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Championship · Matchweek 30
MiddlesbroughMID
1–0
FT
Norwich CityNorwich City

Momentum

– MIDNorwich City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
30

Venue

Stadium
Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Capacity
34,988
Surface
grass
Attendance
28,616

Teams

Coaches
Kim Hellberg · Philippe Clement
Position
2 · 18
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Ben Toner

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
8.0° (feels 5.4°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
86%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Middlesbrough

WLWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 14 GA 6 · xG 7.81–6.07 · xPts 8.1

  • W H Preston North End 4–0 xG 1.93–0.48 UK CHAMP
  • W A Stoke City 2–1 xG 1.83–1.18 UK CHAMP
  • W A West Bromwich Albion 3–2 xG 0.8–0.94 UK CHAMP
  • L A Fulham 1–3 xG 1.28–2.33 UK FA Cup
  • W H Southampton 4–0 xG 1.96–1.15 UK CHAMP

Norwich City

LWWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 14 GA 5 · xG 7.02–7.26 · xPts 6.27

  • W H Coventry City 2–1 xG 1.24–2.1 UK CHAMP
  • W A West Bromwich Albion 5–0 xG 1.29–1.51 UK CHAMP
  • W A Wrexham 2–1 xG 0.76–1.87 UK CHAMP
  • W H Walsall 5–1 xG 3.11–0.2 UK FA Cup
  • L H Stoke City 0–2 xG 0.62–1.59 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 22 matches since 2004

Middlesbrough 105 draws7 Norwich City

Goals 34–24 · 2.64 per match · BTTS 41% · over 2.5 41%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Middlesbrough 73 draws0 Norwich City

Goals 22–11 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Middlesbrough 32 draws0 Norwich City

Goals 10–7 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Middlesbrough 4–3 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 1–0 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 1–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Middlesbrough 0–0 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Norwich City 3–3 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 3–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 1–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 5–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 1–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Norwich City 0–0 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricMiddlesbrough all · 49Middlesbrough at home · 24Norwich City all · 46Norwich City away · 23
Results
Matches49244623
Points per game1.651.791.411.52
W / D / L22 / 15 / 1212 / 7 / 519 / 8 / 1910 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match1.491.421.371.57
Goals against / match1.020.751.221.22
Clean sheets29%42%20%22%
Failed to score26%29%20%13%
Both teams scored55%46%61%65%
Over 2.553%42%48%52%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.591.621.351.30
xG against / match1.050.951.461.64
xG difference0.530.67-0.10-0.35
Finishing vs xG-0.10-0.210.020.27
xPts / match1.701.801.351.23
Points vs xPts-0.04-0.010.060.29
Game state
Scored first53%54%52%56%
PPG when scoring first2.462.622.082.08
PPG when conceding first0.670.710.680.80
Came back from behind46%38%27%33%
Leads held79%86%68%67%
Minutes leading32%33%28%32%
Minutes level49%52%48%42%
Minutes trailing19%15%24%26%
First goal (min)37384236
First goal conceded (min)46474641
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%53%57%56%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%61%59%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.220.170.260.30
Late goals against0.290.290.300.30
Style
Possession59%60%54%52%
Shots16.217.312.611.5
On target4.85.24.54.4
Shot conversion9%8%11%14%
Shots inside box64%63%64%66%
Big chances created2.42.32.32.1
Corners6.87.85.35.0
xG from set plays24%30%25%23%
Goals from headers12%15%10%11%
Pressure index19.721.012.510.8
Dominant minutes63.163.153.247.7
Pass accuracy84%84%79%78%
Fouls9.39.210.210.4
Cards1.611.081.932.30

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Middlesbrough

0–15'97
16–30'1010
31–45'175
46–60'136
61–75'138
76–90'1113

Norwich City

0–15'78
16–30'87
31–45'128
46–60'913
61–75'156
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Middlesbrough · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697

Situations

At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417

Congested vs rested +0.61 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77

Norwich City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.66

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364

Game state

When ahead+0.124
When level-0.147
When behind-0.054
10 min after conceding-0.277
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home-0.213
Away+0.114
3 days rest or fewer+0.082
4+ days rest-0.065

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.025
v bottom-tier opponents-0.142
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched+0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.027
Conceded when ahead-0.134
Conceded late (76+)-0.146

Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.10

Middlesbrough

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 29%1.431.140.931.521.11
4-2-3-111 22%2.452.00.731.541.13
4-2-2-28 16%0.750.630.881.921.08
4-4-25 10%2.42.41.61.131.07
3-4-1-23 6%1.01.672.670.881.17

Norwich City

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-138 83%1.451.391.181.291.43
3-4-2-15 11%1.41.41.21.551.6
3-4-32 4%0.01.02.51.911.56
3-2-4-11 2%3.01.00.01.861.51

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.8h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.66Home 56% P 56%4.1Draw 23% P 23%4.5Away 21% P 20%

Double Chance

1.22Middlesbrough or Draw 39% P 40%1.25Middlesbrough or Norwich 38% P 38%2.0Draw or Norwich 24% P 22%

Draw No Bet

1.331 71%3.252 29%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 57%2.2No 42% P 43%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 58%2.2Under 43% P 42%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 20–22.5% · 299 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home56%56%60%+4.2
Draw23%23%21%-1.7
Away20%21%18%-2.5

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 59%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes57%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.558%59%60%+0.8

Ben Toner

Career
64 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
3.77 (3.66 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.25
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 42 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.384.05+0.5971
Fouls / match24.721.8+2.49
Fouls per card5.65.4+0.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.260.17+1.1690
Time added7.97.2+0.7874
First card
34' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-21 20 210 51'9
2025-12-26 62 300 29'10
2025-12-20 60 220 30'8
2025-12-09 11 180 39'8
2025-11-29 30 171 36'8
2025-11-22 · Middlesbrough 60 280 15'7
2025-11-01 20 310 70'11
2025-10-21 · Norwich City 30 200 10'8
2025-10-01 70 240 2'8
2025-09-20 40 320 39'5