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Championship · Matchweek 29
Hull CityHull City
2–1
FT
Swansea CitySwansea City

Momentum

– Hull CitySwansea City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
29

Venue

Stadium
MKM Stadium, Hull
Capacity
25,586
Surface
grass
Attendance
21,912

Teams

Coaches
Sergej Jakirović · Vítor Matos
Position
5 · 16
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Joshua Smith

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
6.6° (feels 3.1°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
92%

Where to watch · 247

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Hull City

WLDWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 2 · xG 6.51–8.59 · xPts 5.94

  • W A Preston North End 3–0 xG 1.99–1.04 UK CHAMP
  • W A Southampton 2–1 xG 0.77–3.02 UK CHAMP
  • D H Blackburn Rovers 0–0 won on pens None–None xG 1.57–1.01 UK FA Cup
  • L H Stoke City 0–1 xG 1.67–1.79 UK CHAMP
  • W A Middlesbrough 1–0 xG 0.52–1.73 UK CHAMP

Swansea City

WLDDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 7.33–8.34 · xPts 6.25

  • W H Blackburn Rovers 3–1 xG 0.99–0.97 UK CHAMP
  • D H Birmingham City 1–1 xG 1.85–1.59 UK CHAMP
  • D H West Bromwich Albion 2–2 lost on pens None–None xG 2.52–1.8 UK FA Cup
  • L A Millwall 1–2 xG 1.06–2.38 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 1–0 xG 0.92–1.6 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 23 matches since 2010

Hull City 98 draws6 Swansea City

Goals 33–29 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 48%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Hull City 34 draws3 Swansea City

Goals 11–12 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Hull City 21 draws2 Swansea City

Goals 6–6 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Hull City 2–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Swansea City 2–2 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 1–0 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 2–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 0–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Swansea City 2–2 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 1–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 3–0 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 2–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Swansea City 0–0 Hull City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricHull City all · 49Hull City at home · 25Swansea City all · 46Swansea City away · 23
Results
Matches49254623
Points per game1.631.681.391.09
W / D / L23 / 11 / 1512 / 6 / 718 / 10 / 187 / 4 / 12
Goals for / match1.491.441.241.00
Goals against / match1.351.361.281.39
Clean sheets29%28%26%22%
Failed to score18%24%22%35%
Both teams scored61%60%54%48%
Over 2.561%56%50%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.371.461.221.10
xG against / match1.661.421.371.37
xG difference-0.290.04-0.15-0.27
Finishing vs xG0.12-0.020.02-0.10
xPts / match1.251.411.281.19
Points vs xPts0.380.270.12-0.11
Game state
Scored first57%48%48%35%
PPG when scoring first2.182.422.362.38
PPG when conceding first0.881.000.480.36
Came back from behind35%36%28%20%
Leads held72%80%72%78%
Minutes leading30%28%25%22%
Minutes level53%54%48%47%
Minutes trailing17%18%27%31%
First goal (min)32304643
First goal conceded (min)40384042
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half45%42%65%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%41%52%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.270.200.350.26
Late goals against0.310.240.300.30
Style
Possession45%47%55%54%
Shots11.111.212.311.0
On target4.13.83.94.0
Shot conversion13%13%10%9%
Shots inside box68%68%58%56%
Big chances created2.22.11.71.8
Corners4.44.24.54.0
xG from set plays21%27%36%36%
Goals from headers14%9%13%9%
Pressure index9.311.012.810.5
Dominant minutes39.846.751.945.9
Pass accuracy72%73%79%79%
Fouls11.210.89.810.6
Cards2.552.082.002.09

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Hull City

0–15'117
16–30'1413
31–45'1512
46–60'910
61–75'119
76–90'1315

Swansea City

0–15'66
16–30'86
31–45'616
46–60'1011
61–75'116
76–90'1614

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Hull City · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133

Situations

At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.573
Conceded late (76+)+0.274

Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08

Swansea City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222

Game state

When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355

Situations

At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237

Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01

Hull City

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 74%1.641.611.441.491.76
3-4-2-16 12%1.51.01.171.091.37
3-4-1-22 4%0.51.52.01.251.52
4-4-22 4%3.01.50.51.091.08
4-3-31 2%1.00.00.00.561.69

Swansea City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 48%1.321.231.411.191.3
4-1-4-111 24%1.821.360.731.351.38
4-3-37 15%1.431.141.141.131.33
3-4-2-12 4%0.01.03.00.80.88
4-5-11 2%1.02.02.02.283.13

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.2Home 43% P 43%3.2Draw 29% P 29%3.4Away 28% P 29%

Double Chance

1.33Hull or Draw 36% P 36%1.36Hull or Swansea 35% P 36%1.61Draw or Swansea 29% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 51%1.83No 50% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 44%1.66Under 57% P 56%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54% P 55%2.0Under 46% P 45%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home43%44%43%-0.3
Draw29%28%30%+2.4
Away29%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Joshua Smith

Career
156 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.09 (3.95 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 121 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.284.05+0.4163
Fouls / match22.221.8+0.28
Fouls per card5.35.4-0.36 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.17+0.2867
Time added6.97.2-0.3735
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-16 20 150 69'5
2026-01-10 –– 12– –7
2026-01-01 50 170 15'7
2025-12-26 50 220 19'9
2025-12-09 50 260 29'10
2025-12-06 50 220 19'9
2025-11-29 · Hull City 60 270 76'8
2025-11-22 · Swansea City 20 170 49'5
2025-11-01 · Hull City 30 200 28'7
2025-10-25 20 200 75'7