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Championship · Matchweek 32
Ipswich TownIpswich Town
1–0
FT
Hull CityHull City

Momentum

– Ipswich TownHull City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
32

Venue

Stadium
Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich
Capacity
29,673
Surface
grass
Attendance
26,103

Teams

Coaches
Kieran McKenna · Sergej Jakirović
Position
4 · 5
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Lewis Smith

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
6.4° (feels 4.2°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
96%

Where to watch · 183

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Ipswich Town

WLLWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 10 GA 7 · xG 7.29–6.2 · xPts 7.74

  • W H Swansea City 3–0 xG 1.4–0.54 UK CHAMP
  • W A Watford 2–0 xG 1.31–1.5 UK CHAMP
  • L A Wrexham 3–5 xG 1.21–2.06 UK CHAMP
  • L A Wrexham 0–1 xG 1.83–1.06 UK FA Cup
  • W A Derby County 2–1 xG 1.54–1.04 UK CHAMP

Hull City

LLLWW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 12 · xG 5.69–8.09 · xPts 5.3

  • W A Portsmouth 1–0 xG 0.32–1.39 UK CHAMP
  • W H Derby County 4–2 xG 0.78–2.23 UK CHAMP
  • L H Queens Park Rangers 1–3 xG 2.2–0.86 UK CHAMP
  • L H Chelsea 0–4 xG 1.07–2.19 UK FA Cup
  • L H Bristol City 2–3 xG 1.32–1.41 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 22 matches since 2005

Ipswich Town 56 draws11 Hull City

Goals 24–33 · 2.59 per match · BTTS 41% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Ipswich Town 32 draws5 Hull City

Goals 11–16 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Ipswich Town 31 draws1 Hull City

Goals 9–5 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Ipswich Town 1–0 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 0–2 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 3–3 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 3–0 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Ipswich Town 0–2 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 2–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Ipswich Town 0–3 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 2–2 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Ipswich Town 0–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 3–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricIpswich Town all · 46Ipswich Town at home · 23Hull City all · 49Hull City away · 24
Results
Matches46234924
Points per game1.832.171.631.58
W / D / L23 / 15 / 814 / 8 / 123 / 11 / 1511 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match1.741.871.491.54
Goals against / match1.020.741.351.33
Clean sheets37%44%29%29%
Failed to score13%9%18%12%
Both teams scored56%52%61%62%
Over 2.552%56%61%67%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.832.071.371.27
xG against / match1.030.841.661.91
xG difference0.801.23-0.29-0.63
Finishing vs xG-0.09-0.200.120.27
xPts / match1.882.161.251.09
Points vs xPts-0.060.020.380.49
Game state
Scored first54%70%57%67%
PPG when scoring first2.682.622.182.00
PPG when conceding first0.781.170.880.71
Came back from behind60%86%35%33%
Leads held79%82%72%65%
Minutes leading33%45%30%32%
Minutes level50%48%53%52%
Minutes trailing17%8%17%16%
First goal (min)40323233
First goal conceded (min)40464044
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%44%45%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%59%52%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.480.270.33
Late goals against0.130.040.310.38
Style
Possession56%56%45%43%
Shots15.116.511.111.0
On target5.15.74.14.3
Shot conversion12%11%13%14%
Shots inside box67%68%68%68%
Big chances created2.83.52.22.3
Corners5.76.24.44.6
xG from set plays32%29%21%13%
Goals from headers12%5%14%19%
Pressure index18.820.79.37.6
Dominant minutes62.366.739.832.6
Pass accuracy81%81%72%71%
Fouls11.210.311.211.5
Cards1.931.392.553.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Ipswich Town

0–15'124
16–30'56
31–45'1613
46–60'149
61–75'109
76–90'236

Hull City

0–15'117
16–30'1413
31–45'1512
46–60'910
61–75'119
76–90'1315

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Ipswich Town · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.494
Late push (76+, level)-0.762

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.364
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.143

Situations

At home-0.202
Away-0.302
4+ days rest-0.254

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
v mid-tier opponents-0.282
As underdog-0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.034
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)-0.123

Ahead vs level +0.36 · Behind vs level +0.12

Hull City · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133

Situations

At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.573
Conceded late (76+)+0.274

Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08

Ipswich Town

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.841.761.021.841.03
4-4-1-11 2%1.01.01.01.271.19

Hull City

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 74%1.641.611.441.491.76
3-4-2-16 12%1.51.01.171.091.37
3-4-1-22 4%0.51.52.01.251.52
4-4-22 4%3.01.50.51.091.08
4-4-1-11 2%1.02.02.01.420.96

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.42Home 66% P 65%4.5Draw 21% P 21%7.0Away 13% P 14%

Double Chance

1.12Ipswich or Draw 42% P 43%1.2Ipswich or Hull 40% P 39%2.62Draw or Hull 18% P 17%

Draw No Bet

1.141 83%5.52 17%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 50%1.83No 50% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 54%2.1Under 45% P 46%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 65–67.5% · away 12.5–15% · 566 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home65%66%69%+3.3
Draw21%20%20%-0.7
Away14%14%11%-2.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 58%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%55%+0.8

Lewis Smith

Career
75 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
3.67 (3.57 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.8 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.21
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 51 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.94.05-0.2839
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.98
Fouls per card5.65.4+0.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.2843
Time added8.27.2+1.1388
First card
34' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-27 50 160 26'10
2026-02-21 61 240 30'6
2026-02-14 31 220 101'8
2026-01-31 30 170 69'14
2026-01-25 30 230 70'7
2026-01-17 50 220 85'7
2026-01-10 30 170 26'6
2026-01-01 30 190 43'7
2025-12-29 20 160 37'6
2025-12-15 50 180 56'8