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Championship · Matchweek 32
Preston North EndPNE
2–2
FT
WatfordWatford

Momentum

– PNEWatford –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
32

Venue

Stadium
Deepdale, Preston
Capacity
23,408
Surface
grass
Attendance
14,611

Teams

Coaches
Paul Heckingbottom · Edward Still
Position
7 · 12
Formation
3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Dean Whitestone

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
4.8° (feels 2.8°)
Wind
2.4
Humidity
86%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Preston North End

LLLDW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 2 GA 9 · xG 4.04–9.53 · xPts 3.37

  • W H Portsmouth 1–0 xG 0.4–1.46 UK CHAMP
  • D A Ipswich Town 1–1 xG 1.29–2.79 UK CHAMP
  • L A Middlesbrough 0–4 xG 0.48–1.93 UK CHAMP
  • L H Hull City 0–3 xG 1.04–1.99 UK CHAMP
  • L H Derby County 0–1 xG 0.83–1.36 UK CHAMP

Watford

DDLDL 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 2 GA 5 · xG 5.89–4.6 · xPts 8.08

  • L A Southampton 0–1 xG 1.15–0.61 UK CHAMP
  • D A Hull City 0–0 xG 1.39–0.34 UK CHAMP
  • L H Swansea City 0–2 xG 0.97–2.3 UK CHAMP
  • D A Blackburn Rovers 1–1 xG 1.42–0.64 UK CHAMP
  • D H Portsmouth 1–1 xG 0.95–0.7 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 21 matches since 2005

Preston North End 69 draws6 Watford

Goals 24–26 · 2.38 per match · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 48%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Preston North End 25 draws3 Watford

Goals 10–12 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Preston North End 22 draws1 Watford

Goals 9–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Watford 2–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 2–2 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Watford 1–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Watford 1–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 3–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Watford 0–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 1–5 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Watford 0–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 0–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 0–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricPreston North End all · 46Preston North End at home · 23Watford all · 46Watford away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.301.351.240.87
W / D / L15 / 15 / 168 / 7 / 814 / 15 / 174 / 8 / 11
Goals for / match1.201.221.151.00
Goals against / match1.351.301.411.65
Clean sheets20%22%15%9%
Failed to score26%26%30%30%
Both teams scored59%56%59%65%
Over 2.548%48%48%52%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.221.341.19
xG against / match1.631.421.251.34
xG difference-0.45-0.200.10-0.15
Finishing vs xG0.020.00-0.19-0.19
xPts / match1.131.251.431.30
Points vs xPts0.170.10-0.20-0.43
Game state
Scored first41%39%26%22%
PPG when scoring first2.162.332.331.80
PPG when conceding first0.680.690.840.59
Came back from behind38%43%47%35%
Leads held62%73%67%40%
Minutes leading28%27%18%10%
Minutes level45%46%49%50%
Minutes trailing27%27%34%40%
First goal (min)36404853
First goal conceded (min)42433432
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%61%58%70%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%60%48%45%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.300.300.30
Late goals against0.300.350.280.35
Style
Possession46%48%51%51%
Shots10.911.313.812.0
On target3.63.44.43.5
Shot conversion11%11%8%8%
Shots inside box68%69%58%58%
Big chances created1.61.72.12.0
Corners4.55.34.94.4
xG from set plays34%35%27%31%
Goals from headers22%21%14%9%
Pressure index8.89.510.99.5
Dominant minutes40.542.347.041.8
Pass accuracy72%73%80%79%
Fouls10.410.111.010.8
Cards2.092.132.152.43

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Preston North End

0–15'1111
16–30'107
31–45'613
46–60'109
61–75'68
76–90'1214

Watford

0–15'59
16–30'613
31–45'1112
46–60'910
61–75'88
76–90'1413

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.175
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Watford · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.097
Early press (0-15, level)-0.117
Late push (76+, level)-0.453
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.193

Game state

When ahead-0.144
When level-0.157
When behind+0.004
10 min after conceding-0.177
10 min after scoring-0.015

Situations

At home-0.234
Away+0.093
3 days rest or fewer+0.062
4+ days rest-0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.024
v bottom-tier opponents-0.122
As underdog-0.085

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.277
Conceded when ahead+0.454
Conceded late (76+)-0.017

Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level +0.16

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-214 30%1.51.361.361.191.42
3-1-4-29 20%1.221.111.111.221.23
5-3-27 15%0.710.861.710.971.94
4-4-25 11%1.81.41.61.441.99
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.01.21.231.86

Watford

Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-221 46%1.481.291.291.251.32
4-2-3-110 22%1.31.21.11.250.83
3-5-25 11%0.40.82.00.861.68
3-4-1-23 6%2.332.01.333.01.2
4-3-32 4%0.00.52.01.481.61

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.2Home 29% P 33%3.2Draw 29% P 29%2.3Away 41% P 38%

Double Chance

1.57Preston or Draw 30% P 31%1.36Preston or Watford 35% P 36%1.36Draw or Watford 35% P 34%

Draw No Bet

2.21 42%1.612 58%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 51%1.83No 50% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 44%1.72Under 55% P 56%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 37.5–40% · 491 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home33%34%31%-2.8
Draw29%28%28%-0.1
Away38%39%42%+3.0

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Dean Whitestone

Career
255 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
2.93 (2.83 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
20.1 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.22
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 108 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.334.05-1.318
Fouls / match20.921.8-0.83
Fouls per card6.35.4+1.16 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.17+0.4878
Time added7.37.2+0.1053
First card
42' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-03 60 250 47'6
2026-01-20 70 330 40'9
2026-01-01 30 200 45'10
2025-12-09 · Watford 20 181 11'9
2025-12-05 10 281 58'6
2025-11-22 50 260 37'5
2025-11-08 20 270 9'12
2025-11-04 30 180 37'17
2025-10-25 · Watford 51 181 44'9
2025-09-27 30 270 23'8