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Championship · Matchweek 28
Sheffield WednesdaySHF
0–2
FT
Birmingham CityBRC

Momentum

– SHFBRC –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
28

Venue

Stadium
Hillsborough Stadium, Sheffield
Capacity
34,835
Surface
grass
Attendance
22,396

Teams

Coaches
Henrik Pedersen · Chris Davies
Position
24 · 14
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Leigh Doughty

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
7.3° (feels 6.7°)
Wind
1.3
Humidity
88%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Sheffield Wednesday

DLLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 0 GA 9 · xG 1.55–9.62 · xPts 2.12

  • L H Portsmouth 0–1 xG 0.45–1.83 UK CHAMP
  • L H Brentford 0–2 xG 0.39–3.92 UK FA Cup
  • L A Queens Park Rangers 0–3 xG 0.11–1.51 UK CHAMP
  • L A Preston North End 0–3 xG 0.22–1.56 UK CHAMP
  • D H Blackburn Rovers 0–0 xG 0.38–0.81 UK CHAMP

Birmingham City

DLWWD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 9 · xG 5.44–7.39 · xPts 5.41

  • D A Swansea City 1–1 xG 1.59–1.85 UK CHAMP
  • W A Cambridge United 3–2 xG 0.9–1.24 UK FA Cup
  • W H Coventry City 3–2 xG 0.85–1.31 UK CHAMP
  • L A Watford 0–3 xG 0.49–1.46 UK CHAMP
  • D H Southampton 1–1 xG 1.61–1.53 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 27 matches since 2006

Sheffield Wednesday 87 draws12 Birmingham City

Goals 34–41 · 2.78 per match · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 56%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sheffield Wednesday 24 draws4 Birmingham City

Goals 12–15 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sheffield Wednesday 11 draws3 Birmingham City

Goals 5–7 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Sheffield Wednesday 0–2 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Birmingham City 2–2 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield Wednesday 2–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 2–1 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield Wednesday 0–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 0–1 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Birmingham City 3–3 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 3–1 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricSheffield Wednesday all · 46Sheffield Wednesday at home · 23Birmingham City all · 46Birmingham City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game0.390.431.390.87
W / D / L2 / 12 / 321 / 7 / 1517 / 13 / 165 / 5 / 13
Goals for / match0.630.611.240.78
Goals against / match1.931.911.221.48
Clean sheets9%4%22%13%
Failed to score50%52%24%39%
Both teams scored48%48%56%48%
Over 2.552%48%46%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.880.961.491.07
xG against / match2.011.951.141.27
xG difference-1.13-0.990.35-0.21
Finishing vs xG-0.25-0.35-0.25-0.28
xPts / match0.730.831.571.23
Points vs xPts-0.34-0.40-0.18-0.36
Game state
Scored first26%35%50%22%
PPG when scoring first1.001.002.352.40
PPG when conceding first0.100.070.410.44
Came back from behind9%6%33%32%
Leads held15%12%71%83%
Minutes leading13%16%28%11%
Minutes level41%45%42%38%
Minutes trailing46%39%31%51%
First goal (min)38363952
First goal conceded (min)36433527
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%43%49%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%64%39%32%
Late goals for (76'+)0.070.040.240.30
Late goals against0.430.430.150.13
Style
Possession45%47%54%52%
Shots8.79.313.69.9
On target2.52.54.12.6
Shot conversion7%6%9%8%
Shots inside box68%71%64%67%
Big chances created1.21.42.41.8
Corners4.34.85.85.0
xG from set plays33%35%30%33%
Goals from headers17%29%21%17%
Pressure index6.97.714.410.4
Dominant minutes32.836.554.344.6
Pass accuracy73%74%77%77%
Fouls11.811.711.712.3
Cards1.701.522.112.22

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sheffield Wednesday

0–15'516
16–30'79
31–45'315
46–60'713
61–75'416
76–90'320

Birmingham City

0–15'1010
16–30'1112
31–45'812
46–60'98
61–75'87
76–90'117

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sheffield Wednesday

No pressure profile yet.

Birmingham City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.127
Early press (0-15, level)+0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.194
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.552

Game state

When ahead+0.152
When level+0.247
When behind-0.295
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.296

Situations

At home-0.063
Away+0.274
3 days rest or fewer+0.362
4+ days rest+0.035

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.155
v bottom-tier opponents+0.072
Evenly matched+0.093
As underdog+0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.207

Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.53

Sheffield Wednesday

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-113 28%0.540.381.540.851.98
3-5-212 26%0.670.751.750.831.9
4-2-3-16 13%0.00.332.330.472.39
3-4-34 9%0.250.752.01.051.86
3-4-1-24 9%0.251.02.51.242.19

Birmingham City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 87%1.381.331.281.541.16
4-4-22 4%1.50.50.51.160.61
4-4-1-12 4%1.51.01.51.730.5
3-4-31 2%0.00.01.00.251.91
4-1-4-11 2%3.01.00.00.831.5

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

7.0Home 13% P 13%4.5Draw 21% P 21%1.44Away 66% P 67%

Double Chance

2.75Sheff Wed or Draw 17% P 16%1.18Sheff Wed or Birmingham 40% P 40%1.1Draw or Birmingham 43% P 44%

Draw No Bet

6.01 16%1.122 84%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 46% P 47%1.72No 54% P 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 53%2.0Under 47% P 47%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 46%1.83Under 50% P 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 12.5–15% · away 65–67.5% · 254 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home13%14%13%-0.7
Draw21%20%21%+1.1
Away67%66%66%-0.5

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 58%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes47%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%54%+0.8

Leigh Doughty

Career
119 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.44 (4.29 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
22.4 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.22
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 94 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.514.05+0.8378
Fouls / match22.121.8+0.18
Fouls per card5.05.4-0.89 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.220.17+0.6280
Time added6.97.2-0.3735
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-29 60 220 15'8
2025-12-26 30 230 8'5
2025-12-09 30 231 40'6
2025-11-26 11 171 39'6
2025-11-08 50 191 8'10
2025-11-04 40 190 40'7
2025-10-22 20 200 42'8
2025-09-30 50 280 36'7
2025-08-30 90 282 35'16
2025-08-23 31 250 48'11