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Championship · Matchweek 29
PortsmouthPortsmouth
1–1
FT
SouthamptonSouthampton

Momentum

– PortsmouthSouthampton –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
29

Venue

Stadium
Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Capacity
20,688
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,290

Teams

Coaches
John Mousinho · Tonda Eckert
Position
22 · 15
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Lewis Smith

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
7.7° (feels 5.2°)
Wind
4.0
Humidity
90%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Portsmouth

WLLWD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 11 · xG 4.8–7.19 · xPts 5.42

  • D A Watford 1–1 xG 0.7–0.95 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 xG 1.83–0.45 UK CHAMP
  • L H Arsenal 1–4 xG 1.04–2.8 UK FA Cup
  • L A Bristol City 0–5 xG 0.34–1.67 UK CHAMP
  • W H Charlton Athletic 2–1 xG 0.89–1.32 UK CHAMP

Southampton

DLWLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 7.66–7.18 · xPts 6.91

  • W H Sheffield United 1–0 xG 1.24–1.32 UK CHAMP
  • L H Hull City 1–2 xG 3.02–0.77 UK CHAMP
  • W A Doncaster Rovers 3–2 xG 1.18–1.73 UK FA Cup
  • L A Middlesbrough 0–4 xG 1.15–1.96 UK CHAMP
  • D H Millwall 0–0 xG 1.06–1.4 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 9 matches since 2003

Portsmouth 34 draws2 Southampton

Goals 14–11 · 2.78 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 56%

Last 10 · 9 matches

Portsmouth 34 draws2 Southampton

Goals 14–11 · 2.78 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 56%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Portsmouth 14 draws0 Southampton

Goals 8–5 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Portsmouth 1–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 0–0 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 2–2 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Portsmouth 1–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 1–4 Portsmouth UK FA Cup · 5th Round
  • W Portsmouth 4–1 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 2–1 Portsmouth UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Portsmouth 1–0 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 3–0 Portsmouth UK PL · Regular Season
MetricPortsmouth all · 46Portsmouth at home · 23Southampton all · 48Southampton away · 24
Results
Matches46234824
Points per game1.201.301.751.54
W / D / L14 / 13 / 198 / 6 / 923 / 15 / 1010 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.071.091.751.83
Goals against / match1.391.001.191.54
Clean sheets22%26%25%8%
Failed to score28%30%12%8%
Both teams scored54%48%71%88%
Over 2.544%39%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.461.711.64
xG against / match1.241.121.331.57
xG difference-0.060.340.380.06
Finishing vs xG-0.11-0.370.040.20
xPts / match1.361.601.591.41
Points vs xPts-0.16-0.300.160.13
Game state
Scored first46%48%52%54%
PPG when scoring first2.192.272.241.85
PPG when conceding first0.300.361.261.20
Came back from behind27%31%54%46%
Leads held64%67%72%62%
Minutes leading18%23%34%31%
Minutes level51%51%49%49%
Minutes trailing31%27%18%20%
First goal (min)50454040
First goal conceded (min)41454446
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%56%55%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%56%61%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.280.350.380.50
Late goals against0.280.130.270.38
Style
Possession50%54%56%54%
Shots12.215.414.413.1
On target3.74.45.35.1
Shot conversion9%7%12%14%
Shots inside box65%67%68%71%
Big chances created1.61.82.92.8
Corners5.66.35.85.0
xG from set plays40%41%28%32%
Goals from headers16%20%22%19%
Pressure index11.714.817.914.7
Dominant minutes49.757.059.054.2
Pass accuracy74%74%83%82%
Fouls10.29.810.711.5
Cards1.931.741.882.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Portsmouth

0–15'59
16–30'512
31–45'98
46–60'814
61–75'98
76–90'1313

Southampton

0–15'135
16–30'178
31–45'79
46–60'1710
61–75'1212
76–90'1713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Portsmouth · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.016
Early press (0-15, level)-0.056
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.403

Game state

When ahead+0.163
When level+0.056
When behind-0.153
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.024

Situations

At home-0.013
Away+0.033
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.052
v bottom-tier opponents+0.044
Evenly matched-0.004

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.013
Conceded late (76+)-0.286

Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level +0.11 · Behind vs level -0.20

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.59

Portsmouth

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-143 94%1.261.091.31.181.23
3-4-2-12 4%0.51.01.51.461.28
3-4-31 2%0.00.05.00.341.67

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 42%2.051.950.951.521.23
3-4-2-117 35%1.181.651.651.951.44
3-4-34 8%1.51.51.51.071.7
5-4-12 4%2.01.50.02.420.33
4-2-2-22 4%2.02.01.52.560.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.2Home 29% P 28%3.5Draw 27% P 27%2.1Away 44% P 45%

Double Chance

1.7Portsmouth or Draw 28% P 28%1.3Portsmouth or Southampton 36% P 36%1.33Draw or Southampton 36% P 36%

Draw No Bet

2.371 39%1.532 61%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 57%2.1No 44% P 43%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 52%2.0Under 47% P 48%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49% P 44%1.8Under 51% P 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 42.5–45% · 505 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home28%29%23%-5.8
Draw27%28%27%-0.3
Away45%44%50%+6.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 57%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes57%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

Lewis Smith

Career
75 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
3.67 (3.57 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.8 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.21
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 51 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.94.05-0.2841
Fouls / match20.821.8-1.01
Fouls per card5.65.4+0.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.3043
Time added8.27.2+1.1488
First card
34' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-17 50 220 85'7
2026-01-10 30 170 26'6
2026-01-01 30 190 43'7
2025-12-29 20 160 37'6
2025-12-15 50 180 56'8
2025-12-06 20 140 49'8
2025-11-29 40 180 57'10
2025-11-25 40 220 22'7
2025-11-08 20 130 45'7
2025-11-04 –– 25– –6