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Championship · Matchweek 33
Blackburn RoversBBR
1–0
FT
Preston North EndPNE

Momentum

– BBRPNE –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
33

Venue

Stadium
Ewood Park, Blackburn
Capacity
31,367
Surface
grass
Attendance
19,792

Teams

Coaches
Michael O'Neill · Paul Heckingbottom
Position
20 · 8
Formation
5-3-2 · 5-3-2

Referee

Anthony Backhouse

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
8.3° (feels 6.7°)
Wind
2.7
Humidity
87%

Where to watch · 314

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Blackburn Rovers

DLWLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 4.27–7.22 · xPts 5.06

  • W A Queens Park Rangers 3–1 xG 0.98–2.92 UK CHAMP
  • L A Norwich City 0–2 xG 0.43–1.13 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 xG 1.35–0.43 UK CHAMP
  • L H Hull City 0–1 xG 0.87–1.32 UK CHAMP
  • D H Watford 1–1 xG 0.64–1.42 UK CHAMP

Preston North End

LLDWD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 10 · xG 4.17–9.37 · xPts 3.58

  • D H Watford 2–2 xG 0.96–1.2 UK CHAMP
  • W H Portsmouth 1–0 xG 0.4–1.46 UK CHAMP
  • D A Ipswich Town 1–1 xG 1.29–2.79 UK CHAMP
  • L A Middlesbrough 0–4 xG 0.48–1.93 UK CHAMP
  • L H Hull City 0–3 xG 1.04–1.99 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 21 matches since 2015

Blackburn Rovers 75 draws9 Preston North End

Goals 31–33 · 3.05 per match · BTTS 76% · over 2.5 71%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Blackburn Rovers 43 draws3 Preston North End

Goals 15–14 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Blackburn Rovers 31 draws1 Preston North End

Goals 6–4 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Preston North End 2–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 1–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 1–2 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 2–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 0–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 2–2 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 1–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 1–4 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 1–4 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBlackburn Rovers all · 46Blackburn Rovers at home · 23Preston North End all · 46Preston North End away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.130.911.301.26
W / D / L13 / 13 / 204 / 9 / 1015 / 15 / 167 / 8 / 8
Goals for / match0.910.831.201.17
Goals against / match1.221.171.351.39
Clean sheets26%22%20%17%
Failed to score35%30%26%26%
Both teams scored48%56%59%61%
Over 2.539%30%48%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.201.261.181.14
xG against / match1.301.151.631.83
xG difference-0.100.11-0.45-0.70
Finishing vs xG-0.28-0.430.020.04
xPts / match1.321.461.131.01
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.540.170.25
Game state
Scored first46%39%41%44%
PPG when scoring first1.761.222.162.00
PPG when conceding first0.520.670.680.67
Came back from behind26%38%38%33%
Leads held56%40%62%54%
Minutes leading21%14%28%30%
Minutes level55%61%45%43%
Minutes trailing24%24%27%27%
First goal (min)44513632
First goal conceded (min)49534240
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%58%51%41%
Goals conceded in 2nd half59%52%50%41%
Late goals for (76'+)0.220.350.260.22
Late goals against0.390.430.300.26
Style
Possession48%48%46%44%
Shots11.511.610.910.6
On target3.23.23.63.8
Shot conversion8%7%11%11%
Shots inside box67%69%68%66%
Big chances created2.01.71.61.6
Corners5.35.84.53.7
xG from set plays27%30%34%33%
Goals from headers27%26%22%22%
Pressure index10.110.78.88.1
Dominant minutes44.645.840.538.6
Pass accuracy74%73%72%72%
Fouls10.59.810.410.7
Cards2.172.002.092.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Blackburn Rovers

0–15'54
16–30'67
31–45'1112
46–60'69
61–75'46
76–90'1018

Preston North End

0–15'1111
16–30'107
31–45'613
46–60'109
61–75'68
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Blackburn Rovers · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.512
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.353

Game state

When ahead-0.145
When level+0.067
When behind+0.155
10 min after conceding+0.236
10 min after scoring+0.556

Situations

At home+0.004
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.282
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.016
Evenly matched+0.125
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.067
Conceded when ahead+0.045
Conceded late (76+)-0.057

Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.09

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.175
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Blackburn Rovers

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-1-217 37%1.060.941.291.311.11
4-2-3-113 28%1.080.921.231.131.34
3-4-2-112 26%1.170.831.081.151.35
3-5-22 4%1.51.51.01.062.12
5-3-21 2%3.01.00.01.330.18

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-214 30%1.51.361.361.191.42
3-1-4-29 20%1.221.111.111.221.23
5-3-27 15%0.710.861.710.971.94
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.01.21.231.86
4-4-25 11%1.81.41.61.441.99

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 29.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.1Home 35% P 45%3.4Draw 22% P 28%3.5Away 21% P 27%3.4Tie 22%

Double Chance

1.28Blackburn or Draw 22% P 37%1.3Blackburn or Preston 22% P 36%1.28Blackburn or Tie 22% P 36%1.72Tie or Preston 17% P 36%1.7Draw or Preston 17% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 25% P 51%1.83No 25% P 49%1.72Não 27%2.0Sim 23%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 21% P 45%1.66Under 28% P 55%2.37Mais de 20%1.57Menos de 30%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 25–27.5% · 725 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home45%44%44%-0.2
Draw28%30%28%-1.4
Away27%26%28%+1.6

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%46%45%-1.2

Anthony Backhouse

Career
81 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
4.02 (3.94 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
19.6 · 4.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.11
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 58 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.524.05+0.8580
Fouls / match21.721.8-0.19
Fouls per card4.85.4-1.13 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3341
Time added8.07.2+0.9178
First card
33' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-11 60 110 49'8
2026-02-03 70 210 17'11
2026-01-23 50 270 5'9
2026-01-20 · Blackburn Rovers 50 240 11'8
2026-01-10 40 190 34'6
2025-12-29 30 260 18'9
2025-12-20 50 110 25'8
2025-12-06 60 210 43'8
2025-11-29 30 210 68'6
2025-11-22 30 180 15'7