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Championship · Matchweek 32

Momentum

BRCWBA
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
32

Venue

Stadium
St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Capacity
29,409
Surface
grass
Attendance
27,307

Teams

Coaches
Chris Davies · Eric Ramsay
Position
10 · 20
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Adam Herczeg

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
8.3° (feels 7.9°)
Wind
1.3
Humidity
97%

Where to watch · 211

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Birmingham City

DWDWW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 3 · xG 10.29–4.09 · xPts 10.65

  • W H Leicester City 2–1 xG 2.04–0.54 UK CHAMP
  • W A Oxford United 2–0 xG 1.28–0.68 UK CHAMP
  • D H Stoke City 1–1 xG 2.5–0.39 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 2–0 xG 2.88–0.64 UK CHAMP
  • D A Swansea City 1–1 xG 1.59–1.85 UK CHAMP

West Bromwich Albion

LLDLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 3 GA 12 · xG 4.55–5.49 · xPts 6.51

  • D H Stoke City 0–0 xG 0.57–0.34 UK CHAMP
  • L A Portsmouth 0–3 xG 0.11–2.36 UK CHAMP
  • D A Derby County 1–1 xG 1.42–0.7 UK CHAMP
  • L H Norwich City 0–5 xG 1.51–1.29 UK CHAMP
  • L H Middlesbrough 2–3 xG 0.94–0.8 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 23 matches since 2002

Birmingham City 87 draws8 West Bromwich Albion

Goals 31–28 · 2.57 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 39%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Birmingham City 43 draws3 West Bromwich Albion

Goals 12–9 · 2.1 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Birmingham City 22 draws1 West Bromwich Albion

Goals 6–3 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Birmingham City 0–0 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D West Bromwich Albion 1–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L West Bromwich Albion 1–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 3–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 2–0 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W West Bromwich Albion 2–3 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 1–0 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L West Bromwich Albion 1–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D West Bromwich Albion 0–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 2–3 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBirmingham City all · 46Birmingham City at home · 23West Bromwich Albion all · 46West Bromwich Albion away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.391.911.150.83
W / D / L17 / 13 / 1612 / 8 / 313 / 14 / 195 / 4 / 14
Goals for / match1.241.701.040.87
Goals against / match1.220.961.261.43
Clean sheets22%30%30%26%
Failed to score24%9%33%35%
Both teams scored56%65%50%48%
Over 2.546%48%46%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.491.911.441.21
xG against / match1.141.001.051.32
xG difference0.350.910.39-0.11
Finishing vs xG-0.25-0.21-0.40-0.34
xPts / match1.571.921.621.29
Points vs xPts-0.18-0.01-0.47-0.47
Game state
Scored first50%78%41%30%
PPG when scoring first2.352.332.052.14
PPG when conceding first0.410.250.380.14
Came back from behind33%40%17%12%
Leads held71%67%62%71%
Minutes leading28%44%25%18%
Minutes level42%46%50%49%
Minutes trailing31%10%25%33%
First goal (min)39304246
First goal conceded (min)35464541
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%44%52%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half39%50%53%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.170.260.35
Late goals against0.150.170.260.22
Style
Possession54%55%52%50%
Shots13.617.313.411.7
On target4.15.74.13.5
Shot conversion9%10%8%7%
Shots inside box64%63%65%67%
Big chances created2.43.02.11.9
Corners5.86.65.24.2
xG from set plays30%29%36%30%
Goals from headers21%24%26%30%
Pressure index14.418.313.410.4
Dominant minutes54.364.052.948.6
Pass accuracy77%77%80%79%
Fouls11.711.010.210.4
Cards2.112.001.832.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Birmingham City

0–15'1010
16–30'1112
31–45'812
46–60'98
61–75'87
76–90'117

West Bromwich Albion

0–15'66
16–30'89
31–45'912
46–60'511
61–75'88
76–90'1212

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Birmingham City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.127
Early press (0-15, level)+0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.194
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.552

Game state

When ahead+0.152
When level+0.247
When behind-0.295
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.296

Situations

At home-0.063
Away+0.274
3 days rest or fewer+0.362
4+ days rest+0.035

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.155
v bottom-tier opponents+0.072
Evenly matched+0.093
As underdog+0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.207

Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.53

West Bromwich Albion · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.147
Early press (0-15, level)+0.027
Late push (76+, level)-0.292

Game state

When ahead+0.085
When level+0.197
When behind-0.033
10 min after conceding-0.105
10 min after scoring+0.387

Situations

At home+0.274
Away-0.043
3 days rest or fewer+0.052
4+ days rest+0.175

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.003
v bottom-tier opponents+0.234
As favourite+0.224
As underdog-0.072

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.047
Conceded when ahead-0.165
Conceded late (76+)-0.257

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.11 · Behind vs level -0.22

Birmingham City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 87%1.381.331.281.541.16
4-4-1-12 4%1.51.01.51.730.5
4-4-22 4%1.50.50.51.160.61
4-1-4-11 2%3.01.00.00.831.5
3-4-31 2%0.00.01.00.251.91

West Bromwich Albion

Current: unbeaten 4 · winless 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 52%1.251.171.291.480.98
4-4-217 37%1.291.00.821.521.08
3-4-2-13 6%0.00.03.00.861.62
5-4-12 4%0.51.52.01.180.75

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.7Home 55% P 56%3.6Draw 26% P 25%5.0Away 19% P 19%

Double Chance

1.18Birmingham or Draw 40% P 40%1.28Birmingham or West Brom 37% P 37%2.0Draw or West Brom 23% P 23%

Draw No Bet

1.281 73%3.52 27%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49% P 49%1.8No 51% P 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 45%1.8Under 53% P 55%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58% P 54%2.2Under 42% P 46%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home56%56%53%-2.8
Draw25%25%26%+1.0
Away19%19%21%+1.8

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes49%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%46%45%-1.2

Adam Herczeg

Career
41 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
3.66 (3.54 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
21.8 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.12
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.914.05-0.2645
Fouls / match22.321.8+0.38
Fouls per card5.75.4+0.22 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.4422
Time added7.97.2+0.7974
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-07 40 260 71'8
2026-01-24 20 150 45'7
2026-01-21 41 210 45'7
2026-01-10 10 180 81'5
2025-12-29 60 240 13'6
2025-12-20 21 210 26'11
2025-12-10 20 220 79'5
2025-12-01 · Birmingham City 50 210 20'6
2025-11-26 30 200 22'10
2025-11-04 71 291 49'9