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Championship · Matchweek 28
Swansea CitySwansea City
3–1
FT
Blackburn RoversBBR

Momentum

– Swansea CityBBR –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
28

Venue

Stadium
Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Capacity
20,827
Surface
grass
Attendance
13,897

Teams

Coaches
Vítor Matos · Valérien Ismaël
Position
16 · 20
Formation
4-1-4-1 · 3-4-1-2

Referee

Anthony Backhouse

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
5.7° (feels 2.2°)
Wind
5.0
Humidity
93%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Swansea City

WWLDD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 7.16–7.9 · xPts 6.45

  • D H Birmingham City 1–1 xG 1.85–1.59 UK CHAMP
  • D H West Bromwich Albion 2–2 lost on pens None–None xG 2.52–1.8 UK FA Cup
  • L A Millwall 1–2 xG 1.06–2.38 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 1–0 xG 0.92–1.6 UK CHAMP
  • W A Oxford United 1–0 xG 0.81–0.53 UK CHAMP

Blackburn Rovers

DLDDL 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 2 GA 7 · xG 4.89–6.92 · xPts 5.83

  • L A Ipswich Town 0–3 xG 0.78–2.71 UK CHAMP
  • D A Hull City 0–0 lost on pens None–None xG 1.01–1.57 UK FA Cup
  • D H Charlton Athletic 2–2 xG 1.37–1.47 UK CHAMP
  • L H Wrexham 0–2 xG 0.92–0.79 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield Wednesday 0–0 xG 0.81–0.38 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 19 matches since 2011

Swansea City 94 draws6 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 30–24 · 2.84 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 63%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Swansea City 60 draws4 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 13–10 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Swansea City 40 draws1 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 10–4 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Swansea City 3–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 3–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 1–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 2–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 0–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 1–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 0–3 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 1–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 2–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricSwansea City all · 46Swansea City at home · 23Blackburn Rovers all · 46Blackburn Rovers away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.391.701.131.35
W / D / L18 / 10 / 1811 / 6 / 613 / 13 / 209 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match1.241.480.911.00
Goals against / match1.281.171.221.26
Clean sheets26%30%26%30%
Failed to score22%9%35%39%
Both teams scored54%61%48%39%
Over 2.550%52%39%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.351.201.13
xG against / match1.371.371.301.45
xG difference-0.15-0.02-0.10-0.31
Finishing vs xG0.020.13-0.28-0.13
xPts / match1.281.361.321.19
Points vs xPts0.120.34-0.190.16
Game state
Scored first48%61%46%52%
PPG when scoring first2.362.361.762.17
PPG when conceding first0.480.670.520.33
Came back from behind28%40%26%9%
Leads held72%69%56%69%
Minutes leading25%28%21%28%
Minutes level48%48%55%48%
Minutes trailing27%23%24%24%
First goal (min)46494436
First goal conceded (min)40374944
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half65%65%48%39%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%44%59%66%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.430.220.09
Late goals against0.300.300.390.35
Style
Possession55%56%48%47%
Shots12.313.611.511.4
On target3.93.83.23.1
Shot conversion10%11%8%9%
Shots inside box58%60%67%66%
Big chances created1.71.72.02.2
Corners4.55.15.34.9
xG from set plays36%36%27%24%
Goals from headers13%16%27%27%
Pressure index12.815.210.19.4
Dominant minutes51.958.044.643.4
Pass accuracy79%80%74%75%
Fouls9.89.110.511.3
Cards2.001.912.172.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Swansea City

0–15'66
16–30'86
31–45'616
46–60'1011
61–75'116
76–90'1614

Blackburn Rovers

0–15'54
16–30'67
31–45'1112
46–60'69
61–75'46
76–90'1018

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Swansea City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222

Game state

When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355

Situations

At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237

Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01

Blackburn Rovers · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.512
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.353

Game state

When ahead-0.145
When level+0.067
When behind+0.155
10 min after conceding+0.236
10 min after scoring+0.556

Situations

At home+0.004
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.282
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.016
Evenly matched+0.125
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.067
Conceded when ahead+0.045
Conceded late (76+)-0.057

Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.09

Swansea City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 48%1.321.231.411.191.3
4-1-4-111 24%1.821.360.731.351.38
4-3-37 15%1.431.141.141.131.33
3-4-2-12 4%0.01.03.00.80.88
4-4-1-11 2%3.01.00.00.611.68

Blackburn Rovers

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-1-217 37%1.060.941.291.311.11
4-2-3-113 28%1.080.921.231.131.34
3-4-2-112 26%1.170.831.081.151.35
3-5-22 4%1.51.51.01.062.12
5-3-21 2%3.01.00.01.330.18

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.8Home 53% P 53%3.5Draw 27% P 27%4.75Away 20% P 20%

Double Chance

1.18Swansea or Draw 40% P 40%1.28Swansea or Blackburn 36% P 37%1.95Draw or Blackburn 24% P 23%

Draw No Bet

1.31 72%3.42 28%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 46% P 48%1.72No 54% P 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 44%1.66Under 57% P 56%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 17.5–20% · 551 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home53%54%52%-1.7
Draw27%27%27%+0.4
Away20%19%20%+1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Anthony Backhouse

Career
81 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
4.02 (3.94 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
19.6 · 4.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.11
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 58 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.524.05+0.8580
Fouls / match21.721.8-0.19
Fouls per card4.85.4-1.13 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3341
Time added8.07.2+0.9178
First card
33' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-10 40 190 34'6
2025-12-29 30 260 18'9
2025-12-20 50 110 25'8
2025-12-06 · Swansea City 60 210 43'8
2025-11-29 30 210 68'6
2025-11-22 30 180 15'7
2025-11-05 · Swansea City 40 170 48'6
2025-10-31 30 190 43'6
2025-10-21 30 210 70'7
2025-10-04 30 190 68'7