
Matches46234924
Points per game1.301.351.631.58
W / D / L15 / 15 / 168 / 7 / 823 / 11 / 1511 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match1.201.221.491.54
Goals against / match1.351.301.351.33
Clean sheets20%22%29%29%
Failed to score26%26%18%12%
Both teams scored59%56%61%62%
Over 2.548%48%61%67%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.221.371.27
xG against / match1.631.421.661.91
xG difference-0.45-0.20-0.29-0.63
Finishing vs xG0.020.000.120.27
xPts / match1.131.251.251.09
Points vs xPts0.170.100.380.49
Game state
Scored first41%39%57%67%
PPG when scoring first2.162.332.182.00
PPG when conceding first0.680.690.880.71
Came back from behind38%43%35%33%
Leads held62%73%72%65%
Minutes leading28%27%30%32%
Minutes level45%46%53%52%
Minutes trailing27%27%17%16%
First goal (min)36403233
First goal conceded (min)42434044
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%61%45%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%60%52%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.300.270.33
Late goals against0.300.350.310.38
Style
Possession46%48%45%43%
Shots10.911.311.111.0
On target3.63.44.14.3
Shot conversion11%11%13%14%
Shots inside box68%69%68%68%
Big chances created1.61.72.22.3
Corners4.55.34.44.6
xG from set plays34%35%21%13%
Goals from headers22%21%14%19%
Pressure index8.89.59.37.6
Dominant minutes40.542.339.832.6
Pass accuracy72%73%72%71%
Fouls10.410.111.211.5
Cards2.092.132.553.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Preston North End

0–15'1111
16–30'107
31–45'613
46–60'109
61–75'68
76–90'1214

Hull City

0–15'117
16–30'1413
31–45'1512
46–60'910
61–75'119
76–90'1315

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.175
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Hull City · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133

Situations

At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.583
Conceded late (76+)+0.274

Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-214 30%1.51.361.361.191.42
3-1-4-29 20%1.221.111.111.221.23
5-3-27 15%0.710.861.710.971.94
4-4-25 11%1.81.41.61.441.99
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.01.21.231.86

Hull City

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 74%1.641.611.441.491.76
3-4-2-16 12%1.51.01.171.091.37
3-4-1-22 4%0.51.52.01.251.52
4-4-22 4%3.01.50.51.091.08
3-5-21 2%3.01.00.00.521.73

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.3Home 41% P 41%3.25Draw 29% P 29%3.2Away 30% P 30%

Double Chance

1.36Preston or Draw 35% P 35%1.33Preston or Hull 35% P 36%1.57Draw or Hull 30% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.611 58%2.22 42%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 50%1.83No 50% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 43%1.66Under 57% P 57%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 27.5–30% · 815 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home41%41%42%+0.5
Draw29%30%27%-2.4
Away30%29%31%+1.9

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 43%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.543%44%43%-1.2

Stephen Martin

Career
78 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.68 (4.58 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
22.9 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.12
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 72 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.64.05+0.9986
Fouls / match23.021.8+1.06
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.59 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.110.17-0.9412
Time added7.77.2+0.5667
First card
35' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-10 30 211 14'5
2026-01-05 10 160 77'7
2025-12-26 · Hull City 60 170 28'9
2025-12-20 · Preston North End 50 280 37'8
2025-12-13 40 280 57'6
2025-12-06 30 211 33'7
2025-11-22 40 210 60'7
2025-11-08 · Preston North End 40 210 13'7
2025-11-04 · Hull City 10 200 85'8
2025-10-25 50 250 32'9