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Championship · Matchweek 31

Momentum

WBAStoke City
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
31

Venue

Stadium
The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
Capacity
26,445
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Eric Ramsay · Mark Robins
Position
22 · 13
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

David Webb

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
8.5° (feels 5.5°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
96%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

West Bromwich Albion

DLLDL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 14 · xG 5.78–7.66 · xPts 6.03

  • L A Portsmouth 0–3 xG 0.11–2.36 UK CHAMP
  • D A Derby County 1–1 xG 1.42–0.7 UK CHAMP
  • L H Norwich City 0–5 xG 1.51–1.29 UK CHAMP
  • L H Middlesbrough 2–3 xG 0.94–0.8 UK CHAMP
  • D A Swansea City 2–2 won on pens None–None xG 1.8–2.52 UK FA Cup

Stoke City

WDLDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 5 · xG 6.07–7.99 · xPts 5.8

  • L H Southampton 0–2 xG 1.25–1.69 UK CHAMP
  • D A Birmingham City 1–1 xG 0.39–2.5 UK CHAMP
  • L H Middlesbrough 1–2 xG 1.18–1.83 UK CHAMP
  • D H Queens Park Rangers 0–0 xG 0.65–0.41 UK CHAMP
  • W H Coventry City 1–0 xG 2.6–1.55 UK FA Cup

All meetings · 36 matches since 2006

West Bromwich Albion 1210 draws14 Stoke City

Goals 32–40 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 10 matches

West Bromwich Albion 44 draws2 Stoke City

Goals 12–10 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

West Bromwich Albion 23 draws0 Stoke City

Goals 6–4 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D West Bromwich Albion 0–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 0–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D West Bromwich Albion 1–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 1–2 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 2–2 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D West Bromwich Albion 1–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 1–2 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W West Bromwich Albion 2–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L West Bromwich Albion 1–3 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 1–0 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricWest Bromwich Albion all · 46West Bromwich Albion at home · 23Stoke City all · 46Stoke City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.151.481.200.96
W / D / L13 / 14 / 198 / 10 / 515 / 10 / 216 / 4 / 13
Goals for / match1.041.221.110.74
Goals against / match1.261.091.221.22
Clean sheets30%35%28%30%
Failed to score33%30%37%52%
Both teams scored50%52%44%26%
Over 2.546%44%44%30%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.441.671.241.03
xG against / match1.050.781.431.67
xG difference0.390.89-0.19-0.63
Finishing vs xG-0.40-0.45-0.13-0.30
xPts / match1.621.951.281.01
Points vs xPts-0.47-0.48-0.08-0.05
Game state
Scored first41%52%44%35%
PPG when scoring first2.052.002.252.38
PPG when conceding first0.380.860.270.08
Came back from behind17%29%22%7%
Leads held62%57%71%75%
Minutes leading25%32%24%16%
Minutes level50%52%50%51%
Minutes trailing25%16%27%32%
First goal (min)42383742
First goal conceded (min)45504440
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half52%54%55%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%64%62%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.170.150.04
Late goals against0.260.300.350.35
Style
Possession52%54%52%51%
Shots13.415.211.29.8
On target4.14.73.82.8
Shot conversion8%8%10%8%
Shots inside box65%63%65%62%
Big chances created2.12.41.81.4
Corners5.26.16.05.6
xG from set plays36%41%28%19%
Goals from headers26%22%16%19%
Pressure index13.416.313.310.2
Dominant minutes52.957.352.748.2
Pass accuracy80%81%78%78%
Fouls10.210.110.410.2
Cards1.831.612.302.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

West Bromwich Albion

0–15'66
16–30'89
31–45'912
46–60'511
61–75'88
76–90'1212

Stoke City

0–15'88
16–30'55
31–45'108
46–60'1314
61–75'85
76–90'716

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

West Bromwich Albion · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.147
Early press (0-15, level)+0.027
Late push (76+, level)-0.292

Game state

When ahead+0.085
When level+0.197
When behind-0.033
10 min after conceding-0.105
10 min after scoring+0.387

Situations

At home+0.274
Away-0.043
3 days rest or fewer+0.052
4+ days rest+0.175

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.003
v bottom-tier opponents+0.234
As favourite+0.224
As underdog-0.072

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.047
Conceded when ahead-0.165
Conceded late (76+)-0.257

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.11 · Behind vs level -0.22

Stoke City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807

Situations

At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05

West Bromwich Albion

Current: unbeaten 4 · winless 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 52%1.251.171.291.480.98
4-4-217 37%1.291.00.821.521.08
3-4-2-13 6%0.00.03.00.861.62
5-4-12 4%0.51.52.01.180.75

Stoke City

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-141 89%1.241.11.151.21.34
3-4-2-13 6%1.331.331.331.762.14
4-4-22 4%0.01.02.51.292.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.9h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.15Home 44% P 44%3.1Draw 30% P 29%3.6Away 26% P 26%

Double Chance

1.28West Brom or Draw 37% P 37%1.36West Brom or Stoke 35% P 35%1.7Draw or Stoke 28% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49% P 46%1.8No 51% P 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.3Over 41% P 40%1.61Under 59% P 60%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

2.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
3.52.2Over 42% P 40%1.61Under 58% P 60%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 25–27.5% · 725 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home44%44%44%-0.2
Draw29%30%28%-1.4
Away26%26%28%+1.6

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes46%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.540%41%41%-0.4

David Webb

Career
296 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
2.96 (2.84 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
18.7 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.19
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 137 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.264.05-1.446
Fouls / match20.421.8-1.35
Fouls per card6.55.4+1.44 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.2445
Time added7.67.2+0.4463
First card
38' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-31 20 8
2026-01-04 50 271 48'9
2025-12-29 50 230 23'9
2025-12-20 20 180 49'12
2025-12-13 10 212 32'7
2025-12-06 20 200 49'8
2025-11-29 20 150 14'12
2025-11-25 28 8
2025-11-23 30 210 36'11
2025-11-04 30 160 45'10