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Championship · Matchweek 28
SouthamptonSouthampton
1–0
FT
Sheffield UnitedSHU

Momentum

– SouthamptonSHU –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
28

Venue

Stadium
St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
Capacity
32,384
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Tonda Eckert · Chris Wilder
Position
16 · 17
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-4-2

Referee

Thomas Kirk

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
9.6° (feels 6.8°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
94%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Southampton

DDLWL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 9 · xG 7.95–7.47 · xPts 6.92

  • L H Hull City 1–2 xG 3.02–0.77 UK CHAMP
  • W A Doncaster Rovers 3–2 xG 1.18–1.73 UK FA Cup
  • L A Middlesbrough 0–4 xG 1.15–1.96 UK CHAMP
  • D H Millwall 0–0 xG 1.06–1.4 UK CHAMP
  • D A Birmingham City 1–1 xG 1.53–1.61 UK CHAMP

Sheffield United

LWWLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 11 GA 12 · xG 10.55–5.45 · xPts 9.79

  • L A Charlton Athletic 0–1 xG 0.62–1.11 UK CHAMP
  • L H Mansfield Town 3–4 xG 3.04–0.99 UK FA Cup
  • W H Leicester City 3–1 xG 2.09–0.18 UK CHAMP
  • W A Stoke City 2–1 xG 2.63–0.77 UK CHAMP
  • L A Wrexham 3–5 xG 2.17–2.4 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 12 matches since 2005

Southampton 81 draws3 Sheffield United

Goals 18–11 · 2.42 per match · BTTS 42% · over 2.5 58%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Southampton 81 draws1 Sheffield United

Goals 18–7 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Southampton 50 draws0 Sheffield United

Goals 11–2 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Southampton 1–0 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield United 1–2 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield United 0–2 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 3–0 Sheffield United neutral UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 3–1 Sheffield United UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield United 0–1 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 1–2 Sheffield United neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Sheffield United 0–0 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 3–2 Sheffield United neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield United 1–2 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricSouthampton all · 48Southampton at home · 24Sheffield United all · 46Sheffield United away · 23
Results
Matches48244623
Points per game1.751.961.301.26
W / D / L23 / 15 / 1013 / 8 / 318 / 6 / 229 / 2 / 12
Goals for / match1.751.671.431.22
Goals against / match1.190.831.431.43
Clean sheets25%42%22%22%
Failed to score12%17%24%35%
Both teams scored71%54%56%44%
Over 2.562%54%59%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.711.781.641.42
xG against / match1.331.091.311.47
xG difference0.380.690.32-0.06
Finishing vs xG0.04-0.11-0.20-0.20
xPts / match1.591.781.571.34
Points vs xPts0.160.18-0.26-0.08
Game state
Scored first52%50%54%52%
PPG when scoring first2.242.671.841.83
PPG when conceding first1.261.330.650.64
Came back from behind54%67%18%20%
Leads held72%81%62%64%
Minutes leading34%36%27%26%
Minutes level49%48%44%46%
Minutes trailing18%16%29%28%
First goal (min)40393935
First goal conceded (min)44404038
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%49%54%46%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%55%62%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.250.200.13
Late goals against0.270.170.260.26
Style
Possession56%58%52%47%
Shots14.415.713.411.3
On target5.35.54.33.7
Shot conversion12%11%11%11%
Shots inside box68%66%68%68%
Big chances created2.92.92.52.3
Corners5.86.56.65.7
xG from set plays28%26%35%30%
Goals from headers22%25%8%4%
Pressure index17.921.115.19.6
Dominant minutes59.063.850.541.5
Pass accuracy83%84%76%73%
Fouls10.79.810.310.8
Cards1.881.631.962.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Southampton

0–15'135
16–30'178
31–45'79
46–60'1710
61–75'1212
76–90'1713

Sheffield United

0–15'118
16–30'911
31–45'106
46–60'1619
61–75'1110
76–90'912

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.60

Sheffield United · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.017
Late push (76+, level)-0.365
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.392

Game state

When ahead-0.373
When level-0.127
When behind-0.355
10 min after conceding-0.495
10 min after scoring-0.114

Situations

At home-0.154
Away-0.223
3 days rest or fewer-0.202
4+ days rest-0.175

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.094
v bottom-tier opponents-0.303
As favourite-0.202
Evenly matched-0.204

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.347
Conceded when ahead+0.303
Conceded late (76+)+0.197

Congested vs rested -0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.23

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 42%2.051.950.951.521.23
3-4-2-117 35%1.181.651.651.951.44
3-4-34 8%1.51.51.51.071.7
4-2-2-22 4%2.02.01.52.560.86
5-4-12 4%2.01.50.02.420.33

Sheffield United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-119 41%1.261.631.791.471.44
4-4-211 24%2.01.640.911.641.36
3-4-2-16 13%1.01.331.671.891.36
4-2-2-24 9%2.01.750.252.50.62
4-3-33 6%0.00.01.01.01.34

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.1Home 45% P 46%3.9Draw 24% P 25%3.1Away 31% P 29%

Double Chance

1.36Southampton or Draw 35% P 35%1.25Southampton or Sheff Utd 38% P 37%1.72Draw or Sheff Utd 27% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 59%2.25No 41% P 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 57%2.2Under 43% P 43%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 34%3.512 - 14 25%6.5Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 27.5–30% · 305 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home46%46%50%+4.6
Draw25%26%23%-2.4
Away29%28%26%-2.2

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 55%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes59%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Thomas Kirk

Career
51 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.55 (4.39 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.444.05+0.7074
Fouls / match21.721.8-0.11
Fouls per card4.95.4-0.97 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.17+0.3974
Time added8.07.2+0.9078
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-11 70 310 51'13
2026-01-07 62 280 43'10
2026-01-01 60 240 30'8
2025-12-26 60 200 16'11
2025-12-13 30 180 31'10
2025-12-10 50 220 3'6
2025-12-03 –– 17– –8
2025-11-26 30 190 28'8
2025-11-08 40 171 14'7
2025-10-25 50 230 35'9