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Championship · Matchweek 32
Charlton AthleticCHA
1–0
FT
Stoke CityStoke City

Momentum

– CHAStoke City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
32

Venue

Stadium
The Valley, London
Capacity
27,111
Surface
grass
Attendance
14,836

Teams

Coaches
Nathan Jones · Mark Robins
Position
18 · 14
Formation
3-1-4-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Anthony Backhouse

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
9.2° (feels 8.2°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
91%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Charlton Athletic

WLLWD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 4.92–10.21 · xPts 5.02

  • D H Queens Park Rangers 0–0 xG 1.4–1.37 UK CHAMP
  • W A Leicester City 2–0 xG 1.37–2.05 UK CHAMP
  • L A Millwall 0–4 xG 0.15–4.57 UK CHAMP
  • L H Derby County 1–2 xG 0.89–1.61 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield United 1–0 xG 1.11–0.62 UK CHAMP

Stoke City

DLDLD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 2 GA 5 · xG 3.81–7.01 · xPts 4.83

  • D A West Bromwich Albion 0–0 xG 0.34–0.57 UK CHAMP
  • L H Southampton 0–2 xG 1.25–1.69 UK CHAMP
  • D A Birmingham City 1–1 xG 0.39–2.5 UK CHAMP
  • L H Middlesbrough 1–2 xG 1.18–1.83 UK CHAMP
  • D H Queens Park Rangers 0–0 xG 0.65–0.41 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 7 matches since 2007

Charlton Athletic 30 draws4 Stoke City

Goals 7–13 · 2.86 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 71%

Last 10 · 7 matches

Charlton Athletic 30 draws4 Stoke City

Goals 7–13 · 2.86 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 71%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Charlton Athletic 20 draws3 Stoke City

Goals 5–11 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Stoke City 4–0 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Charlton Athletic 1–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 3–0 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 3–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Charlton Athletic 3–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Charlton Athletic 1–0 Stoke City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 2–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricCharlton Athletic all · 46Charlton Athletic at home · 23Stoke City all · 46Stoke City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.151.351.200.96
W / D / L13 / 14 / 199 / 4 / 1015 / 10 / 216 / 4 / 13
Goals for / match0.961.001.110.74
Goals against / match1.261.131.221.22
Clean sheets28%35%28%30%
Failed to score22%17%37%52%
Both teams scored54%52%44%26%
Over 2.539%44%44%30%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.151.271.241.03
xG against / match1.551.341.431.67
xG difference-0.40-0.08-0.19-0.63
Finishing vs xG-0.19-0.27-0.13-0.30
xPts / match1.191.381.281.01
Points vs xPts-0.03-0.03-0.08-0.05
Game state
Scored first48%56%44%35%
PPG when scoring first2.052.232.252.38
PPG when conceding first0.270.110.270.08
Came back from behind24%9%22%7%
Leads held59%69%71%75%
Minutes leading16%18%24%16%
Minutes level56%51%50%51%
Minutes trailing28%31%27%32%
First goal (min)56523742
First goal conceded (min)43344440
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half66%61%55%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%35%62%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.300.150.04
Late goals against0.330.040.350.35
Style
Possession42%45%52%51%
Shots11.012.811.29.8
On target3.54.13.82.8
Shot conversion9%8%10%8%
Shots inside box68%69%65%62%
Big chances created1.92.11.81.4
Corners4.15.16.05.6
xG from set plays39%36%28%19%
Goals from headers19%17%16%19%
Pressure index7.09.313.310.2
Dominant minutes34.441.352.748.2
Pass accuracy70%71%78%78%
Fouls12.011.310.410.2
Cards2.202.302.302.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Charlton Athletic

0–15'28
16–30'58
31–45'811
46–60'78
61–75'108
76–90'1215

Stoke City

0–15'88
16–30'55
31–45'108
46–60'1314
61–75'85
76–90'716

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Charlton Athletic · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.117
Early press (0-15, level)+0.437
Late push (76+, level)-0.354

Game state

When ahead-0.333
When level-0.037
When behind-0.113
10 min after conceding-0.574
10 min after scoring+0.044

Situations

At home-0.034
Away-0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.342
4+ days rest-0.225

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.372
v bottom-tier opponents+0.154
Evenly matched+0.172
As underdog-0.304

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.447
Conceded when ahead+0.373
Conceded late (76+)+0.096

Congested vs rested +0.56 · Ahead vs level -0.30 · Behind vs level -0.09

Stoke City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807

Situations

At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05

Charlton Athletic

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-1-4-214 30%0.860.861.641.081.41
3-5-210 22%1.10.91.01.031.55
3-4-2-16 13%0.830.831.51.421.54
3-4-1-25 11%1.00.61.01.021.72
4-2-3-13 6%1.331.01.331.261.01

Stoke City

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-141 89%1.241.11.151.21.34
3-4-2-13 6%1.331.331.331.762.14
4-4-22 4%0.01.02.51.292.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.5h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.8Home 34% P 34%3.0Draw 31% P 32%2.7Away 35% P 34%

Double Chance

1.44Charlton or Draw 32% P 33%1.36Charlton or Stoke 34% P 34%1.4Draw or Stoke 33% P 33%

Draw No Bet

1.91 49%1.82 51%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44% P 46%1.66No 56% P 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.62Over 36% P 38%1.5Under 64% P 62%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 32.5–35% · 336 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home34%34%36%+2.3
Draw32%32%29%-3.3
Away34%34%35%+1.0

In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 40%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes46%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.538%39%39%+0.7

Anthony Backhouse

Career
81 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
4.02 (3.94 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
19.6 · 4.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.11
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 58 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.524.05+0.8480
Fouls / match21.721.8-0.18
Fouls per card4.85.4-1.12 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3139
Time added8.07.2+0.9078
First card
33' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-03 70 210 17'11
2026-01-23 50 270 5'9
2026-01-20 50 240 11'8
2026-01-10 40 190 34'6
2025-12-29 30 260 18'9
2025-12-20 50 110 25'8
2025-12-06 60 210 43'8
2025-11-29 30 210 68'6
2025-11-22 30 180 15'7
2025-11-05 40 170 48'6