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Championship · Matchweek 30
Oxford UnitedOXF
0–2
FT
Birmingham CityBRC

Momentum

– OXFBRC –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
30

Venue

Stadium
The Kassam Stadium, Oxford
Capacity
12,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
11,509

Teams

Coaches
Matt Bloomfield · Chris Davies
Position
23 · 14
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Stephen Martin

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
7.9° (feels 5.4°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
88%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Oxford United

LDDDW 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 4 · xG 5.61–5.99 · xPts 6.83

  • W A Leicester City 2–1 xG 1.3–0.75 UK CHAMP
  • D H Queens Park Rangers 0–0 xG 0.84–0.74 UK CHAMP
  • D H Bristol City 0–0 xG 1.13–0.35 UK CHAMP
  • D A Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 won on pens None–None xG 1.45–2.31 UK FA Cup
  • L A Ipswich Town 1–2 xG 0.9–1.84 UK CHAMP

Birmingham City

WWDWD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 10 GA 6 · xG 8.72–5.42 · xPts 8.57

  • D H Stoke City 1–1 xG 2.5–0.39 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 2–0 xG 2.88–0.64 UK CHAMP
  • D A Swansea City 1–1 xG 1.59–1.85 UK CHAMP
  • W A Cambridge United 3–2 xG 0.9–1.24 UK FA Cup
  • W H Coventry City 3–2 xG 0.85–1.31 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Oxford United 00 draws2 Birmingham City

Goals 0–3 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Oxford United 00 draws2 Birmingham City

Goals 0–3 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Oxford United 00 draws2 Birmingham City

Goals 0–3 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • L Oxford United 0–2 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 1–0 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricOxford United all · 46Oxford United at home · 23Birmingham City all · 46Birmingham City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.021.261.390.87
W / D / L11 / 14 / 217 / 8 / 817 / 13 / 165 / 5 / 13
Goals for / match0.981.041.240.78
Goals against / match1.281.171.221.48
Clean sheets17%22%22%13%
Failed to score41%39%24%39%
Both teams scored52%48%56%48%
Over 2.546%44%46%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.171.361.491.07
xG against / match1.431.171.141.27
xG difference-0.250.190.35-0.21
Finishing vs xG-0.20-0.32-0.25-0.28
xPts / match1.211.481.571.23
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.22-0.18-0.36
Game state
Scored first39%44%50%22%
PPG when scoring first2.062.402.352.40
PPG when conceding first0.220.270.410.44
Came back from behind19%27%33%32%
Leads held58%70%71%83%
Minutes leading21%23%28%11%
Minutes level47%47%42%38%
Minutes trailing32%30%31%51%
First goal (min)28263952
First goal conceded (min)35333527
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half38%38%49%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half41%41%39%32%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.170.240.30
Late goals against0.150.040.150.13
Style
Possession40%42%54%52%
Shots11.914.113.69.9
On target3.44.24.12.6
Shot conversion8%7%9%8%
Shots inside box54%55%64%67%
Big chances created1.61.72.41.8
Corners4.04.65.85.0
xG from set plays40%46%30%33%
Goals from headers16%12%21%17%
Pressure index6.49.114.410.4
Dominant minutes33.744.254.344.6
Pass accuracy69%69%77%77%
Fouls10.810.511.712.3
Cards1.671.302.112.22

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Oxford United

0–15'1013
16–30'108
31–45'814
46–60'511
61–75'56
76–90'77

Birmingham City

0–15'1010
16–30'1112
31–45'812
46–60'98
61–75'87
76–90'117

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Oxford United

No pressure profile yet.

Birmingham City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.127
Early press (0-15, level)+0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.194
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.552

Game state

When ahead+0.152
When level+0.247
When behind-0.295
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.296

Situations

At home-0.063
Away+0.274
3 days rest or fewer+0.362
4+ days rest+0.035

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.155
v bottom-tier opponents+0.072
Evenly matched+0.093
As underdog+0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.207

Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.53

Oxford United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 59%1.070.931.191.31.37
4-4-26 13%0.831.331.51.331.73
5-4-14 9%1.01.01.50.841.78
3-4-2-14 9%1.00.751.50.781.22
4-1-4-13 6%1.331.01.00.881.11

Birmingham City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 87%1.381.331.281.541.16
4-4-22 4%1.50.50.51.160.61
4-4-1-12 4%1.51.01.51.730.5
3-4-31 2%0.00.01.00.251.91
4-1-4-11 2%3.01.00.00.831.5

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.7Home 26% P 26%3.6Draw 27% P 27%2.0Away 48% P 47%

Double Chance

1.72Oxford Utd or Draw 27% P 27%1.3Oxford Utd or Birmingham 36% P 36%1.28Draw or Birmingham 37% P 37%

Draw No Bet

2.51 38%1.52 62%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51% P 52%1.9No 49% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 47%1.8Under 53% P 53%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56% P 55%2.1Under 44% P 45%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 45–47.5% · 466 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home26%26%26%-0.3
Draw27%28%28%+0.2
Away47%46%46%+0.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 51%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Stephen Martin

Career
78 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.68 (4.58 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
22.9 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.12
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 72 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.64.05+0.9986
Fouls / match23.021.8+1.06
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.59 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.110.17-0.9412
Time added7.77.2+0.5667
First card
35' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-20 51 250 45'10
2026-01-10 30 211 14'5
2026-01-05 10 160 77'7
2025-12-26 60 170 28'9
2025-12-20 50 280 37'8
2025-12-13 40 280 57'6
2025-12-06 30 211 33'7
2025-11-22 40 210 60'7
2025-11-08 40 210 13'7
2025-11-04 10 200 85'8