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Championship · Matchweek 31
WrexhamWrexham
0–2
FT
MillwallMillwall

Momentum

– WrexhamMillwall –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
31

Venue

Stadium
Racecourse Ground, Racecourse Ground
Capacity
10,771
Surface
grass
Attendance
10,663

Teams

Coaches
Phil Parkinson · Alex Neil
Position
6 · 5
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Tim Robinson

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
8.5° (feels 6.4°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
94%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Wrexham

DLDWW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 8 · xG 7.35–6.26 · xPts 7.73

  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 xG 1.78–0.56 UK CHAMP
  • W A Queens Park Rangers 3–2 xG 0.52–1.05 UK CHAMP
  • D H Leicester City 1–1 xG 1.11–0.85 UK CHAMP
  • L H Norwich City 1–2 xG 1.87–0.76 UK CHAMP
  • D H Nottingham Forest 3–3 won on pens None–None xG 2.08–3.04 UK FA Cup

Millwall

LWLWD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 8 · xG 9.4–8.0 · xPts 7.15

  • D H Sheffield United 1–1 xG 1.17–1.66 UK CHAMP
  • W H Charlton Athletic 4–0 xG 4.57–0.15 UK CHAMP
  • L A Coventry City 1–2 xG 1.22–2.69 UK CHAMP
  • W A Watford 2–0 xG 1.37–0.42 UK CHAMP
  • L A Burnley 1–5 xG 1.07–3.08 UK FA Cup

All meetings · 3 matches since 2025

Wrexham 20 draws1 Millwall

Goals 5–2 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Wrexham 20 draws1 Millwall

Goals 5–2 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 33%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Wrexham 20 draws1 Millwall

Goals 5–2 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 33%

Recent meetings

  • W Millwall 0–3 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Wrexham 0–2 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 0–2 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricWrexham all · 46Wrexham at home · 23Millwall all · 48Millwall away · 24
Results
Matches46234824
Points per game1.541.611.751.75
W / D / L19 / 14 / 1310 / 7 / 624 / 12 / 1211 / 9 / 4
Goals for / match1.501.781.331.29
Goals against / match1.411.611.061.00
Clean sheets26%22%40%33%
Failed to score13%4%21%21%
Both teams scored65%74%48%58%
Over 2.550%56%46%42%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.541.501.38
xG against / match1.481.281.331.51
xG difference-0.260.260.18-0.13
Finishing vs xG0.280.24-0.17-0.08
xPts / match1.221.541.471.30
Points vs xPts0.320.070.280.45
Game state
Scored first52%56%52%46%
PPG when scoring first2.082.232.602.64
PPG when conceding first0.950.800.791.00
Came back from behind46%50%43%60%
Leads held63%62%86%85%
Minutes leading31%30%27%20%
Minutes level46%43%56%61%
Minutes trailing23%26%17%18%
First goal (min)37384451
First goal conceded (min)40374342
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%49%61%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%51%67%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.370.480.350.38
Late goals against0.410.350.350.25
Style
Possession48%51%48%46%
Shots11.314.112.912.3
On target3.84.84.23.8
Shot conversion13%13%10%10%
Shots inside box66%68%68%65%
Big chances created2.32.82.32.2
Corners4.55.25.75.2
xG from set plays32%36%33%30%
Goals from headers29%38%16%13%
Pressure index10.113.111.99.1
Dominant minutes41.951.344.439.2
Pass accuracy78%80%70%69%
Fouls9.78.812.614.4
Cards1.591.261.902.42

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Wrexham

0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1212
46–60'138
61–75'79
76–90'1719

Millwall

0–15'66
16–30'96
31–45'105
46–60'1112
61–75'115
76–90'1717

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Wrexham · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135

Situations

At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04

Millwall · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.017
Early press (0-15, level)+0.217

Game state

When ahead+0.045
When level+0.017
When behind-0.133
10 min after conceding-0.344
10 min after scoring+0.546

Situations

Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.043
Away-0.044
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest+0.135

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.054
v bottom-tier opponents-0.073
Evenly matched+0.104
As underdog-0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.275
Conceded late (76+)-0.035

Congested vs rested -0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.14

Wrexham

Current: winless 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 50%1.611.571.391.171.25
3-5-28 17%0.50.881.880.962.43
3-5-1-16 13%1.51.171.51.641.12
3-4-1-23 6%1.671.331.01.341.59
3-1-4-23 6%2.332.00.670.91.43

Millwall

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 83%1.81.41.081.541.27
4-4-24 8%1.750.750.751.480.88
4-4-1-12 4%0.51.01.51.252.23
4-3-1-21 2%3.02.01.01.073.62
4-1-4-11 2%1.01.01.01.11.34

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.7Home 35% P 35%3.25Draw 29% P 29%2.62Away 36% P 36%

Double Chance

1.44Wrexham or Draw 32% P 32%1.33Wrexham or Millwall 35% P 36%1.44Draw or Millwall 32% P 32%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 53%2.0No 46% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 45%1.8Under 53% P 55%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 52%1.83Under 50% P 48%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 35–37.5% · 584 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home35%36%35%-0.6
Draw29%28%28%+0.2
Away36%36%36%+0.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%46%45%-1.2

Tim Robinson

Career
329 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
3.97 (3.82 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
23.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.21
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 80 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.654.05+1.0892
Fouls / match22.621.8+0.71
Fouls per card4.95.4-1.01 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.190.17+0.1363
Time added6.77.2-0.6024
First card
36' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-01 41 160 35'14
2026-01-17 50 210 18'4
2026-01-10 40 210 45'9
2026-01-03 40 240 22'5
2025-12-26 · Millwall 30 230 49'4
2025-12-13 50 230 28'9
2025-12-03 40 300 19'10
2025-11-29 101 271 21'15
2025-11-09 50 220 12'9
2025-10-18 30 170 52'8