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Championship · Matchweek 32
Bristol CityBristol City
2–2
FT
WrexhamWrexham

Momentum

– Bristol CityWrexham –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
32

Venue

Stadium
Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
Capacity
27,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
22,915

Teams

Coaches
Gerhard Struber · Phil Parkinson
Position
9 · 8
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Ruebyn Ricardo

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
4.0° (feels 1.9°)
Wind
2.2
Humidity
71%

Where to watch · 202

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Bristol City

DLWLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 9 · xG 4.96–7.32 · xPts 5.48

  • W A Hull City 3–2 xG 1.41–1.32 UK CHAMP
  • L H Derby County 0–5 xG 0.49–2.77 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 2–0 xG 1.9–0.59 UK CHAMP
  • L A Ipswich Town 0–2 xG 0.81–1.51 UK CHAMP
  • D A Oxford United 0–0 xG 0.35–1.13 UK CHAMP

Wrexham

DWWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 5.99–5.08 · xPts 7.43

  • W H Ipswich Town 1–0 xG 1.06–1.83 UK FA Cup
  • L H Millwall 0–2 xG 1.52–0.79 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 xG 1.78–0.56 UK CHAMP
  • W A Queens Park Rangers 3–2 xG 0.52–1.05 UK CHAMP
  • D H Leicester City 1–1 xG 1.11–0.85 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Bristol City 01 draws1 Wrexham

Goals 2–4 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Bristol City 01 draws1 Wrexham

Goals 2–4 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Bristol City 01 draws1 Wrexham

Goals 2–4 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • D Bristol City 2–2 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Wrexham 2–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBristol City all · 46Bristol City at home · 23Wrexham all · 46Wrexham away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.351.351.541.48
W / D / L17 / 11 / 189 / 4 / 1019 / 14 / 139 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.281.431.501.22
Goals against / match1.281.351.411.22
Clean sheets30%35%26%30%
Failed to score33%30%13%22%
Both teams scored46%39%65%56%
Over 2.546%48%50%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.211.220.91
xG against / match1.481.491.481.68
xG difference-0.29-0.28-0.26-0.77
Finishing vs xG0.100.220.280.31
xPts / match1.201.211.220.91
Points vs xPts0.150.130.320.57
Game state
Scored first39%44%52%48%
PPG when scoring first2.332.202.081.91
PPG when conceding first0.670.670.951.10
Came back from behind31%29%46%42%
Leads held77%75%63%64%
Minutes leading30%33%31%32%
Minutes level41%38%46%49%
Minutes trailing29%29%23%20%
First goal (min)32283736
First goal conceded (min)30314043
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half46%52%54%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half44%48%55%61%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.350.370.26
Late goals against0.240.300.410.48
Style
Possession49%52%48%45%
Shots12.212.711.38.5
On target4.14.03.82.7
Shot conversion10%11%13%14%
Shots inside box60%59%66%64%
Big chances created1.92.02.31.7
Corners4.84.74.53.7
xG from set plays24%20%32%25%
Goals from headers21%21%29%15%
Pressure index11.914.510.17.1
Dominant minutes43.948.941.932.4
Pass accuracy78%80%78%76%
Fouls9.58.89.710.5
Cards1.831.651.591.91

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bristol City

0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111

Wrexham

0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1212
46–60'138
61–75'79
76–90'1719

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bristol City · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565

Situations

At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387

Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13

Wrexham · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135

Situations

At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04

Bristol City

Current: winless 2 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 54%1.481.441.41.161.42
4-2-3-18 17%1.131.251.380.971.51
3-5-25 11%0.81.01.01.521.38
3-4-1-24 9%1.00.751.51.481.44
3-4-31 2%1.00.00.00.351.13

Wrexham

Current: winless 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 50%1.611.571.391.171.25
3-5-28 17%0.50.881.880.962.43
3-5-1-16 13%1.51.171.51.641.12
3-4-1-23 6%1.671.331.01.341.59
3-1-4-23 6%2.332.00.670.91.43

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.15Home 44% P 44%3.4Draw 28% P 27%3.3Away 29% P 29%

Double Chance

1.36Bristol City or Draw 35% P 35%1.3Bristol City or Wrexham 37% P 36%1.66Draw or Wrexham 29% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 53%2.0No 46% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 47%1.8Under 53% P 53%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56% P 48%2.1Under 44% P 52%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home44%44%43%-0.3
Draw27%28%30%+2.4
Away29%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Ruebyn Ricardo

Career
36 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.47 (4.36 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
21.8 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 26 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.384.05+2.4198
Fouls / match22.621.8+0.67
Fouls per card4.55.4-1.52 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3435
Time added7.57.2+0.3357
First card
34' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-07 91 200 34'10
2026-01-17 80 290 45'12
2026-01-01 40 210 59'8
2025-12-29 · Wrexham –– 21– –6
2025-12-20 81 311 28'12
2025-12-13 70 300 17'8
2025-11-26 · Bristol City · Wrexham 30 180 41'6
2025-11-08 40 240 34'8
2025-11-01 60 250 50'10
2025-10-18 111 211 16'12