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Championship · Matchweek 30
Queens Park RangersQPR
2–1
FT
Coventry CityCVC

Momentum

– QPRCVC –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
30

Venue

Stadium
MATRADE Loftus Road, London
Capacity
18,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
17,321

Teams

Coaches
Julien Stéphan · Frank Lampard
Position
13 · 1
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Joshua Smith

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
9.0° (feels 6.1°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
83%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Queens Park Rangers

WLDDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 4.51–4.51 · xPts 7.0

  • L H Wrexham 2–3 xG 1.05–0.52 UK CHAMP
  • D A Oxford United 0–0 xG 0.74–0.84 UK CHAMP
  • D A Stoke City 0–0 xG 0.41–0.65 UK CHAMP
  • L A West Ham United 1–2 aet xG 0.8–2.39 UK FA Cup
  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 3–0 xG 1.51–0.11 UK CHAMP

Coventry City

LLWWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 10.16–7.2 · xPts 8.78

  • L A Norwich City 1–2 xG 2.1–1.24 UK CHAMP
  • W H Millwall 2–1 xG 2.69–1.22 UK CHAMP
  • W H Leicester City 2–1 xG 2.5–1.28 UK CHAMP
  • L A Stoke City 0–1 xG 1.55–2.6 UK FA Cup
  • L A Birmingham City 2–3 xG 1.31–0.85 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 24 matches since 2005

Queens Park Rangers 84 draws12 Coventry City

Goals 25–36 · 2.54 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Queens Park Rangers 41 draws5 Coventry City

Goals 11–20 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Queens Park Rangers 21 draws2 Coventry City

Goals 6–11 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Queens Park Rangers 2–1 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Coventry City 7–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Coventry City 1–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Queens Park Rangers 1–1 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Coventry City 1–2 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 1–3 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 0–3 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Coventry City 2–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Coventry City 1–2 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 2–0 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricQueens Park Rangers all · 46Queens Park Rangers at home · 23Coventry City all · 46Coventry City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.261.432.071.74
W / D / L16 / 10 / 2010 / 3 / 1028 / 11 / 711 / 7 / 5
Goals for / match1.331.742.112.00
Goals against / match1.591.610.981.13
Clean sheets22%17%37%39%
Failed to score28%17%15%13%
Both teams scored63%74%59%56%
Over 2.563%78%63%61%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.301.632.041.73
xG against / match1.331.211.141.19
xG difference-0.030.420.900.54
Finishing vs xG0.020.110.070.27
xPts / match1.371.681.831.64
Points vs xPts-0.11-0.240.230.10
Game state
Scored first33%48%65%74%
PPG when scoring first2.472.272.432.00
PPG when conceding first0.600.601.551.00
Came back from behind26%17%53%38%
Leads held84%77%80%61%
Minutes leading20%30%38%38%
Minutes level46%45%50%51%
Minutes trailing34%26%12%11%
First goal (min)45413332
First goal conceded (min)34434548
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%55%53%46%
Goals conceded in 2nd half48%68%62%73%
Late goals for (76'+)0.390.520.480.39
Late goals against0.260.480.170.17
Style
Possession46%47%55%52%
Shots12.714.316.314.7
On target4.15.05.65.3
Shot conversion10%12%13%14%
Shots inside box63%63%72%71%
Big chances created1.82.42.82.4
Corners4.85.45.34.7
xG from set plays31%28%36%38%
Goals from headers17%15%20%26%
Pressure index11.715.417.012.7
Dominant minutes46.754.458.852.4
Pass accuracy76%75%80%79%
Fouls11.011.19.69.8
Cards1.912.131.611.87

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'712
16–30'711
31–45'1215
46–60'716
61–75'107
76–90'1812

Coventry City

0–15'155
16–30'106
31–45'216
46–60'189
61–75'1111
76–90'228

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.315
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

Coventry City · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.28

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.104
Early press (0-15, level)-0.284
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.242

Game state

When level+0.024
When behind-0.224
10 min after conceding-0.264

Situations

At home+0.102
Away-0.342
4+ days rest-0.104

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.163
As underdog-0.163

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.462

Behind vs level -0.24

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-123 50%1.391.261.481.321.24
4-4-223 50%1.131.391.71.281.42

Coventry City

Current: winless 4 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 78%2.142.170.862.091.12
4-4-24 9%2.252.251.51.831.58
5-4-11 2%1.01.01.01.870.48
3-4-1-21 2%1.01.01.02.311.43
3-4-31 2%3.02.01.02.550.79

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.6Home 26% P 25%3.6Draw 26% P 27%1.95Away 48% P 49%

Double Chance

1.8QPR or Draw 26% P 26%1.28QPR or Coventry 37% P 37%1.28Draw or Coventry 37% P 38%

Draw No Bet

2.621 35%1.442 65%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 59%2.1No 44% P 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 54%2.0Under 47% P 46%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 34%3.512 - 14 25%6.5Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 51%1.83Under 50% P 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 47.5–50% · 385 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home25%24%22%-2.1
Draw27%27%28%+1.0
Away49%49%50%+1.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 50%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes59%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%55%+0.8

Joshua Smith

Career
156 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.09 (3.95 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 121 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.284.05+0.4163
Fouls / match22.221.8+0.28
Fouls per card5.35.4-0.36 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.17+0.2867
Time added6.97.2-0.3735
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-24 50 191 22'7
2026-01-16 20 150 69'5
2026-01-10 –– 12– –7
2026-01-01 · Coventry City 50 170 15'7
2025-12-26 50 220 19'9
2025-12-09 50 260 29'10
2025-12-06 50 220 19'9
2025-11-29 60 270 76'8
2025-11-22 20 170 49'5
2025-11-01 30 200 28'7