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Championship · Matchweek 28

Momentum

WrexhamLEI
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
28

Venue

Stadium
Racecourse Ground, Racecourse Ground
Capacity
10,771
Surface
grass
Attendance
10,609

Teams

Coaches
Phil Parkinson · Martí Cifuentes Corvillo
Position
10 · 13
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Matt Donohue

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
6.5° (feels 3.8°)
Wind
3.8
Humidity
92%

Where to watch · 253

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Wrexham

WWWDL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 7 · xG 8.6–7.15 · xPts 7.85

  • L H Norwich City 1–2 xG 1.87–0.76 UK CHAMP
  • D H Nottingham Forest 3–3 won on pens None–None xG 2.08–3.04 UK FA Cup
  • W A Derby County 2–1 xG 1.18–1.19 UK CHAMP
  • W A Blackburn Rovers 2–0 xG 0.79–0.92 UK CHAMP
  • W H Preston North End 2–1 xG 2.69–1.24 UK CHAMP

Leicester City

WLWWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 7 · xG 4.91–7.36 · xPts 5.58

  • L A Coventry City 1–2 xG 1.28–2.5 UK CHAMP
  • W A Cheltenham Town 2–0 xG 1.11–0.6 UK FA Cup
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 2–1 xG 1.3–1.48 UK CHAMP
  • L A Sheffield United 1–3 xG 0.18–2.09 UK CHAMP
  • W H Derby County 2–1 xG 1.04–0.69 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Wrexham 02 draws0 Leicester City

Goals 2–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Wrexham 02 draws0 Leicester City

Goals 2–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Wrexham 02 draws0 Leicester City

Goals 2–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • D Wrexham 1–1 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Leicester City 1–1 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricWrexham all · 46Wrexham at home · 23Leicester City all · 46Leicester City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.541.611.131.04
W / D / L19 / 14 / 1310 / 7 / 612 / 16 / 185 / 9 / 9
Goals for / match1.501.781.261.17
Goals against / match1.411.611.481.48
Clean sheets26%22%13%13%
Failed to score13%4%20%17%
Both teams scored65%74%72%74%
Over 2.550%56%54%56%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.541.281.22
xG against / match1.481.281.471.67
xG difference-0.260.26-0.19-0.45
Finishing vs xG0.280.24-0.02-0.05
xPts / match1.221.541.261.12
Points vs xPts0.320.07-0.13-0.08
Game state
Scored first52%56%48%35%
PPG when scoring first2.082.231.731.88
PPG when conceding first0.950.800.550.57
Came back from behind46%50%33%40%
Leads held63%62%46%50%
Minutes leading31%30%26%19%
Minutes level46%43%43%45%
Minutes trailing23%26%31%36%
First goal (min)37384051
First goal conceded (min)40373934
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%49%48%59%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%51%50%44%
Late goals for (76'+)0.370.480.370.43
Late goals against0.410.350.280.26
Style
Possession48%51%52%50%
Shots11.314.112.912.0
On target3.84.84.24.3
Shot conversion13%13%10%10%
Shots inside box66%68%59%66%
Big chances created2.32.81.71.5
Corners4.55.25.34.4
xG from set plays32%36%34%38%
Goals from headers29%38%12%11%
Pressure index10.113.112.69.9
Dominant minutes41.951.347.141.7
Pass accuracy78%80%80%79%
Fouls9.78.810.810.9
Cards1.591.261.962.17

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Wrexham

0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1212
46–60'138
61–75'79
76–90'1719

Leicester City

0–15'1412
16–30'86
31–45'816
46–60'88
61–75'313
76–90'1713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Wrexham · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135

Situations

At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04

Leicester City

No pressure profile yet.

Wrexham

Current: winless 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 50%1.611.571.391.171.25
3-5-28 17%0.50.881.880.962.43
3-5-1-16 13%1.51.171.51.641.12
3-4-1-23 6%1.671.331.01.341.59
3-1-4-23 6%2.332.00.670.91.43

Leicester City

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.131.271.491.291.48
4-3-31 2%1.01.01.00.851.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.2Home 43% P 44%3.5Draw 27% P 27%3.1Away 30% P 29%

Double Chance

1.36Wrexham or Draw 35% P 35%1.28Wrexham or Leicester 37% P 37%1.66Draw or Leicester 28% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 57%2.1No 44% P 43%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51% P 52%1.9Under 49% P 48%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home44%44%43%-0.3
Draw27%28%30%+2.4
Away29%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes57%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Matt Donohue

Career
202 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.26 (4.07 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
23.4 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 134 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.634.05+1.0590
Fouls / match23.021.8+0.99
Fouls per card5.05.4-0.77 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.4126
Time added7.27.2-0.0247
First card
36' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-17 70 210 29'13
2026-01-07 30 261 43'7
2025-12-29 30 250 41'6
2025-12-26 50 260 46'4
2025-12-20 60 271 19'7
2025-12-12 10 180 65'6
2025-11-28 18 7
2025-11-22 · Leicester City 80 270 20'6
2025-11-01 40 290 41'9
2025-10-21 · Leicester City 30 200 52'11