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Championship · Matchweek 29
MiddlesbroughMID
4–0
FT
Preston North EndPNE

Momentum

– MIDPNE –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
29

Venue

Stadium
Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Capacity
34,988
Surface
grass
Attendance
25,723

Teams

Coaches
Kim Hellberg · Paul Heckingbottom
Position
2 · 6
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-5-2

Referee

Andy Madley

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
7.7° (feels 4.2°)
Wind
6.2
Humidity
83%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Middlesbrough

LWLWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 10 GA 7 · xG 7.1–6.14 · xPts 7.61

  • W A Stoke City 2–1 xG 1.83–1.18 UK CHAMP
  • W A West Bromwich Albion 3–2 xG 0.8–0.94 UK CHAMP
  • L A Fulham 1–3 xG 1.28–2.33 UK FA Cup
  • W H Southampton 4–0 xG 1.96–1.15 UK CHAMP
  • L A Derby County 0–1 xG 1.22–0.55 UK CHAMP

Preston North End

WWLLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 5.03–5.97 · xPts 6.35

  • L H Hull City 0–3 xG 1.04–1.99 UK CHAMP
  • L H Derby County 0–1 xG 0.83–1.36 UK CHAMP
  • L H Wigan Athletic 0–1 xG 0.77–1.79 UK FA Cup
  • W A Bristol City 2–0 xG 0.83–0.61 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 3–0 xG 1.56–0.22 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 24 matches since 2009

Middlesbrough 98 draws7 Preston North End

Goals 39–28 · 2.79 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 58%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Middlesbrough 32 draws5 Preston North End

Goals 20–15 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 90%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Middlesbrough 12 draws2 Preston North End

Goals 9–7 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Middlesbrough 4–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 2–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 2–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Middlesbrough 1–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 2–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 4–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 4–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 2–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 4–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 1–2 Preston North End neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricMiddlesbrough all · 49Middlesbrough at home · 24Preston North End all · 46Preston North End away · 23
Results
Matches49244623
Points per game1.651.791.301.26
W / D / L22 / 15 / 1212 / 7 / 515 / 15 / 167 / 8 / 8
Goals for / match1.491.421.201.17
Goals against / match1.020.751.351.39
Clean sheets29%42%20%17%
Failed to score26%29%26%26%
Both teams scored55%46%59%61%
Over 2.553%42%48%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.591.621.181.14
xG against / match1.050.951.631.83
xG difference0.530.67-0.45-0.70
Finishing vs xG-0.10-0.210.020.04
xPts / match1.701.801.131.01
Points vs xPts-0.04-0.010.170.25
Game state
Scored first53%54%41%44%
PPG when scoring first2.462.622.162.00
PPG when conceding first0.670.710.680.67
Came back from behind46%38%38%33%
Leads held79%86%62%54%
Minutes leading32%33%28%30%
Minutes level49%52%45%43%
Minutes trailing19%15%27%27%
First goal (min)37383632
First goal conceded (min)46474240
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%53%51%41%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%61%50%41%
Late goals for (76'+)0.220.170.260.22
Late goals against0.290.290.300.26
Style
Possession59%60%46%44%
Shots16.217.310.910.6
On target4.85.23.63.8
Shot conversion9%8%11%11%
Shots inside box64%63%68%66%
Big chances created2.42.31.61.6
Corners6.87.84.53.7
xG from set plays24%30%34%33%
Goals from headers12%15%22%22%
Pressure index19.721.08.88.1
Dominant minutes63.163.140.538.6
Pass accuracy84%84%72%72%
Fouls9.39.210.410.7
Cards1.611.082.092.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Middlesbrough

0–15'97
16–30'1010
31–45'175
46–60'136
61–75'138
76–90'1113

Preston North End

0–15'1111
16–30'107
31–45'613
46–60'109
61–75'68
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Middlesbrough · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697

Situations

At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417

Congested vs rested +0.62 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.175
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Middlesbrough

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 29%1.431.140.931.521.11
4-2-3-111 22%2.452.00.731.541.13
4-2-2-28 16%0.750.630.881.921.08
4-4-25 10%2.42.41.61.131.07
3-4-1-23 6%1.01.672.670.881.17

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-214 30%1.51.361.361.191.42
3-1-4-29 20%1.221.111.111.221.23
5-3-27 15%0.710.861.710.971.94
4-4-25 11%1.81.41.61.441.99
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.01.21.231.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.5Home 63% P 63%4.2Draw 22% P 22%6.25Away 15% P 15%

Double Chance

1.12Middlesbrough or Draw 42% P 43%1.22Middlesbrough or Preston 39% P 39%2.5Draw or Preston 19% P 18%

Draw No Bet

1.161 81%5.02 19%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 51%1.83No 50% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 53%2.1Under 45% P 47%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 51%1.83Under 50% P 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 62.5–65% · away 12.5–15% · 544 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home63%64%63%-0.9
Draw22%22%24%+2.1
Away15%14%13%-1.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 55%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%54%+0.8

Andy Madley

Career
313 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
3.42 (3.29 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
21.8 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 17 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.534.05+0.8782
Fouls / match23.221.8+1.19
Fouls per card5.15.4-0.64 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.17-0.0353
Time added6.97.2-0.3735
First card
36' on average
Card timing
9% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
54% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-17 30 181 40'9
2026-01-07 20 110 67'4
2026-01-01 30 180 58'6
2025-12-20 90 270 7'9
2025-12-06 11 190 37'7
2025-12-03 40 190 45'12
2025-11-22 20 190 66'10
2025-11-08 40 250 10'12
2025-10-25 20 280 69'9
2025-10-20 20 200 67'13