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Championship · Matchweek 31
Preston North EndPNE
1–0
FT
PortsmouthPortsmouth

Momentum

– PNEPortsmouth –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
31

Venue

Stadium
Deepdale, Preston
Capacity
23,408
Surface
grass
Attendance
16,034

Teams

Coaches
Paul Heckingbottom · John Mousinho
Position
9 · 19
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Adam Herczeg

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
8.8° (feels 5.9°)
Wind
5.5
Humidity
89%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Preston North End

LLLLD 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 1 GA 10 · xG 4.41–9.86 · xPts 3.51

  • D A Ipswich Town 1–1 xG 1.29–2.79 UK CHAMP
  • L A Middlesbrough 0–4 xG 0.48–1.93 UK CHAMP
  • L H Hull City 0–3 xG 1.04–1.99 UK CHAMP
  • L H Derby County 0–1 xG 0.83–1.36 UK CHAMP
  • L H Wigan Athletic 0–1 xG 0.77–1.79 UK FA Cup

Portsmouth

LWDDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 7.39–5.16 · xPts 8.51

  • W H West Bromwich Albion 3–0 xG 2.36–0.11 UK CHAMP
  • D H Southampton 1–1 xG 1.46–0.86 UK CHAMP
  • D A Watford 1–1 xG 0.7–0.95 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 xG 1.83–0.45 UK CHAMP
  • L H Arsenal 1–4 xG 1.04–2.8 UK FA Cup

All meetings · 7 matches since 2008

Preston North End 31 draws3 Portsmouth

Goals 6–7 · 1.86 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 29%

Last 10 · 7 matches

Preston North End 31 draws3 Portsmouth

Goals 6–7 · 1.86 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 29%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Preston North End 21 draws2 Portsmouth

Goals 5–6 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Preston North End 1–0 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Portsmouth 1–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 2–1 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Portsmouth 3–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Portsmouth 1–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 1–0 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 0–1 Portsmouth UK FA Cup · 5th Round
MetricPreston North End all · 46Preston North End at home · 23Portsmouth all · 46Portsmouth away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.301.351.201.09
W / D / L15 / 15 / 168 / 7 / 814 / 13 / 196 / 7 / 10
Goals for / match1.201.221.071.04
Goals against / match1.351.301.391.78
Clean sheets20%22%22%17%
Failed to score26%26%28%26%
Both teams scored59%56%54%61%
Over 2.548%48%44%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.221.180.89
xG against / match1.631.421.241.37
xG difference-0.45-0.20-0.06-0.47
Finishing vs xG0.020.00-0.110.15
xPts / match1.131.251.361.11
Points vs xPts0.170.10-0.16-0.02
Game state
Scored first41%39%46%44%
PPG when scoring first2.162.332.192.10
PPG when conceding first0.680.690.300.25
Came back from behind38%43%27%23%
Leads held62%73%64%60%
Minutes leading28%27%18%14%
Minutes level45%46%51%51%
Minutes trailing27%27%31%34%
First goal (min)36405054
First goal conceded (min)42434138
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%61%61%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%60%55%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.300.280.22
Late goals against0.300.350.280.43
Style
Possession46%48%50%47%
Shots10.911.312.29.0
On target3.63.43.73.0
Shot conversion11%11%9%12%
Shots inside box68%69%65%63%
Big chances created1.61.71.61.3
Corners4.55.35.65.0
xG from set plays34%35%40%40%
Goals from headers22%21%16%12%
Pressure index8.89.511.78.5
Dominant minutes40.542.349.742.4
Pass accuracy72%73%74%74%
Fouls10.410.110.210.5
Cards2.092.131.932.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Preston North End

0–15'1111
16–30'107
31–45'613
46–60'109
61–75'68
76–90'1214

Portsmouth

0–15'59
16–30'512
31–45'98
46–60'814
61–75'98
76–90'1313

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.175
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Portsmouth · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.016
Early press (0-15, level)-0.056
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.403

Game state

When ahead+0.163
When level+0.056
When behind-0.153
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.024

Situations

At home-0.013
Away+0.033
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.052
v bottom-tier opponents+0.044
Evenly matched-0.004

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.013
Conceded late (76+)-0.286

Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level +0.11 · Behind vs level -0.20

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-214 30%1.51.361.361.191.42
3-1-4-29 20%1.221.111.111.221.23
5-3-27 15%0.710.861.710.971.94
4-4-25 11%1.81.41.61.441.99
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.01.21.231.86

Portsmouth

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-143 94%1.261.091.31.181.23
3-4-2-12 4%0.51.01.51.461.28
3-4-31 2%0.00.05.00.341.67

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.45Home 39% P 35%3.2Draw 30% P 31%3.0Away 32% P 34%

Double Chance

1.36Preston or Draw 35% P 33%1.36Preston or Portsmouth 35% P 35%1.53Draw or Portsmouth 31% P 33%

Draw No Bet

1.721 54%2.02 46%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49% P 48%1.8No 51% P 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.3Over 41% P 40%1.61Under 59% P 60%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 32.5–35% · 336 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home35%34%36%+2.3
Draw31%32%29%-3.3
Away34%34%35%+1.0

In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 40%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.540%41%41%-0.4

Adam Herczeg

Career
41 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
3.66 (3.54 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
21.8 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.12
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.914.05-0.2645
Fouls / match22.321.8+0.38
Fouls per card5.75.4+0.22 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.4422
Time added7.97.2+0.7974
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-24 20 150 45'7
2026-01-21 41 210 45'7
2026-01-10 10 180 81'5
2025-12-29 60 240 13'6
2025-12-20 21 210 26'11
2025-12-10 20 220 79'5
2025-12-01 50 210 20'6
2025-11-26 30 200 22'10
2025-11-04 71 291 49'9
2025-10-25 40 250 45'8