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Championship · Matchweek 32
Queens Park RangersQPR
1–3
FT
Blackburn RoversBBR

Momentum

– QPRBBR –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
32

Venue

Stadium
MATRADE Loftus Road, London
Capacity
18,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
16,607

Teams

Coaches
Julien Stéphan · Michael O'Neill
Position
13 · 22
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Stephen Martin

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
5.0° (feels 3.3°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
62%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Queens Park Rangers

DDLWD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 4 · xG 4.91–4.01 · xPts 7.34

  • D A Charlton Athletic 0–0 xG 1.37–1.4 UK CHAMP
  • W H Coventry City 2–1 xG 1.35–0.6 UK CHAMP
  • L H Wrexham 2–3 xG 1.05–0.52 UK CHAMP
  • D A Oxford United 0–0 xG 0.74–0.84 UK CHAMP
  • D A Stoke City 0–0 xG 0.41–0.65 UK CHAMP

Blackburn Rovers

LDLWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 7 · xG 4.27–5.29 · xPts 5.97

  • L A Norwich City 0–2 xG 0.43–1.13 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 xG 1.35–0.43 UK CHAMP
  • L H Hull City 0–1 xG 0.87–1.32 UK CHAMP
  • D H Watford 1–1 xG 0.64–1.42 UK CHAMP
  • L A Swansea City 1–3 xG 0.97–0.99 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 28 matches since 2006

Queens Park Rangers 75 draws16 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 26–44 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Queens Park Rangers 40 draws6 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 9–17 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Queens Park Rangers 30 draws2 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 6–7 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 1–3 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 0–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 2–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 2–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 0–4 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 1–3 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 1–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 1–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricQueens Park Rangers all · 46Queens Park Rangers at home · 23Blackburn Rovers all · 46Blackburn Rovers away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.261.431.131.35
W / D / L16 / 10 / 2010 / 3 / 1013 / 13 / 209 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match1.331.740.911.00
Goals against / match1.591.611.221.26
Clean sheets22%17%26%30%
Failed to score28%17%35%39%
Both teams scored63%74%48%39%
Over 2.563%78%39%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.301.631.201.13
xG against / match1.331.211.301.45
xG difference-0.030.42-0.10-0.31
Finishing vs xG0.020.11-0.28-0.13
xPts / match1.371.681.321.19
Points vs xPts-0.11-0.24-0.190.16
Game state
Scored first33%48%46%52%
PPG when scoring first2.472.271.762.17
PPG when conceding first0.600.600.520.33
Came back from behind26%17%26%9%
Leads held84%77%56%69%
Minutes leading20%30%21%28%
Minutes level46%45%55%48%
Minutes trailing34%26%24%24%
First goal (min)45414436
First goal conceded (min)34434944
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%55%48%39%
Goals conceded in 2nd half48%68%59%66%
Late goals for (76'+)0.390.520.220.09
Late goals against0.260.480.390.35
Style
Possession46%47%48%47%
Shots12.714.311.511.4
On target4.15.03.23.1
Shot conversion10%12%8%9%
Shots inside box63%63%67%66%
Big chances created1.82.42.02.2
Corners4.85.45.34.9
xG from set plays31%28%27%24%
Goals from headers17%15%27%27%
Pressure index11.715.410.19.4
Dominant minutes46.754.444.643.4
Pass accuracy76%75%74%75%
Fouls11.011.110.511.3
Cards1.912.132.172.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'712
16–30'711
31–45'1215
46–60'716
61–75'107
76–90'1812

Blackburn Rovers

0–15'54
16–30'67
31–45'1112
46–60'69
61–75'46
76–90'1018

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.325
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

Blackburn Rovers · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.512
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.353

Game state

When ahead-0.145
When level+0.067
When behind+0.155
10 min after conceding+0.236
10 min after scoring+0.556

Situations

At home+0.004
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.282
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.016
Evenly matched+0.125
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.067
Conceded when ahead+0.045
Conceded late (76+)-0.057

Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.09

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-123 50%1.391.261.481.321.24
4-4-223 50%1.131.391.71.281.42

Blackburn Rovers

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-1-217 37%1.060.941.291.311.11
4-2-3-113 28%1.080.921.231.131.34
3-4-2-112 26%1.170.831.081.151.35
3-5-22 4%1.51.51.01.062.12
3-1-4-21 2%0.00.03.00.782.71

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.2Home 42% P 43%3.2Draw 29% P 30%3.3Away 28% P 28%

Double Chance

1.28QPR or Draw 37% P 36%1.33QPR or Blackburn 35% P 35%1.7Draw or Blackburn 28% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 46% P 47%1.72No 54% P 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.3Over 41% P 41%1.61Under 59% P 59%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 52%1.83Under 50% P 48%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home43%44%43%-0.3
Draw30%28%30%+2.4
Away28%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes47%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.541%41%41%-0.4

Stephen Martin

Career
78 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.68 (4.58 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
22.9 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.12
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 72 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.64.05+0.9986
Fouls / match23.021.8+1.06
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.59 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.110.17-0.9412
Time added7.77.2+0.5667
First card
35' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-31 40 190 22'7
2026-01-20 51 250 45'10
2026-01-10 30 211 14'5
2026-01-05 10 160 77'7
2025-12-26 60 170 28'9
2025-12-20 50 280 37'8
2025-12-13 40 280 57'6
2025-12-06 30 211 33'7
2025-11-22 40 210 60'7
2025-11-08 40 210 13'7