Rating 7.1 (97th pct) · G+A 11 + 7 (31% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 30
Momentum
– Bristol CityDerby County –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Bristol City | at home | Stat | league | away | Derby County |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.3 #14 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 44.4 #22 |
| 12.2 #15 | – | Shots total | 12.6 | – | 11.0 #22 |
| 4.1 #11 | – | Shots on target | 4.1 | – | 3.5 #20 |
| 4.8 #15 | – | Corners | 5.2 | – | 4.5 #17 |
| 9.5 #23 | – | Fouls | 10.7 | – | 12.3 #2 |
| 2.0 #4 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.5 #21 |
| 14.9 #14 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 14.7 #16 |
| 90.8 #18 | – | Attacks | 94.9 | – | 89.2 #21 |
| 41.4 #21 | – | Dangerous attacks | 45.2 | – | 42.5 #15 |
| 424.7 #9 | – | Passes | 400.9 | – | 336.6 #22 |
| 1.7 #18 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 2.5 #2 |
| 0.9 #9 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 0.9 #9 |
| – #23 | – | Btts | 56.5 | – | – #3 |
| – #4 | – | Cleansheet | 24.9 | – | – #10 |
| – #16 | – | Draw | 26.6 | – | – #22 |
| 1.2 #19 | – | Expected goals | 1.4 | – | 1.2 #16 |
| 0.1 #4 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.2 #2 |
| – #5 | – | Failed to score | 25.0 | – | – #24 |
| 1.3 #12 | 1.4 | Goals | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 #7 |
| 1.3 #10 | 1.4 | Goals conceded | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 #10 |
| 0.1 #18 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #24 |
| 9.7 #6 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 9.4 #7 |
| – #11 | – | Lost | 36.8 | – | – #14 |
| 0.0 #17 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #3 |
| 6.8 #7 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #14 |
| 3.7 #13 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 3.2 #22 |
| 7.4 #20 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.2 | – | 7.6 #15 |
| 4.4 #17 | – | Shots off target | 4.7 | – | 4.2 #20 |
| 4.8 #9 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 3.3 #23 |
| – #12 | – | Win | 36.6 | – | – #7 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 557 of 558
- Goals / match
- 2.59 (home 1.39 · away 1.2)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 27% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 57% · 50%
- Cards / match
- 3.99 (reds 0.06)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Bristol City · 2025/2026 · Championship
Rating 6.92 (76th pct) · G+A 3 + 2 (8% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Rating 7.02 (93th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (7% of team goals) · 45% of minutes
Team 1.57 ppg with (23) · 1.13 without (23)
Derby County · 2025/2026 · Championship
Rating 7.0 (90th pct) · G+A 1 + 8 (13% of team goals) · 71% of minutes
Team 1.72 ppg with (32) · 1.0 without (14)
Rating 7.04 (94th pct) · G+A 12 + 2 (21% of team goals) · 51% of minutes
Team 1.46 ppg with (24) · 1.55 without (22)
Rating 6.68 (20th pct) · G+A 3 + 3 (9% of team goals) · 71% of minutes
Team 1.67 ppg with (33) · 1.08 without (13)
Absences
Bristol City
- injury Luke McNally defender · Cruciate Ligament Injury · 75 missed
- injury Max Bird midfielder · Calf Injury · 50 missed
Derby County
- injury Carlton Morris #2 key player attacker · Leg Injury · 16 missed · until 2026-02-11
- injury Max Johnston #12 key player defender · Hamstring Injury · 10 missed · until 2026-04-02
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 30
Venue
- Stadium
- Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
- Capacity
- 27,000
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 23,512
Teams
- Coaches
- Gerhard Struber · John Eustace
- Position
- 7 · 11
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Tom Nield
Weather
- Conditions
- light rain
- Temperature
- 7.0° (feels 2.8°)
- Wind
- 7.7
- Humidity
- 87%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry City |
46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97 | 45 | 52 | 95 | DDWWW |
| 2 |  Ipswich Town |
46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80 | 47 | 33 | 84 | DWDDW |
| 3 |  Millwall |
46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64 | 49 | 15 | 83 | DWWDW |
| 4 |  Southampton |
46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82 | 56 | 26 | 80 | WWDDW |
| 5 |  Middlesbrough |
46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72 | 47 | 25 | 80 | LDWWD |
| 6 |  Hull City |
46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70 | 66 | 4 | 73 | LDDLW |
| 7 |  Wrexham |
46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 | LWWLD |
| 8 |  Derby County |
46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67 | 59 | 8 | 69 | LWLWL |
| 9 |  Norwich City |
46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 65 | LWWDL |
| 10 |  Birmingham City |
46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 64 | WDWWD |
| 11 |  Swansea City |
46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57 | 59 | -2 | 64 | WLWDW |
| 12 |  Bristol City |
46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 62 | DLDLW |
| 13 |  Sheffield United |
46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 60 | WWLLW |
| 14 |  Preston North End |
46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 60 | WLLWL |
| 15 |  Queens Park Rangers |
46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 58 | DLLLL |
| 16 |  Watford |
46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 57 | LLLLL |
| 17 |  Stoke City |
46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 55 | DLLLL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49 | 64 | -15 | 55 | WWLWD |
| 19 |  Charlton Athletic |
46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 53 | LDLWL |
| 20 |  Blackburn Rovers |
46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42 | 56 | -14 | 52 | DLDWL |
| 21 |  West Bromwich Albion (-2) |
46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 51 | DWWDL |
| 22 |  Oxford United |
46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 47 | WLLWL |
| 23 |  Leicester City (-6) |
46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58 | 68 | -10 | 46 | LLDDW |
| 24 |  Sheffield Wednesday (-18) |
46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29 | 89 | -60 | 0 | DDLLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City |
23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 55 | DDWWW |
| 2 | Ipswich Town |
23 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 43 | 17 | 26 | 50 | DWDDW |
| 3 | Southampton |
23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 44 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 44 | WDWWD |
| 5 | Middlesbrough |
23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 42 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Millwall |
23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 42 | DWWDW |
| 7 | Swansea City |
23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 39 | WLWDW |
| 8 | Hull City |
23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 38 | LDDLW |
| 9 | Wrexham |
23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 37 | LWWLD |
| 10 | Watford |
23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 37 | LLLLL |
| 11 | Derby County |
23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 36 | LWLWL |
| 12 | West Bromwich Albion |
23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 | DWWDL |
| 13 | Stoke City |
23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 33 | DLLLL |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers |
23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 33 | DLLLL |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 31 | WWLLW |
| 16 | Bristol City |
23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 31 | DLDLW |
| 17 | Preston North End |
23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 31 | WLLWL |
| 18 | Charlton Athletic |
23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 31 | LDLWL |
| 19 | Portsmouth |
23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 | WWLWD |
| 20 | Norwich City |
23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 30 | LWWDL |
| 21 | Oxford United |
23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 29 | WLLWL |
| 22 | Leicester City |
23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 28 | LLDDW |
| 23 | Blackburn Rovers |
23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 | DLDWL |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday |
23 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 44 | -30 | 10 | DDLLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall |
23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 41 | DWWDW |
| 2 | Coventry City |
23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 40 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Middlesbrough |
23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 38 | LDWWD |
| 4 | Southampton |
23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 36 | WWDDW |
| 5 | Norwich City |
23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 35 | LWWDL |
| 6 | Hull City |
23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 35 | LDDLW |
| 7 | Ipswich Town |
23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 | DWDDW |
| 8 | Wrexham |
23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 34 | LWWLD |
| 9 | Derby County |
23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 33 | LWLWL |
| 10 | Bristol City |
23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 31 | DLDLW |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 31 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Sheffield United |
23 | 9 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 29 | WWLLW |
| 13 | Preston North End |
23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 29 | WLLWL |
| 14 | Swansea City |
23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 | WLWDW |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers |
23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 25 | DLLLL |
| 16 | Portsmouth |
23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 | WWLWD |
| 17 | Leicester City |
23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 24 | LLDDW |
| 18 | Charlton Athletic |
23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 22 | LDLWL |
| 19 | Stoke City |
23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 22 | DLLLL |
| 20 | Watford |
23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 20 | LLLLL |
| 21 | Birmingham City |
23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 20 | WDWWD |
| 22 | West Bromwich Albion |
23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 | DWWDL |
| 23 | Oxford United |
23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 18 | WLLWL |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday |
23 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 45 | -30 | 8 | DDLLW |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Bristol City
LWDLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 6.0–4.88 · xPts 7.23
- W
H
Sheffield Wednesday
2–0
xG 1.9–0.59
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Ipswich Town
0–2
xG 0.81–1.51
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Oxford United
0–0
xG 0.35–1.13
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Watford
5–1
xG 2.32–0.82
UK FA Cup
- L
H
Preston North End
0–2
xG 0.61–0.83
UK CHAMP
LWWLWLWDLW 5W 1D 4L · 16 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 17 GA 9 · xG 12.39–13.35 · xPts 13.28
- W
H
Sheffield Wednesday
2–0
xG 1.9–0.59
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Ipswich Town
0–2
xG 0.81–1.51
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Oxford United
0–0
xG 0.35–1.13
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Watford
5–1
xG 2.32–0.82
UK FA Cup
- L
H
Preston North End
0–2
xG 0.61–0.83
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Portsmouth
5–0
xG 1.67–0.34
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Millwall
1–2
xG 1.14–1.07
UK CHAMP
- W
A
West Bromwich Albion
2–1
xG 0.97–1.46
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Middlesbrough
2–0
xG 0.96–2.9
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Coventry City
0–1
xG 1.65–2.7
UK CHAMP
Derby County
LLWWD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 5.54–6.84 · xPts 6.22
- D
H
West Bromwich Albion
1–1
xG 0.7–1.42
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Charlton Athletic
2–1
xG 1.61–0.89
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Preston North End
1–0
xG 1.36–0.83
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Leeds United
1–3
xG 0.68–2.51
UK FA Cup - L
H
Wrexham
1–2
xG 1.19–1.18
UK CHAMP
WDDLWLLWWD 4W 3D 3L · 15 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 13 GA 11 · xG 10.08–13.05 · xPts 12.7
- D
H
West Bromwich Albion
1–1
xG 0.7–1.42
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Charlton Athletic
2–1
xG 1.61–0.89
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Preston North End
1–0
xG 1.36–0.83
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Leeds United
1–3
xG 0.68–2.51
UK FA Cup
- L
H
Wrexham
1–2
xG 1.19–1.18
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Middlesbrough
1–0
xG 0.55–1.22
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Leicester City
1–2
xG 0.69–1.04
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Birmingham City
1–1
xG 0.74–3.49
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Portsmouth
1–1
xG 1.09–0.34
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Sheffield Wednesday
3–0
xG 1.47–0.12
UK CHAMP
All meetings · 28 matches since 2008
Goals 33–42 · 2.68 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 46%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 12–14 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–10 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L Bristol City 0–5 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Derby County 1–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Bristol City 1–0 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Derby County 3–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Derby County 1–3 Bristol City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Bristol City 1–0 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Derby County 1–0 Bristol City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Bristol City 1–0 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Bristol City 3–2 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Derby County 1–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Bristol City all · 46 | Bristol City at home · 23 | Derby County all · 46 | Derby County away · 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 46 | 23 | 46 | 23 |
| Points per game | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.50 | 1.43 |
| W / D / L | 17 / 11 / 18 | 9 / 4 / 10 | 20 / 9 / 17 | 10 / 3 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.28 | 1.43 | 1.46 | 1.57 |
| Goals against / match | 1.28 | 1.35 | 1.28 | 1.39 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 35% | 26% | 22% |
| Failed to score | 33% | 30% | 9% | 13% |
| Both teams scored | 46% | 39% | 65% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 48% | 52% | 65% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.18 | 1.21 | 1.23 | 1.18 |
| xG against / match | 1.48 | 1.49 | 1.32 | 1.54 |
| xG difference | -0.29 | -0.28 | -0.09 | -0.35 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.10 | 0.22 | 0.23 | 0.38 |
| xPts / match | 1.20 | 1.21 | 1.33 | 1.18 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.15 | 0.13 | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 39% | 44% | 54% | 56% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | 2.20 | 2.24 | 2.15 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.62 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 31% | 29% | 35% | 23% |
| Leads held | 77% | 75% | 69% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 30% | 33% | 30% | 32% |
| Minutes level | 41% | 38% | 46% | 46% |
| Minutes trailing | 29% | 29% | 24% | 22% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 28 | 40 | 35 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 30 | 31 | 40 | 45 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 46% | 52% | 52% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 44% | 48% | 58% | 66% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.24 | 0.35 | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| Late goals against | 0.24 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 49% | 52% | 44% | 40% |
| Shots | 12.2 | 12.7 | 11.0 | 10.0 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 3.4 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 11% | 13% | 16% |
| Shots inside box | 60% | 59% | 70% | 77% |
| Big chances created | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 4.7 | 4.5 | 3.6 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 20% | 39% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 21% | 21% | 28% | 25% |
| Pressure index | 11.9 | 14.5 | 10.1 | 8.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 43.9 | 48.9 | 39.9 | 34.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 80% | 73% | 70% |
| Fouls | 9.5 | 8.8 | 12.3 | 12.8 |
| Cards | 1.83 | 1.65 | 2.63 | 2.96 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bristol City
0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111
Derby County
0–15'811
16–30'95
31–45'159
46–60'135
61–75'1015
76–90'1214
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Bristol City · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134
Game state
When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565
Situations
At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387
Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13
Derby County · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.31
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.157
Early press (0-15, level)+0.297
Late push (76+, level)-0.552
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.315
Game state
When ahead-0.053
When level-0.057
When behind-0.256
10 min after conceding-0.286
10 min after scoring+0.254
Situations
At home-0.174
Away-0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.212
4+ days rest-0.125
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.223
v bottom-tier opponents-0.033
Evenly matched-0.193
As underdog-0.153
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.203
Conceded late (76+)+0.207
Congested vs rested -0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.20
Bristol City
Current: winless 2 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 25 54% | 1.48 | 1.44 | 1.4 | 1.16 | 1.42 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 17% | 1.13 | 1.25 | 1.38 | 0.97 | 1.51 |
| 3-5-2 | 5 11% | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.52 | 1.38 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 4 9% | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.5 | 1.48 | 1.44 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.35 | 1.13 |
Derby County
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 24 52% | 1.62 | 1.46 | 1.13 | 1.48 | 1.25 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 11 24% | 1.82 | 1.55 | 1.18 | 0.92 | 1.35 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 5 11% | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.03 | 1.95 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 9% | 0.25 | 1.0 | 2.25 | 0.83 | 1.09 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.84 | 1.63 |
| Metric | Bristol City all · 10 | Bristol City at home · 10 | Derby County all · 10 | Derby County away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 4 | 3 / 1 / 6 | 2 / 1 / 7 | 3 / 0 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 1.00 | 1.10 | 1.30 |
| Goals against / match | 1.60 | 1.50 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% | 10% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 40% | 30% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 40% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 40% | 80% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.21 | 0.90 | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| xG against / match | 1.64 | 1.67 | 2.12 | 1.79 |
| xG difference | -0.44 | -0.77 | -0.93 | -0.54 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.29 | 0.10 | -0.09 | 0.05 |
| xPts / match | 1.18 | 0.95 | 0.95 | 1.14 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.22 | 0.05 | -0.26 | -0.24 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.20 | 2.25 | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.60 | 0.17 | 0.67 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 20% | 14% | 22% | 12% |
| Leads held | 67% | 75% | 40% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 28% | 29% | 19% | 24% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 38% | 36% | 40% |
| Minutes trailing | 27% | 32% | 45% | 35% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 23 | 27 | 27 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 45 | 42 | 28 | 30 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 67% | 50% | 46% | 38% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 60% | 53% | 63% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.70 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 47% | 51% | 49% | 45% |
| Shots | 12.7 | 10.9 | 12.2 | 10.9 |
| On target | 4.3 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 9% | 9% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 67% | 54% | 70% | 81% |
| Big chances created | 2.5 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 4.8 | 6.1 | 3.3 |
| xG from set plays | 43% | 28% | 35% | 32% |
| Goals from headers | 27% | 20% | 9% | 15% |
| Pressure index | 12.6 | 10.0 | 11.3 | 8.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 46.5 | 45.9 | 47.4 | 38.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 80% | 76% | 71% |
| Fouls | 10.6 | 9.3 | 12.9 | 13.2 |
| Cards | 1.70 | 2.20 | 2.60 | 2.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bristol City
0–15'31
16–30'02
31–45'23
46–60'14
61–75'22
76–90'74
Derby County
0–15'13
16–30'42
31–45'14
46–60'22
61–75'14
76–90'24
Bristol City
Current: winless 2 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.21 | 1.64 |
Derby County
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 0.78 | 1.11 | 1.89 | 1.16 | 2.21 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.48 | 1.37 |
| Metric | Bristol City all · 50 | Bristol City at home · 25 | Derby County all · 49 | Derby County away · 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 50 | 25 | 49 | 23 |
| Points per game | 1.28 | 1.32 | 1.39 | 1.39 |
| W / D / L | 18 / 10 / 22 | 10 / 3 / 12 | 20 / 8 / 21 | 10 / 2 / 11 |
| Goals for / match | 1.24 | 1.44 | 1.35 | 1.52 |
| Goals against / match | 1.38 | 1.36 | 1.31 | 1.39 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 28% | 24% | 22% |
| Failed to score | 34% | 32% | 14% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 40% | 61% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 48% | 55% | 65% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.20 | 1.13 | 1.24 | 1.20 |
| xG against / match | 1.48 | 1.48 | 1.38 | 1.53 |
| xG difference | -0.29 | -0.34 | -0.14 | -0.33 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.04 | 0.31 | 0.10 | 0.33 |
| xPts / match | 1.22 | 1.20 | 1.33 | 1.23 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.16 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 38% | 48% | 55% | 56% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.37 | 2.33 | 2.07 | 2.15 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.57 | 0.38 | 0.55 | 0.40 |
| Came back from behind | 27% | 20% | 28% | 15% |
| Leads held | 78% | 77% | 69% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 27% | 34% | 30% | 36% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 36% | 42% | 38% |
| Minutes trailing | 30% | 30% | 27% | 26% |
| First goal (min) | 34 | 27 | 37 | 29 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 37 | 40 | 39 | 43 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 55% | 56% | 47% | 43% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 53% | 56% | 66% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.32 | 0.32 | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| Late goals against | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 51% | 46% | 42% |
| Shots | 12.3 | 11.9 | 11.4 | 10.5 |
| On target | 4.2 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 12% | 12% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 60% | 71% | 77% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.1 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 3.8 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 27% | 35% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 27% | 28% | 29% | 26% |
| Pressure index | 13.4 | 15.7 | 10.9 | 9.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 45.6 | 48.4 | 42.5 | 38.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 79% | 74% | 71% |
| Fouls | 10.0 | 9.1 | 12.4 | 13.0 |
| Cards | 1.96 | 1.88 | 2.49 | 2.78 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bristol City
0–15'99
16–30'815
31–45'1110
46–60'109
61–75'812
76–90'1613
Derby County
0–15'712
16–30'126
31–45'1610
46–60'117
61–75'1014
76–90'1015
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Bristol City · 50 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.52
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1450
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0550
Late push (76+, level)-0.0716
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2723
Game state
When ahead+0.1223
When level+0.2150
When behind+0.0429
10 min after conceding-0.1936
10 min after scoring+0.5232
Situations
At home+0.0925
Away+0.1825
3 days rest or fewer+0.1417
4+ days rest+0.1433
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.0428
v bottom-tier opponents+0.2516
As favourite+0.3316
Evenly matched+0.0422
As underdog+0.0712
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0650
Conceded when ahead+0.1723
Conceded late (76+)+0.0546
Congested vs rested +0.00 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level -0.17
Derby County · 49 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.27
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0449
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0249
Late push (76+, level)-0.2616
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2524
Game state
When ahead-0.0629
When level+0.0049
When behind-0.0929
10 min after conceding-0.1737
10 min after scoring+0.2742
Situations
With ten men-0.223
At home-0.0626
Away-0.0223
3 days rest or fewer-0.0115
4+ days rest-0.0634
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.1926
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0915
As favourite+0.2610
Evenly matched-0.0820
As underdog-0.1619
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2349
Conceded when ahead+0.1529
Conceded late (76+)+0.1447
Congested vs rested +0.04 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.09
Bristol City
Current: winless 2 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 22 44% | 1.32 | 1.32 | 1.5 | 1.16 | 1.39 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 15 30% | 1.27 | 1.33 | 1.53 | 1.11 | 1.55 |
| 3-5-2 | 5 10% | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.52 | 1.38 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 4 8% | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.5 | 1.48 | 1.44 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.46 | 1.9 |
Derby County
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 30 61% | 1.43 | 1.33 | 1.27 | 1.39 | 1.46 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 16% | 1.88 | 1.63 | 1.25 | 1.01 | 1.14 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 4 8% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.75 | 0.93 | 1.54 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 6% | 0.33 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.96 | 1.0 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.84 | 1.63 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.95Home 48% P 48%3.5Draw 27% P 27%3.6Away 26% P 25%
Double Chance
1.33Bristol City or Draw 36% P 37%1.33Bristol City or Derby 36% P 37%1.66Draw or Derby 29% P 26%
Draw No Bet
1.571 59%2.252 41%
Both Teams To Score
1.83Yes 50% P 53%1.83No 50% P 47%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.1Over 45% P 49%1.72Under 55% P 51%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%
Number of Cards
3.51.83Over 50% P 50%1.83Under 50% P 50%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 25–27.5% · 375 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 48% | 48% | 47% | -1.0 |
| Draw | 27% | 26% | 27% | +1.9 |
| Away | 25% | 26% | 25% | -0.9 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 57%
Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53% | 54% | 54% | -0.2 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 49% | 50% | +1.3 |
Tom Nield
- Career
- 79 matches · 11 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.9 (3.86 yellow · 0.03 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.7 · 5.7 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.17
- Cards to home side
- 44%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 62 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.11 | 4.05 | +0.10 | 57 |
| Fouls / match | 23.3 | 21.8 | +1.27 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.8 | 5.4 | +0.29 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.14 | 0.17 | -0.47 | 20 |
| Time added | 7.6 | 7.2 | +0.44 | 63 |
- First card
- 37' on average
- Card timing
- 16% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 43% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | 6 | 1 | 26 | 1 | 39' | 11 |
| 2026-01-17 | – | – | 24 | – | – | 7 |
| 2026-01-10 | 5 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 34' | 9 |
| 2026-01-01 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 30' | 8 |
| 2025-12-20 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 35' | 8 |
| 2025-12-06 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8' | 10 |
| 2025-11-29 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 32' | 6 |
| 2025-11-25 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 31' | 10 |
| 2025-11-08 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 62' | 11 |
| 2025-11-01 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 23' | 7 |