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Championship · Matchweek 33
MiddlesbroughMID
0–0
FT
Oxford UnitedOXF

Momentum

– MIDOXF –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
33

Venue

Stadium
Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Capacity
34,988
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Kim Hellberg · Matt Bloomfield
Position
2 · 23
Formation
4-2-2-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Oliver Langford

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
10.2° (feels 9.6°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
90%

Where to watch · 184

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Middlesbrough

WWWWL 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 5 · xG 7.36–5.05 · xPts 8.54

  • L A Coventry City 1–3 xG 1.37–1.98 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield United 2–1 xG 1.44–1.05 UK CHAMP
  • W H Norwich City 1–0 xG 0.78–0.36 UK CHAMP
  • W H Preston North End 4–0 xG 1.93–0.48 UK CHAMP
  • W A Stoke City 2–1 xG 1.83–1.18 UK CHAMP

Oxford United

LLDLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 1 GA 9 · xG 3.76–7.24 · xPts 4.38

  • L H Sunderland 0–1 xG 1.19–1.8 UK FA Cup
  • L H Norwich City 0–3 xG 0.74–1.31 UK CHAMP
  • D A Coventry City 0–0 xG 0.16–1.82 UK CHAMP
  • L A Sheffield United 1–3 xG 0.99–1.02 UK CHAMP
  • L H Birmingham City 0–2 xG 0.68–1.28 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 5 matches since 2017

Middlesbrough 32 draws0 Oxford United

Goals 12–6 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Last 10 · 5 matches

Middlesbrough 32 draws0 Oxford United

Goals 12–6 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Middlesbrough 32 draws0 Oxford United

Goals 12–6 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Middlesbrough 0–0 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Oxford United 1–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 2–1 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Oxford United 2–6 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 3–2 Oxford United UK FA Cup · 5th Round
MetricMiddlesbrough all · 49Middlesbrough at home · 24Oxford United all · 46Oxford United away · 23
Results
Matches49244623
Points per game1.651.791.020.78
W / D / L22 / 15 / 1212 / 7 / 511 / 14 / 214 / 6 / 13
Goals for / match1.491.420.980.91
Goals against / match1.020.751.281.39
Clean sheets29%42%17%13%
Failed to score26%29%41%44%
Both teams scored55%46%52%56%
Over 2.553%42%46%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.591.621.170.99
xG against / match1.050.951.431.68
xG difference0.530.67-0.25-0.70
Finishing vs xG-0.10-0.21-0.20-0.07
xPts / match1.701.801.210.95
Points vs xPts-0.04-0.01-0.19-0.17
Game state
Scored first53%54%39%35%
PPG when scoring first2.462.622.061.63
PPG when conceding first0.670.710.220.17
Came back from behind46%38%19%13%
Leads held79%86%58%44%
Minutes leading32%33%21%19%
Minutes level49%52%47%47%
Minutes trailing19%15%32%34%
First goal (min)37382829
First goal conceded (min)46473538
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%53%38%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%61%41%41%
Late goals for (76'+)0.220.170.150.13
Late goals against0.290.290.150.26
Style
Possession59%60%40%38%
Shots16.217.311.99.8
On target4.85.23.42.6
Shot conversion9%8%8%9%
Shots inside box64%63%54%53%
Big chances created2.42.31.61.6
Corners6.87.84.03.4
xG from set plays24%30%40%33%
Goals from headers12%15%16%19%
Pressure index19.721.06.43.8
Dominant minutes63.163.133.723.1
Pass accuracy84%84%69%70%
Fouls9.39.210.811.0
Cards1.611.081.672.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Middlesbrough

0–15'97
16–30'1010
31–45'175
46–60'136
61–75'138
76–90'1113

Oxford United

0–15'1013
16–30'108
31–45'814
46–60'511
61–75'56
76–90'77

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Middlesbrough · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697

Situations

At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417

Congested vs rested +0.62 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77

Oxford United

No pressure profile yet.

Middlesbrough

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 29%1.431.140.931.521.11
4-2-3-111 22%2.452.00.731.541.13
4-2-2-28 16%0.750.630.881.921.08
4-4-25 10%2.42.41.61.131.07
3-4-1-23 6%1.01.672.670.881.17

Oxford United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 59%1.070.931.191.31.37
4-4-26 13%0.831.331.51.331.73
5-4-14 9%1.01.01.50.841.78
3-4-2-14 9%1.00.751.50.781.22
4-1-4-13 6%1.331.01.00.881.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 48.4h before kick-off · stale. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.36Home 49% P 69%4.75Draw 14% P 19%8.5Away 8% P 12%4.5Empate 15%4.5Tie 15%

Double Chance

1.08Middlesbrough or Draw 17% P 44%1.18Middlesbrough or Oxford Utd 15% P 41%1.08Middlesbrough or Tie 17% P 41%3.0Tie or Oxford Utd 6% P 41%3.0Draw or Oxford Utd 6% P 15%3.0Empate ou Oxford Utd 6%1.08Middlesbrough ou Empate 17%1.18Middlesbrough ou Oxford Utd 15%

Draw No Bet

1.11 86%7.02 14%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 24% P 48%1.8No 26% P 52%1.66Não 28%2.1Sim 22%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 29% P 56%2.2Under 22% P 44%1.8Mais de 26%2.0Menos de 24%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%6.5Over 14 13%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51% P 49%1.9Under 49% P 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 67.5–70% · away 10–12.5% · 543 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home69%69%72%+3.5
Draw19%20%18%-1.5
Away12%11%9%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.556%56%56%-0.2

Oliver Langford

Career
352 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.36 (3.22 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
20.8 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 118 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.84.05-0.4626
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.97
Fouls per card5.65.4+0.02 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3533
Time added7.57.2+0.3357
First card
35' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-07 20 180 81'12
2026-01-24 51 260 12'6
2026-01-17 62 200 35'8
2026-01-09 20 191 71'8
2026-01-04 · Middlesbrough 30 190 64'8
2025-12-29 50 230 57'4
2025-12-19 40 180 18'8
2025-12-09 · Middlesbrough 50 230 31'7
2025-12-02 40 230 10'6
2025-11-29 20 221 34'9