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Championship · Matchweek 30
Stoke CityStoke City
0–2
FT
SouthamptonSouthampton

Momentum

– Stoke CitySouthampton –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
30

Venue

Stadium
Bet365 Stadium, Stoke
Capacity
30,089
Surface
grass
Attendance
23,529

Teams

Coaches
Mark Robins · Tonda Eckert
Position
11 · 15
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Farai Hallam

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
7.0° (feels 3.6°)
Wind
5.6
Humidity
53%

Where to watch · 280

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Stoke City

WWDLD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 3 · xG 6.41–6.92 · xPts 6.78

  • D A Birmingham City 1–1 xG 0.39–2.5 UK CHAMP
  • L H Middlesbrough 1–2 xG 1.18–1.83 UK CHAMP
  • D H Queens Park Rangers 0–0 xG 0.65–0.41 UK CHAMP
  • W H Coventry City 1–0 xG 2.6–1.55 UK FA Cup
  • W A Norwich City 2–0 xG 1.59–0.62 UK CHAMP

Southampton

LWLWD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 7.45–7.24 · xPts 6.72

  • D A Portsmouth 1–1 xG 0.86–1.46 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield United 1–0 xG 1.24–1.32 UK CHAMP
  • L H Hull City 1–2 xG 3.02–0.77 UK CHAMP
  • W A Doncaster Rovers 3–2 xG 1.18–1.73 UK FA Cup
  • L A Middlesbrough 0–4 xG 1.15–1.96 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 23 matches since 2005

Stoke City 86 draws9 Southampton

Goals 26–30 · 2.43 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 48%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Stoke City 42 draws4 Southampton

Goals 8–10 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Stoke City 20 draws3 Southampton

Goals 4–7 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Southampton 3–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 0–2 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 1–2 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 0–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 0–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 0–0 Stoke City UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 2–1 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 0–1 Stoke City UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 0–0 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 1–2 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
MetricStoke City all · 46Stoke City at home · 23Southampton all · 48Southampton away · 24
Results
Matches46234824
Points per game1.201.431.751.54
W / D / L15 / 10 / 219 / 6 / 823 / 15 / 1010 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.111.481.751.83
Goals against / match1.221.221.191.54
Clean sheets28%26%25%8%
Failed to score37%22%12%8%
Both teams scored44%61%71%88%
Over 2.544%56%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.241.441.711.64
xG against / match1.431.191.331.57
xG difference-0.190.260.380.06
Finishing vs xG-0.130.030.040.20
xPts / match1.281.551.591.41
Points vs xPts-0.08-0.120.160.13
Game state
Scored first44%52%52%54%
PPG when scoring first2.252.172.241.85
PPG when conceding first0.270.561.261.20
Came back from behind22%38%54%46%
Leads held71%69%72%62%
Minutes leading24%31%34%31%
Minutes level50%48%49%49%
Minutes trailing27%21%18%20%
First goal (min)37344040
First goal conceded (min)44474446
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%50%55%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%75%61%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.260.380.50
Late goals against0.350.350.270.38
Style
Possession52%53%56%54%
Shots11.212.714.413.1
On target3.84.75.35.1
Shot conversion10%12%12%14%
Shots inside box65%67%68%71%
Big chances created1.82.12.92.8
Corners6.06.45.85.0
xG from set plays28%34%28%32%
Goals from headers16%15%22%19%
Pressure index13.316.317.914.7
Dominant minutes52.757.359.054.2
Pass accuracy78%79%83%82%
Fouls10.410.610.711.5
Cards2.302.261.882.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Stoke City

0–15'88
16–30'55
31–45'108
46–60'1314
61–75'85
76–90'716

Southampton

0–15'135
16–30'178
31–45'79
46–60'1710
61–75'1212
76–90'1713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Stoke City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807

Situations

At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.59

Stoke City

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-141 89%1.241.11.151.21.34
3-4-2-13 6%1.331.331.331.762.14
4-4-22 4%0.01.02.51.292.17

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 42%2.051.950.951.521.23
3-4-2-117 35%1.181.651.651.951.44
3-4-34 8%1.51.51.51.071.7
5-4-12 4%2.01.50.02.420.33
4-2-2-22 4%2.02.01.52.560.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.62Home 36% P 36%3.25Draw 29% P 28%2.6Away 36% P 36%

Double Chance

1.5Stoke or Draw 32% P 32%1.33Stoke or Southampton 36% P 36%1.44Draw or Southampton 33% P 32%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 55%2.0No 46% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 49%1.8Under 53% P 51%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 35–37.5% · 584 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home36%36%35%-0.6
Draw28%28%28%+0.2
Away36%36%36%+0.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Farai Hallam

Career
52 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
3.58 (3.52 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
21.9 · 6.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.12
Cards to home side
36%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 36 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.04.05-0.1049
Fouls / match23.021.8+1.03
Fouls per card6.15.4+0.76 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.110.17-0.9412
Time added7.17.2-0.1343
First card
35' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
36% (league 45%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-24 40 300 57'9
2026-01-17 70 190 21'7
2026-01-12 10 130 32'7
2026-01-04 · Stoke City 30 190 25'6
2026-01-01 30 230 26'6
2025-12-20 20 110 42'6
2025-11-01 10 190 –9
2025-10-24 50 250 29'10
2025-10-21 30 180 45'8
2025-10-18 30 240 3'10