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Championship · Matchweek 30
MillwallMillwall
1–1
FT
Sheffield UnitedSHU

Momentum

– MillwallSHU –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
30

Venue

Stadium
The Den, London
Capacity
20,146
Surface
grass
Attendance
18,007

Teams

Coaches
Alex Neil · Chris Wilder
Position
5 · 17
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Lewis Smith

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
9.2° (feels 7.0°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
82%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Millwall

WLWLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 10 GA 8 · xG 10.61–7.4 · xPts 8.28

  • W H Charlton Athletic 4–0 xG 4.57–0.15 UK CHAMP
  • L A Coventry City 1–2 xG 1.22–2.69 UK CHAMP
  • W A Watford 2–0 xG 1.37–0.42 UK CHAMP
  • L A Burnley 1–5 xG 1.07–3.08 UK FA Cup
  • W H Swansea City 2–1 xG 2.38–1.06 UK CHAMP

Sheffield United

WLLLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 9 GA 8 · xG 8.47–5.63 · xPts 8.44

  • W H Ipswich Town 3–1 xG 1.4–2.11 UK CHAMP
  • L A Southampton 0–1 xG 1.32–1.24 UK CHAMP
  • L A Charlton Athletic 0–1 xG 0.62–1.11 UK CHAMP
  • L H Mansfield Town 3–4 xG 3.04–0.99 UK FA Cup
  • W H Leicester City 3–1 xG 2.09–0.18 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 18 matches since 2005

Millwall 65 draws7 Sheffield United

Goals 19–25 · 2.44 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Millwall 51 draws4 Sheffield United

Goals 9–11 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Millwall 31 draws1 Sheffield United

Goals 6–4 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Millwall 1–1 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield United 0–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield United 0–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 0–1 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 3–2 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 0–2 Sheffield United UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
  • L Sheffield United 2–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 1–0 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield United 1–2 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 0–2 Sheffield United UK FA Cup · 4th Round
MetricMillwall all · 48Millwall at home · 24Sheffield United all · 46Sheffield United away · 23
Results
Matches48244623
Points per game1.751.751.301.26
W / D / L24 / 12 / 1213 / 3 / 818 / 6 / 229 / 2 / 12
Goals for / match1.331.381.431.22
Goals against / match1.061.131.431.43
Clean sheets40%46%22%22%
Failed to score21%21%24%35%
Both teams scored48%38%56%44%
Over 2.546%50%59%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.501.631.641.42
xG against / match1.331.151.311.47
xG difference0.180.490.32-0.06
Finishing vs xG-0.17-0.26-0.20-0.20
xPts / match1.471.631.571.34
Points vs xPts0.280.12-0.26-0.08
Game state
Scored first52%58%54%52%
PPG when scoring first2.602.571.841.83
PPG when conceding first0.790.560.650.64
Came back from behind43%27%18%20%
Leads held86%87%62%64%
Minutes leading27%34%27%26%
Minutes level56%50%44%46%
Minutes trailing17%16%29%28%
First goal (min)44373935
First goal conceded (min)43444038
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%52%54%46%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%82%62%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.330.200.13
Late goals against0.350.460.260.26
Style
Possession48%50%52%47%
Shots12.913.513.411.3
On target4.24.64.33.7
Shot conversion10%10%11%11%
Shots inside box68%71%68%68%
Big chances created2.32.42.52.3
Corners5.76.26.65.7
xG from set plays33%36%35%30%
Goals from headers16%19%8%4%
Pressure index11.914.815.19.6
Dominant minutes44.449.750.541.5
Pass accuracy70%72%76%73%
Fouls12.610.910.310.8
Cards1.901.381.962.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Millwall

0–15'66
16–30'96
31–45'105
46–60'1112
61–75'115
76–90'1717

Sheffield United

0–15'118
16–30'911
31–45'106
46–60'1619
61–75'1110
76–90'912

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Millwall · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.017
Early press (0-15, level)+0.217

Game state

When ahead+0.045
When level+0.017
When behind-0.133
10 min after conceding-0.344
10 min after scoring+0.546

Situations

Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.043
Away-0.044
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest+0.135

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.054
v bottom-tier opponents-0.073
Evenly matched+0.104
As underdog-0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.275
Conceded late (76+)-0.035

Congested vs rested -0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.14

Sheffield United · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.017
Late push (76+, level)-0.365
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.392

Game state

When ahead-0.373
When level-0.117
When behind-0.355
10 min after conceding-0.495
10 min after scoring-0.104

Situations

At home-0.154
Away-0.223
3 days rest or fewer-0.202
4+ days rest-0.175

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.094
v bottom-tier opponents-0.303
As favourite-0.202
Evenly matched-0.204

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.347
Conceded when ahead+0.303
Conceded late (76+)+0.197

Congested vs rested -0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.23

Millwall

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 83%1.81.41.081.541.27
4-4-24 8%1.750.750.751.480.88
4-4-1-12 4%0.51.01.51.252.23
4-1-4-11 2%1.01.01.01.11.34
4-3-1-21 2%3.02.01.01.073.62

Sheffield United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-119 41%1.261.631.791.471.44
4-4-211 24%2.01.640.911.641.36
3-4-2-16 13%1.01.331.671.891.36
4-2-2-24 9%2.01.750.252.50.62
4-3-33 6%0.00.01.01.01.34

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.35Home 40% P 40%3.25Draw 29% P 28%3.0Away 31% P 32%

Double Chance

1.36Millwall or Draw 35% P 34%1.33Millwall or Sheff Utd 35% P 36%1.57Draw or Sheff Utd 30% P 30%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 55%2.1No 44% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.52.2Over 42% P 47%1.61Under 58% P 53%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 30–32.5% · 800 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home40%39%39%-0.2
Draw28%30%31%+1.5
Away32%31%30%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Lewis Smith

Career
75 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
3.67 (3.57 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.8 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.21
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 51 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.94.05-0.2839
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.98
Fouls per card5.65.4+0.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.2843
Time added8.27.2+1.1388
First card
34' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-25 30 230 70'7
2026-01-17 50 220 85'7
2026-01-10 30 170 26'6
2026-01-01 30 190 43'7
2025-12-29 20 160 37'6
2025-12-15 50 180 56'8
2025-12-06 20 140 49'8
2025-11-29 40 180 57'10
2025-11-25 40 220 22'7
2025-11-08 · Sheffield United 20 130 45'7