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Championship · Matchweek 33
SouthamptonSouthampton
1–1
FT
Charlton AthleticCHA

Momentum

– SouthamptonCHA –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
33

Venue

Stadium
St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
Capacity
32,384
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Tonda Eckert · Nathan Jones
Position
11 · 18
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

John Busby

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
11.6° (feels 11.4°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
97%

Where to watch · 210

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Southampton

DWWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 10 GA 5 · xG 6.56–5.76 · xPts 7.26

  • W H Leicester City 2–1 aet xG 1.4–1.2 UK FA Cup
  • W A Leicester City 4–3 xG 2.0–0.7 UK CHAMP
  • W H Watford 1–0 xG 0.61–1.15 UK CHAMP
  • W A Stoke City 2–0 xG 1.69–1.25 UK CHAMP
  • D A Portsmouth 1–1 xG 0.86–1.46 UK CHAMP

Charlton Athletic

LWDWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 5.91–9.9 · xPts 5.89

  • L H Portsmouth 1–3 xG 1.2–1.26 UK CHAMP
  • W H Stoke City 1–0 xG 1.8–0.65 UK CHAMP
  • D H Queens Park Rangers 0–0 xG 1.4–1.37 UK CHAMP
  • W A Leicester City 2–0 xG 1.37–2.05 UK CHAMP
  • L A Millwall 0–4 xG 0.15–4.57 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 16 matches since 2000

Southampton 39 draws4 Charlton Athletic

Goals 17–15 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 31%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Southampton 25 draws3 Charlton Athletic

Goals 13–11 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Southampton 13 draws1 Charlton Athletic

Goals 9–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Southampton 1–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Charlton Athletic 1–5 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 2–3 Charlton Athletic neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Charlton Athletic 0–0 Southampton neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Charlton Athletic 1–1 Southampton neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 0–1 Charlton Athletic neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 0–0 Charlton Athletic UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Charlton Athletic 0–0 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 2–1 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 3–2 Charlton Athletic UK PL · Regular Season
MetricSouthampton all · 48Southampton at home · 24Charlton Athletic all · 46Charlton Athletic away · 23
Results
Matches48244623
Points per game1.751.961.150.96
W / D / L23 / 15 / 1013 / 8 / 313 / 14 / 194 / 10 / 9
Goals for / match1.751.670.960.91
Goals against / match1.190.831.261.39
Clean sheets25%42%28%22%
Failed to score12%17%22%26%
Both teams scored71%54%54%56%
Over 2.562%54%39%35%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.711.781.151.03
xG against / match1.331.091.551.76
xG difference0.380.69-0.40-0.72
Finishing vs xG0.04-0.11-0.19-0.12
xPts / match1.591.781.191.00
Points vs xPts0.160.18-0.03-0.04
Game state
Scored first52%50%48%39%
PPG when scoring first2.242.672.051.78
PPG when conceding first1.261.330.270.38
Came back from behind54%67%24%36%
Leads held72%81%59%44%
Minutes leading34%36%16%14%
Minutes level49%48%56%61%
Minutes trailing18%16%28%26%
First goal (min)40395661
First goal conceded (min)44404350
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%49%66%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%55%53%69%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.250.260.22
Late goals against0.270.170.330.61
Style
Possession56%58%42%40%
Shots14.415.811.09.2
On target5.35.53.53.0
Shot conversion12%11%9%10%
Shots inside box68%66%68%68%
Big chances created2.92.91.91.7
Corners5.86.54.13.2
xG from set plays28%26%39%44%
Goals from headers22%25%19%20%
Pressure index17.921.17.04.7
Dominant minutes59.063.834.427.4
Pass accuracy83%84%70%69%
Fouls10.79.812.012.7
Cards1.881.632.202.09

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Southampton

0–15'135
16–30'178
31–45'79
46–60'1710
61–75'1212
76–90'1713

Charlton Athletic

0–15'28
16–30'58
31–45'811
46–60'78
61–75'108
76–90'1215

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.59

Charlton Athletic · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.117
Early press (0-15, level)+0.437
Late push (76+, level)-0.354

Game state

When ahead-0.333
When level-0.027
When behind-0.113
10 min after conceding-0.574
10 min after scoring+0.044

Situations

At home-0.034
Away-0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.342
4+ days rest-0.225

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.372
v bottom-tier opponents+0.154
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog-0.304

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.447
Conceded when ahead+0.363
Conceded late (76+)+0.096

Congested vs rested +0.56 · Ahead vs level -0.30 · Behind vs level -0.09

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 42%2.051.950.951.521.23
3-4-2-117 35%1.181.651.651.951.44
3-4-34 8%1.51.51.51.071.7
4-2-2-22 4%2.02.01.52.560.86
4-1-4-12 4%3.01.50.51.392.18

Charlton Athletic

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-1-4-214 30%0.860.861.641.081.41
3-5-210 22%1.10.91.01.031.55
3-4-2-16 13%0.830.831.51.421.54
3-4-1-25 11%1.00.61.01.021.72
4-2-3-13 6%1.331.01.331.261.01

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -2.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.55Home 50% P 62%4.2Draw 18% P 22%5.75Away 13% P 16%4.2Tie 18%

Double Chance

1.12Southampton or Draw 26% P 42%1.22Southampton or Charlton 24% P 39%1.14Southampton or Tie 26% P 39%2.37Tie or Charlton 12% P 39%2.37Draw or Charlton 12% P 19%

Draw No Bet

1.21 78%4.332 22%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 51%1.83No 50% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 54%2.0Under 47% P 46%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 15–17.5% · 649 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home62%61%62%+0.4
Draw22%23%23%+0.7
Away16%16%15%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 58%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%54%+0.8

John Busby

Career
130 matches · 13 seasons
Cards / match
3.9 (3.82 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.7 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.15
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 113 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.874.05-0.3335
Fouls / match20.921.8-0.89
Fouls per card5.55.4-0.15 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.4029
Time added7.87.2+0.6871
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-07 21 210 5'7
2026-01-31 30 211 33'8
2026-01-17 20 250 31'7
2026-01-10 · Southampton 50 200 36'9
2026-01-04 20 200 66'8
2025-12-29 11 130 76'10
2025-11-08 70 180 30'14
2025-11-01 30 260 34'8
2025-10-22 51 170 29'7
2025-09-30 60 251 45'11