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Championship · Matchweek 29

Momentum

Bristol CitySHF
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
29

Venue

Stadium
Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
Capacity
27,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
23,418

Teams

Coaches
Gerhard Struber · Henrik Pedersen
Position
11 · 24
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Ben Speedie

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
7.3° (feels 4.7°)
Wind
4.0
Humidity
91%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Bristol City

WLWDL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 5 · xG 5.77–4.63 · xPts 7.31

  • L A Ipswich Town 0–2 xG 0.81–1.51 UK CHAMP
  • D A Oxford United 0–0 xG 0.35–1.13 UK CHAMP
  • W H Watford 5–1 xG 2.32–0.82 UK FA Cup
  • L H Preston North End 0–2 xG 0.61–0.83 UK CHAMP
  • W H Portsmouth 5–0 xG 1.67–0.34 UK CHAMP

Sheffield Wednesday

LLLLL 0W 0D 5L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 0 GA 11 · xG 1.8–11.7 · xPts 1.5

  • L H Birmingham City 0–2 xG 0.64–2.88 UK CHAMP
  • L H Portsmouth 0–1 xG 0.45–1.83 UK CHAMP
  • L H Brentford 0–2 xG 0.39–3.92 UK FA Cup
  • L A Queens Park Rangers 0–3 xG 0.11–1.51 UK CHAMP
  • L A Preston North End 0–3 xG 0.22–1.56 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 27 matches since 2007

Bristol City 109 draws8 Sheffield Wednesday

Goals 36–29 · 2.41 per match · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Bristol City 43 draws3 Sheffield Wednesday

Goals 13–8 · 2.1 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Bristol City 22 draws1 Sheffield Wednesday

Goals 8–4 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Bristol City 2–0 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield Wednesday 0–3 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Sheffield Wednesday 2–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Bristol City 0–0 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield Wednesday 2–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 2–0 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 1–2 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBristol City all · 46Bristol City at home · 23Sheffield Wednesday all · 46Sheffield Wednesday away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.351.350.390.35
W / D / L17 / 11 / 189 / 4 / 102 / 12 / 321 / 5 / 17
Goals for / match1.281.430.630.65
Goals against / match1.281.351.931.96
Clean sheets30%35%9%13%
Failed to score33%30%50%48%
Both teams scored46%39%48%48%
Over 2.546%48%52%56%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.210.880.80
xG against / match1.481.492.012.07
xG difference-0.29-0.28-1.13-1.27
Finishing vs xG0.100.22-0.25-0.15
xPts / match1.201.210.730.62
Points vs xPts0.150.13-0.34-0.28
Game state
Scored first39%44%26%17%
PPG when scoring first2.332.201.001.00
PPG when conceding first0.670.670.100.12
Came back from behind31%29%9%10%
Leads held77%75%15%20%
Minutes leading30%33%13%9%
Minutes level41%38%41%37%
Minutes trailing29%29%46%53%
First goal (min)32283840
First goal conceded (min)30313628
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half46%52%48%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half44%48%55%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.350.070.09
Late goals against0.240.300.430.43
Style
Possession49%52%45%43%
Shots12.212.78.78.0
On target4.14.02.52.5
Shot conversion10%11%7%8%
Shots inside box60%59%68%65%
Big chances created1.92.01.20.9
Corners4.84.74.33.9
xG from set plays24%20%33%29%
Goals from headers21%21%17%7%
Pressure index11.914.56.96.1
Dominant minutes43.948.932.829.2
Pass accuracy78%80%73%72%
Fouls9.58.811.811.9
Cards1.831.651.701.87

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bristol City

0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111

Sheffield Wednesday

0–15'516
16–30'79
31–45'315
46–60'713
61–75'416
76–90'320

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bristol City · 8 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.378
Early press (0-15, level)+0.568
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.105
When level+0.478
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.087
10 min after scoring+0.496

Situations

At home+0.154
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.423
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.244
As favourite+0.193
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.148
Conceded when ahead-0.285
Conceded late (76+)-0.408

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level +0.04

Sheffield Wednesday

No pressure profile yet.

Bristol City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 54%1.481.441.41.161.42
4-2-3-18 17%1.131.251.380.971.51
3-5-25 11%0.81.01.01.521.38
3-4-1-24 9%1.00.751.51.481.44
5-3-21 2%1.01.01.00.411.82

Sheffield Wednesday

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-113 28%0.540.381.540.851.98
3-5-212 26%0.670.751.750.831.9
4-2-3-16 13%0.00.332.330.472.39
3-4-34 9%0.250.752.01.051.86
5-3-24 9%0.250.52.01.052.15

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.25Home 77% P 78%7.0Draw 14% P 14%10.0Away 10% P 8%

Double Chance

1.07Bristol City or Draw 44% P 46%1.1Bristol City or Sheff Wed 43% P 43%3.75Draw or Sheff Wed 13% P 11%

Draw No Bet

1.081 88%8.02 12%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44% P 44%1.66No 56% P 56%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 61%2.37Under 40% P 39%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 33%3.512 - 14 25%6.0Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

2.51.8Over 51%1.9Under 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 77.5–80% · away 7.5–10% · 182 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home78%78%79%+0.7
Draw14%13%14%+0.2
Away8%8%7%-0.9

In those fixtures: 3.6 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 73%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes44%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.561%61%63%+1.6

Ben Speedie

Career
30 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
3.07 (2.97 yellow · 0.07 red)
Fouls / match
21.6 · 6.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.03
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 12 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.04.05-1.902
Fouls / match20.121.8-1.52
Fouls per card7.35.4+2.54 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.080.17-1.318
Time added8.07.2+0.9078
First card
45' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
33% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-09 40 210 25'15
2025-12-05 40 170 53'7
2025-09-27 20 230 75'8
2025-09-13 10 150 82'9
2025-08-30 21 161 44'4
2025-08-16 · Bristol City 10 220 73'9
2025-04-26 20 200 32'9
2025-03-11 · Sheffield Wednesday 40 240 29'7
2025-02-08 40 380 26'7