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Championship · Matchweek 29
Queens Park RangersQPR
2–3
FT
WrexhamWrexham

Momentum

– QPRWrexham –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
29

Venue

Stadium
MATRADE Loftus Road, London
Capacity
18,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
17,502

Teams

Coaches
Julien Stéphan · Phil Parkinson
Position
12 · 10
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Oliver Langford

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
7.8° (feels 4.1°)
Wind
7.2
Humidity
79%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Queens Park Rangers

LWLDD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 4 · xG 4.34–5.33 · xPts 6.24

  • D A Oxford United 0–0 xG 0.74–0.84 UK CHAMP
  • D A Stoke City 0–0 xG 0.41–0.65 UK CHAMP
  • L A West Ham United 1–2 aet xG 0.8–2.39 UK FA Cup
  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 3–0 xG 1.51–0.11 UK CHAMP
  • L H Norwich City 1–2 xG 0.88–1.35 UK CHAMP

Wrexham

WWDLD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 7.02–6.76 · xPts 7.19

  • D H Leicester City 1–1 xG 1.11–0.85 UK CHAMP
  • L H Norwich City 1–2 xG 1.87–0.76 UK CHAMP
  • D H Nottingham Forest 3–3 won on pens None–None xG 2.08–3.04 UK FA Cup
  • W A Derby County 2–1 xG 1.18–1.19 UK CHAMP
  • W A Blackburn Rovers 2–0 xG 0.79–0.92 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Queens Park Rangers 10 draws1 Wrexham

Goals 5–4 · 4.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Queens Park Rangers 10 draws1 Wrexham

Goals 5–4 · 4.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Queens Park Rangers 10 draws1 Wrexham

Goals 5–4 · 4.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L Queens Park Rangers 2–3 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Wrexham 1–3 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricQueens Park Rangers all · 46Queens Park Rangers at home · 23Wrexham all · 46Wrexham away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.261.431.541.48
W / D / L16 / 10 / 2010 / 3 / 1019 / 14 / 139 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.331.741.501.22
Goals against / match1.591.611.411.22
Clean sheets22%17%26%30%
Failed to score28%17%13%22%
Both teams scored63%74%65%56%
Over 2.563%78%50%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.301.631.220.91
xG against / match1.331.211.481.68
xG difference-0.030.42-0.26-0.77
Finishing vs xG0.020.110.280.31
xPts / match1.371.681.220.91
Points vs xPts-0.11-0.240.320.57
Game state
Scored first33%48%52%48%
PPG when scoring first2.472.272.081.91
PPG when conceding first0.600.600.951.10
Came back from behind26%17%46%42%
Leads held84%77%63%64%
Minutes leading20%30%31%32%
Minutes level46%45%46%49%
Minutes trailing34%26%23%20%
First goal (min)45413736
First goal conceded (min)34434043
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%55%54%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half48%68%55%61%
Late goals for (76'+)0.390.520.370.26
Late goals against0.260.480.410.48
Style
Possession46%47%48%45%
Shots12.714.311.38.5
On target4.15.03.82.7
Shot conversion10%12%13%14%
Shots inside box63%63%66%64%
Big chances created1.82.42.31.7
Corners4.85.44.53.7
xG from set plays31%28%32%25%
Goals from headers17%15%29%15%
Pressure index11.715.410.17.1
Dominant minutes46.754.441.932.4
Pass accuracy76%75%78%76%
Fouls11.011.19.710.5
Cards1.912.131.591.91

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'712
16–30'711
31–45'1215
46–60'716
61–75'107
76–90'1812

Wrexham

0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1212
46–60'138
61–75'79
76–90'1719

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.325
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

Wrexham · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135

Situations

At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-123 50%1.391.261.481.321.24
4-4-223 50%1.131.391.71.281.42

Wrexham

Current: winless 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 50%1.611.571.391.171.25
3-5-28 17%0.50.881.880.962.43
3-5-1-16 13%1.51.171.51.641.12
3-4-1-23 6%1.671.331.01.341.59
3-1-4-23 6%2.332.00.670.91.43

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.3Home 41% P 40%3.25Draw 29% P 29%3.1Away 30% P 31%

Double Chance

1.36QPR or Draw 34% P 34%1.33QPR or Wrexham 35% P 36%1.53Draw or Wrexham 31% P 30%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 51%1.83No 50% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 44%1.66Under 57% P 56%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 50%1.83Under 50% P 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home40%41%41%-0.1
Draw29%28%26%-1.9
Away31%31%33%+2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Oliver Langford

Career
352 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.36 (3.22 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
20.8 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 118 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.84.05-0.4626
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.97
Fouls per card5.65.4+0.02 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3533
Time added7.57.2+0.3357
First card
35' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-17 62 200 35'8
2026-01-09 20 191 71'8
2026-01-04 30 190 64'8
2025-12-29 50 230 57'4
2025-12-19 · Wrexham 40 180 18'8
2025-12-09 50 230 31'7
2025-12-02 40 230 10'6
2025-11-29 20 221 34'9
2025-10-04 60 200 15'7
2025-09-27 60 230 12'8