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Championship · Matchweek 30
Blackburn RoversBBR
0–1
FT
Hull CityHull City

Momentum

– BBRHull City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
30

Venue

Stadium
Ewood Park, Blackburn
Capacity
31,367
Surface
grass
Attendance
13,769

Teams

Coaches
Valérien Ismaël · Sergej Jakirović
Position
22 · 4
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Thomas Bramall

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
6.6° (feels 6.6°)
Wind
0.9
Humidity
88%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Blackburn Rovers

DDLLD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 9 · xG 4.78–8.16 · xPts 4.8

  • D H Watford 1–1 xG 0.64–1.42 UK CHAMP
  • L A Swansea City 1–3 xG 0.97–0.99 UK CHAMP
  • L A Ipswich Town 0–3 xG 0.78–2.71 UK CHAMP
  • D A Hull City 0–0 lost on pens None–None xG 1.01–1.57 UK FA Cup
  • D H Charlton Athletic 2–2 xG 1.37–1.47 UK CHAMP

Hull City

LDWWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 3 · xG 8.35–8.77 · xPts 7.04

  • W H Swansea City 2–1 xG 2.36–1.91 UK CHAMP
  • W A Preston North End 3–0 xG 1.99–1.04 UK CHAMP
  • W A Southampton 2–1 xG 0.77–3.02 UK CHAMP
  • D H Blackburn Rovers 0–0 won on pens None–None xG 1.57–1.01 UK FA Cup
  • L H Stoke City 0–1 xG 1.67–1.79 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 24 matches since 2008

Blackburn Rovers 115 draws8 Hull City

Goals 24–17 · 1.71 per match · BTTS 21% · over 2.5 25%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Blackburn Rovers 32 draws5 Hull City

Goals 8–9 · 1.7 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Blackburn Rovers 21 draws2 Hull City

Goals 4–2 · 1.2 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L Blackburn Rovers 0–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 0–0 Blackburn Rovers pens None–None UK FA Cup · Round 3
  • W Hull City 0–3 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 0–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 0–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 3–2 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Blackburn Rovers 0–0 Hull City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 0–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 2–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBlackburn Rovers all · 46Blackburn Rovers at home · 23Hull City all · 49Hull City away · 24
Results
Matches46234924
Points per game1.130.911.631.58
W / D / L13 / 13 / 204 / 9 / 1023 / 11 / 1511 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match0.910.831.491.54
Goals against / match1.221.171.351.33
Clean sheets26%22%29%29%
Failed to score35%30%18%12%
Both teams scored48%56%61%62%
Over 2.539%30%61%67%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.201.261.371.27
xG against / match1.301.151.661.91
xG difference-0.100.11-0.29-0.63
Finishing vs xG-0.28-0.430.120.27
xPts / match1.321.461.251.09
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.540.380.49
Game state
Scored first46%39%57%67%
PPG when scoring first1.761.222.182.00
PPG when conceding first0.520.670.880.71
Came back from behind26%38%35%33%
Leads held56%40%72%65%
Minutes leading21%14%30%32%
Minutes level55%61%53%52%
Minutes trailing24%24%17%16%
First goal (min)44513233
First goal conceded (min)49534044
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%58%45%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half59%52%52%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.220.350.270.33
Late goals against0.390.430.310.38
Style
Possession48%48%45%43%
Shots11.511.611.111.0
On target3.23.24.14.3
Shot conversion8%7%13%14%
Shots inside box67%69%68%68%
Big chances created2.01.72.22.3
Corners5.35.84.44.6
xG from set plays27%30%21%13%
Goals from headers27%26%14%19%
Pressure index10.110.79.37.6
Dominant minutes44.645.839.832.6
Pass accuracy74%73%72%71%
Fouls10.59.811.211.5
Cards2.172.002.553.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Blackburn Rovers

0–15'54
16–30'67
31–45'1112
46–60'69
61–75'46
76–90'1018

Hull City

0–15'117
16–30'1413
31–45'1512
46–60'910
61–75'119
76–90'1315

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Blackburn Rovers · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.512
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.353

Game state

When ahead-0.145
When level+0.067
When behind+0.155
10 min after conceding+0.236
10 min after scoring+0.556

Situations

At home+0.004
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.282
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.016
Evenly matched+0.125
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.067
Conceded when ahead+0.045
Conceded late (76+)-0.057

Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.09

Hull City · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133

Situations

At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.573
Conceded late (76+)+0.274

Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08

Blackburn Rovers

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-1-217 37%1.060.941.291.311.11
4-2-3-113 28%1.080.921.231.131.34
3-4-2-112 26%1.170.831.081.151.35
3-5-22 4%1.51.51.01.062.12
5-3-21 2%3.01.00.01.330.18

Hull City

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 74%1.641.611.441.491.76
3-4-2-16 12%1.51.01.171.091.37
4-4-22 4%3.01.50.51.091.08
3-4-1-22 4%0.51.52.01.251.52
4-3-31 2%1.00.00.00.561.69

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.2Home 42% P 42%3.3Draw 28% P 28%3.2Away 29% P 30%

Double Chance

1.36Blackburn or Draw 35% P 35%1.33Blackburn or Hull 36% P 36%1.66Draw or Hull 29% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51% P 53%1.9No 49% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 46%1.72Under 55% P 54%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 27.5–30% · 815 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home42%41%42%+0.5
Draw28%30%27%-2.4
Away30%29%31%+1.9

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 43%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Thomas Bramall

Career
131 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
3.73 (3.6 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
21.7 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 53 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.74.05-0.6420
Fouls / match21.421.8-0.41
Fouls per card5.85.4+0.35 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3731
Time added6.67.2-0.7218
First card
43' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 40% in last 15'
Cards to home side
52% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-24 60 251 30'7
2026-01-10 60 281 76'8
2026-01-07 70 221 29'9
2025-12-30 20 210 63'6
2025-12-20 40 151 42'11
2025-12-13 10 240 76'7
2025-12-02 30 171 23'10
2025-11-22 50 191 34'9
2025-11-03 50 220 17'8
2025-10-26 –– 17– –8