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Championship · Matchweek 30
Ipswich TownIpswich Town
1–1
FT
Preston North EndPNE

Momentum

– Ipswich TownPNE –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
30

Venue

Stadium
Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich
Capacity
29,673
Surface
grass
Attendance
27,549

Teams

Coaches
Kieran McKenna · Paul Heckingbottom
Position
3 · 10
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

John Busby

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
7.5° (feels 5.4°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
91%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Ipswich Town

WWWWL 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 5 · xG 11.72–5.32 · xPts 10.62

  • L A Sheffield United 1–3 xG 2.11–1.4 UK CHAMP
  • W H Bristol City 2–0 xG 1.51–0.81 UK CHAMP
  • W H Blackburn Rovers 3–0 xG 2.71–0.78 UK CHAMP
  • W H Blackpool 2–1 xG 3.55–1.42 UK FA Cup
  • W H Oxford United 2–1 xG 1.84–0.9 UK CHAMP

Preston North End

WLLLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 2 GA 9 · xG 3.94–7.67 · xPts 4.4

  • L A Middlesbrough 0–4 xG 0.48–1.93 UK CHAMP
  • L H Hull City 0–3 xG 1.04–1.99 UK CHAMP
  • L H Derby County 0–1 xG 0.83–1.36 UK CHAMP
  • L H Wigan Athletic 0–1 xG 0.77–1.79 UK FA Cup
  • W A Bristol City 2–0 xG 0.83–0.61 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 26 matches since 2005

Ipswich Town 77 draws12 Preston North End

Goals 33–43 · 2.92 per match · BTTS 65% · over 2.5 54%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Ipswich Town 43 draws3 Preston North End

Goals 14–13 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Ipswich Town 11 draws3 Preston North End

Goals 7–11 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Ipswich Town 1–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 1–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 3–2 Ipswich Town neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 4–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 4–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 1–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 0–1 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 3–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 1–1 Ipswich Town neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 1–0 Preston North End neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricIpswich Town all · 46Ipswich Town at home · 23Preston North End all · 46Preston North End away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.832.171.301.26
W / D / L23 / 15 / 814 / 8 / 115 / 15 / 167 / 8 / 8
Goals for / match1.741.871.201.17
Goals against / match1.020.741.351.39
Clean sheets37%44%20%17%
Failed to score13%9%26%26%
Both teams scored56%52%59%61%
Over 2.552%56%48%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.832.071.181.14
xG against / match1.030.841.631.83
xG difference0.801.23-0.45-0.70
Finishing vs xG-0.09-0.200.020.04
xPts / match1.882.161.131.01
Points vs xPts-0.060.020.170.25
Game state
Scored first54%70%41%44%
PPG when scoring first2.682.622.162.00
PPG when conceding first0.781.170.680.67
Came back from behind60%86%38%33%
Leads held79%82%62%54%
Minutes leading33%45%28%30%
Minutes level50%48%45%43%
Minutes trailing17%8%27%27%
First goal (min)40323632
First goal conceded (min)40464240
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%44%51%41%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%59%50%41%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.480.260.22
Late goals against0.130.040.300.26
Style
Possession56%56%46%44%
Shots15.116.510.910.6
On target5.15.73.63.8
Shot conversion12%11%11%11%
Shots inside box67%68%68%66%
Big chances created2.83.51.61.6
Corners5.76.24.53.7
xG from set plays32%29%34%33%
Goals from headers12%5%22%22%
Pressure index18.820.78.88.1
Dominant minutes62.366.740.538.6
Pass accuracy81%81%72%72%
Fouls11.210.310.410.7
Cards1.931.392.092.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Ipswich Town

0–15'124
16–30'56
31–45'1613
46–60'149
61–75'109
76–90'236

Preston North End

0–15'1111
16–30'107
31–45'613
46–60'109
61–75'68
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Ipswich Town · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.494
Late push (76+, level)-0.762

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.364
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.143

Situations

At home-0.202
Away-0.302
4+ days rest-0.254

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
v mid-tier opponents-0.282
As underdog-0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.034
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)-0.123

Ahead vs level +0.36 · Behind vs level +0.12

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.165
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Ipswich Town

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.841.761.021.841.03
4-4-1-11 2%1.01.01.01.271.19

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-214 30%1.51.361.361.191.42
3-1-4-29 20%1.221.111.111.221.23
5-3-27 15%0.710.861.710.971.94
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.01.21.231.86
4-4-25 11%1.81.41.61.441.99

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.8h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.36Home 69% P 70%4.75Draw 20% P 19%8.0Away 12% P 11%

Double Chance

1.08Ipswich or Draw 44% P 45%1.18Ipswich or Preston 40% P 41%3.0Draw or Preston 16% P 15%

Draw No Bet

1.111 85%6.52 15%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44% P 44%1.66No 56% P 56%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 53%2.0Under 47% P 47%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54% P 52%2.0Under 46% P 48%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 70–72.5% · away 10–12.5% · 534 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home70%71%75%+4.2
Draw19%18%15%-2.5
Away11%11%9%-1.7

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 62%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes44%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%55%+0.8

John Busby

Career
130 matches · 13 seasons
Cards / match
3.9 (3.82 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.7 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.15
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 113 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.874.05-0.3337
Fouls / match20.921.8-0.87
Fouls per card5.55.4-0.15 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3829
Time added7.87.2+0.6769
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-17 20 250 31'7
2026-01-10 50 200 36'9
2026-01-04 20 200 66'8
2025-12-29 11 130 76'10
2025-11-08 70 180 30'14
2025-11-01 30 260 34'8
2025-10-22 51 170 29'7
2025-09-30 · Ipswich Town 60 251 45'11
2025-09-20 90 240 12'14
2025-08-23 70 270 41'6