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Championship · Matchweek 33
Norwich CityNorwich City
1–2
FT
Birmingham CityBRC

Momentum

– Norwich CityBRC –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
33

Venue

Stadium
Carrow Road, Norwich
Capacity
27,244
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Philippe Clement · Chris Davies
Position
17 · 12
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Farai Hallam

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
11.8° (feels 11.4°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
87%

Where to watch · 184

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Norwich City

WLWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 3 · xG 6.77–4.76 · xPts 8.0

  • W H West Bromwich Albion 3–1 xG 2.73–0.71 UK FA Cup
  • W A Oxford United 3–0 xG 1.31–0.74 UK CHAMP
  • W H Blackburn Rovers 2–0 xG 1.13–0.43 UK CHAMP
  • L A Middlesbrough 0–1 xG 0.36–0.78 UK CHAMP
  • W H Coventry City 2–1 xG 1.24–2.1 UK CHAMP

Birmingham City

DWWDD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 11.81–6.42 · xPts 10.43

  • D H Leeds United 1–1 lost on pens None–None xG 4.56–4.32 UK FA Cup
  • D H West Bromwich Albion 0–0 xG 1.42–0.49 UK CHAMP
  • W H Leicester City 2–1 xG 2.04–0.54 UK CHAMP
  • W A Oxford United 2–0 xG 1.28–0.68 UK CHAMP
  • D H Stoke City 1–1 xG 2.5–0.39 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 23 matches since 2004

Norwich City 136 draws4 Birmingham City

Goals 33–22 · 2.39 per match · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Norwich City 70 draws3 Birmingham City

Goals 18–12 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Norwich City 20 draws3 Birmingham City

Goals 6–8 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Norwich City 2–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 1–2 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 4–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 1–0 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 2–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 3–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 1–2 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 1–3 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 1–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 3–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricNorwich City all · 46Norwich City at home · 23Birmingham City all · 46Birmingham City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.411.301.390.87
W / D / L19 / 8 / 199 / 3 / 1117 / 13 / 165 / 5 / 13
Goals for / match1.371.171.240.78
Goals against / match1.221.221.221.48
Clean sheets20%17%22%13%
Failed to score20%26%24%39%
Both teams scored61%56%56%48%
Over 2.548%44%46%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.411.491.07
xG against / match1.461.271.141.27
xG difference-0.100.140.35-0.21
Finishing vs xG0.02-0.24-0.25-0.28
xPts / match1.351.461.571.23
Points vs xPts0.06-0.16-0.18-0.36
Game state
Scored first52%48%50%22%
PPG when scoring first2.082.092.352.40
PPG when conceding first0.680.580.410.44
Came back from behind27%21%33%32%
Leads held68%69%71%83%
Minutes leading28%24%28%11%
Minutes level48%53%42%38%
Minutes trailing24%24%31%51%
First goal (min)42493952
First goal conceded (min)46503527
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%59%49%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half59%64%39%32%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.220.240.30
Late goals against0.300.300.150.13
Style
Possession54%56%54%52%
Shots12.613.713.69.9
On target4.54.54.12.6
Shot conversion11%9%9%8%
Shots inside box64%62%64%67%
Big chances created2.32.52.41.8
Corners5.35.75.85.0
xG from set plays25%27%30%33%
Goals from headers10%8%21%17%
Pressure index12.514.114.410.4
Dominant minutes53.258.854.344.6
Pass accuracy79%80%77%77%
Fouls10.210.011.712.3
Cards1.931.572.112.22

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Norwich City

0–15'78
16–30'87
31–45'128
46–60'913
61–75'156
76–90'1214

Birmingham City

0–15'1010
16–30'1112
31–45'812
46–60'98
61–75'87
76–90'117

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Norwich City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.66

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364

Game state

When ahead+0.124
When level-0.147
When behind-0.054
10 min after conceding-0.277
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home-0.213
Away+0.114
3 days rest or fewer+0.072
4+ days rest-0.065

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.025
v bottom-tier opponents-0.142
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched+0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.027
Conceded when ahead-0.134
Conceded late (76+)-0.146

Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.10

Birmingham City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.127
Early press (0-15, level)+0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.194
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.552

Game state

When ahead+0.152
When level+0.247
When behind-0.295
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.296

Situations

At home-0.063
Away+0.274
3 days rest or fewer+0.362
4+ days rest+0.035

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.155
v bottom-tier opponents+0.072
Evenly matched+0.093
As underdog+0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.207

Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.53

Norwich City

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-138 83%1.451.391.181.291.43
3-4-2-15 11%1.41.41.21.551.6
3-4-32 4%0.01.02.51.911.56
3-2-4-11 2%3.01.00.01.861.51

Birmingham City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 87%1.381.331.281.541.16
4-4-1-12 4%1.51.01.51.730.5
4-4-22 4%1.50.50.51.160.61
3-4-31 2%0.00.01.00.251.91
4-1-4-11 2%3.01.00.00.831.5

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.55Home 29% P 37%3.4Draw 22% P 28%2.7Away 27% P 34%3.4Tie 22%

Double Chance

1.44Norwich or Draw 20% P 33%1.3Norwich or Birmingham 22% P 36%1.44Norwich or Tie 20% P 36%1.5Tie or Birmingham 19% P 36%1.5Draw or Birmingham 19% P 32%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 57%2.1No 44% P 43%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 28%2.1Under 22%1.66Mais de 28%2.1Menos de 22%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 32.5–35% · 702 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home37%36%35%-1.6
Draw28%30%32%+2.1
Away34%34%33%-0.6

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes57%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Farai Hallam

Career
52 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
3.58 (3.52 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
21.9 · 6.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.12
Cards to home side
36%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 36 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.04.05-0.1049
Fouls / match23.021.8+1.03
Fouls per card6.15.4+0.76 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.110.17-0.9412
Time added7.17.2-0.1343
First card
35' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
36% (league 45%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-13 40 160 45'4
2026-02-11 30 190 35'7
2026-01-31 50 260 30'7
2026-01-24 40 300 57'9
2026-01-17 70 190 21'7
2026-01-12 10 130 32'7
2026-01-04 · Norwich City 30 190 25'6
2026-01-01 30 230 26'6
2025-12-20 20 110 42'6
2025-11-01 10 190 –9