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Championship · Matchweek 31
Hull CityHull City
2–3
FT
Bristol CityBristol City

Momentum

– Hull CityBristol City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
31

Venue

Stadium
MKM Stadium, Hull
Capacity
25,586
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,848

Teams

Coaches
Sergej Jakirović · Gerhard Struber
Position
4 · 11
Formation
3-4-1-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Oliver Langford

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
7.3° (feels 4.1°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
95%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Hull City

WWWWD 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 2 · xG 6.78–8.23 · xPts 6.2

  • D H Watford 0–0 xG 0.34–1.39 UK CHAMP
  • W A Blackburn Rovers 1–0 xG 1.32–0.87 UK CHAMP
  • W H Swansea City 2–1 xG 2.36–1.91 UK CHAMP
  • W A Preston North End 3–0 xG 1.99–1.04 UK CHAMP
  • W A Southampton 2–1 xG 0.77–3.02 UK CHAMP

Bristol City

WDLWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 5.88–6.82 · xPts 6.35

  • L H Derby County 0–5 xG 0.49–2.77 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 2–0 xG 1.9–0.59 UK CHAMP
  • L A Ipswich Town 0–2 xG 0.81–1.51 UK CHAMP
  • D A Oxford United 0–0 xG 0.35–1.13 UK CHAMP
  • W H Watford 5–1 xG 2.32–0.82 UK FA Cup

All meetings · 27 matches since 2007

Hull City 610 draws11 Bristol City

Goals 38–45 · 3.07 per match · BTTS 63% · over 2.5 56%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Hull City 14 draws5 Bristol City

Goals 13–22 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Hull City 02 draws3 Bristol City

Goals 8–12 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Hull City 2–3 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 4–2 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Bristol City 1–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 1–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 3–2 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 1–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 1–0 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 2–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 5–0 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 2–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricHull City all · 49Hull City at home · 25Bristol City all · 46Bristol City away · 23
Results
Matches49254623
Points per game1.631.681.351.35
W / D / L23 / 11 / 1512 / 6 / 717 / 11 / 188 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match1.491.441.281.13
Goals against / match1.351.361.281.22
Clean sheets29%28%30%26%
Failed to score18%24%33%35%
Both teams scored61%60%46%52%
Over 2.561%56%46%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.371.461.181.16
xG against / match1.661.421.481.46
xG difference-0.290.04-0.29-0.31
Finishing vs xG0.12-0.020.10-0.03
xPts / match1.251.411.201.19
Points vs xPts0.380.270.150.16
Game state
Scored first57%48%39%35%
PPG when scoring first2.182.422.332.50
PPG when conceding first0.881.000.670.67
Came back from behind35%36%31%33%
Leads held72%80%77%80%
Minutes leading30%28%30%28%
Minutes level53%54%41%43%
Minutes trailing17%18%29%29%
First goal (min)32303236
First goal conceded (min)40383029
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half45%42%46%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%41%44%39%
Late goals for (76'+)0.270.200.240.13
Late goals against0.310.240.240.17
Style
Possession45%47%49%46%
Shots11.111.212.211.7
On target4.13.84.14.2
Shot conversion13%13%10%10%
Shots inside box68%68%60%62%
Big chances created2.22.11.91.9
Corners4.44.24.85.0
xG from set plays21%27%24%29%
Goals from headers14%9%21%20%
Pressure index9.311.011.99.3
Dominant minutes39.846.743.939.0
Pass accuracy72%73%78%76%
Fouls11.210.89.510.3
Cards2.552.081.832.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Hull City

0–15'117
16–30'1413
31–45'1512
46–60'910
61–75'119
76–90'1315

Bristol City

0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Hull City · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133

Situations

At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.583
Conceded late (76+)+0.274

Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08

Bristol City · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565

Situations

At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387

Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13

Hull City

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 74%1.641.611.441.491.76
3-4-2-16 12%1.51.01.171.091.37
3-4-1-22 4%0.51.52.01.251.52
4-4-22 4%3.01.50.51.091.08
4-3-31 2%1.00.00.00.561.69

Bristol City

Current: winless 2 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 54%1.481.441.41.161.42
4-2-3-18 17%1.131.251.380.971.51
3-5-25 11%0.81.01.01.521.38
3-4-1-24 9%1.00.751.51.481.44
4-3-2-11 2%3.02.01.02.461.9

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.9h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.4Home 39% P 37%3.4Draw 28% P 28%2.87Away 33% P 34%

Double Chance

1.4Hull or Draw 33% P 33%1.3Hull or Bristol City 36% P 36%1.53Draw or Bristol City 31% P 31%

Draw No Bet

1.721 54%2.02 46%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 54%2.1No 44% P 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 47%1.9Under 50% P 53%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51% P 53%1.9Under 49% P 47%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 32.5–35% · 702 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home37%36%35%-1.6
Draw28%30%32%+2.1
Away34%34%33%-0.6

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes54%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Oliver Langford

Career
352 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.36 (3.22 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
20.8 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 118 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.84.05-0.4626
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.97
Fouls per card5.65.4+0.02 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3533
Time added7.57.2+0.3357
First card
35' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-24 51 260 12'6
2026-01-17 62 200 35'8
2026-01-09 20 191 71'8
2026-01-04 30 190 64'8
2025-12-29 50 230 57'4
2025-12-19 40 180 18'8
2025-12-09 50 230 31'7
2025-12-02 40 230 10'6
2025-11-29 20 221 34'9
2025-10-04 60 200 15'7