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Championship · Matchweek 33
Stoke CityStoke City
2–2
FT
Leicester CityLEI

Momentum

– Stoke CityLEI –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
33

Venue

Stadium
Bet365 Stadium, Stoke
Capacity
30,089
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Mark Robins · Gary Rowett
Position
14 · 22
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Gavin Ward

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
12.7° (feels 11.7°)
Wind
6.4
Humidity
61%

Where to watch · 185

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Stoke City

DLDLL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 2 GA 6 · xG 3.08–8.34 · xPts 3.43

  • L H Fulham 1–2 xG 0.45–1.78 UK FA Cup
  • L A Charlton Athletic 0–1 xG 0.65–1.8 UK CHAMP
  • D A West Bromwich Albion 0–0 xG 0.34–0.57 UK CHAMP
  • L H Southampton 0–2 xG 1.25–1.69 UK CHAMP
  • D A Birmingham City 1–1 xG 0.39–2.5 UK CHAMP

Leicester City

LLLLL 0W 0D 5L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 12 · xG 5.24–8.11 · xPts 4.99

  • L A Southampton 1–2 aet xG 1.2–1.4 UK FA Cup
  • L H Southampton 3–4 xG 0.7–2.0 UK CHAMP
  • L A Birmingham City 1–2 xG 0.54–2.04 UK CHAMP
  • L H Charlton Athletic 0–2 xG 2.05–1.37 UK CHAMP
  • L H Oxford United 1–2 xG 0.75–1.3 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 20 matches since 2005

Stoke City 47 draws9 Leicester City

Goals 24–40 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 65%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Stoke City 04 draws6 Leicester City

Goals 8–25 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Stoke City 01 draws4 Leicester City

Goals 3–15 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D Stoke City 2–2 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 2–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 0–5 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 2–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 0–4 Leicester City UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
  • D Leicester City 1–1 Stoke City UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 2–2 Leicester City UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 2–0 Stoke City UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 2–2 Leicester City UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 3–0 Stoke City UK PL · Regular Season
MetricStoke City all · 46Stoke City at home · 23Leicester City all · 46Leicester City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.201.431.131.04
W / D / L15 / 10 / 219 / 6 / 812 / 16 / 185 / 9 / 9
Goals for / match1.111.481.261.17
Goals against / match1.221.221.481.48
Clean sheets28%26%13%13%
Failed to score37%22%20%17%
Both teams scored44%61%72%74%
Over 2.544%56%54%56%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.241.441.281.22
xG against / match1.431.191.471.67
xG difference-0.190.26-0.19-0.45
Finishing vs xG-0.130.03-0.02-0.05
xPts / match1.281.551.261.12
Points vs xPts-0.08-0.12-0.13-0.08
Game state
Scored first44%52%48%35%
PPG when scoring first2.252.171.731.88
PPG when conceding first0.270.560.550.57
Came back from behind22%38%33%40%
Leads held71%69%46%50%
Minutes leading24%31%26%19%
Minutes level50%48%43%45%
Minutes trailing27%21%31%36%
First goal (min)37344051
First goal conceded (min)44473934
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%50%48%59%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%75%50%44%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.260.370.43
Late goals against0.350.350.280.26
Style
Possession52%53%52%50%
Shots11.212.712.912.0
On target3.84.74.24.3
Shot conversion10%12%10%10%
Shots inside box65%67%59%66%
Big chances created1.82.11.71.5
Corners6.06.45.34.4
xG from set plays28%34%34%38%
Goals from headers16%15%12%11%
Pressure index13.316.312.69.9
Dominant minutes52.757.347.141.7
Pass accuracy78%79%80%79%
Fouls10.410.610.810.9
Cards2.302.261.962.17

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Stoke City

0–15'88
16–30'55
31–45'108
46–60'1314
61–75'85
76–90'716

Leicester City

0–15'1412
16–30'86
31–45'816
46–60'88
61–75'313
76–90'1713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Stoke City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807

Situations

At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05

Leicester City

No pressure profile yet.

Stoke City

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-141 89%1.241.11.151.21.34
3-4-2-13 6%1.331.331.331.762.14
4-4-22 4%0.01.02.51.292.17

Leicester City

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.131.271.491.291.48
4-3-31 2%1.01.01.00.851.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 45.6h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.3Home 26% P 41%3.2Draw 19% P 29%3.2Away 19% P 30%3.4Empate 18%3.3Tie 18%

Double Chance

1.36Stoke or Draw 13% P 35%1.36Stoke or Leicester 13% P 35%1.36Stoke or Tie 13% P 35%1.57Tie or Leicester 11% P 35%1.57Draw or Leicester 11% P 30%1.7Empate ou Leicester 10%1.28Stoke ou Empate 14%1.3Stoke ou Leicester 14%

Draw No Bet

1.611 58%2.22 42%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 26% P 51%1.9No 24% P 49%1.83Não 25%1.83Sim 25%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 24% P 44%1.8Under 26% P 56%2.1Mais de 23%1.72Menos de 28%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 25% P 53%1.83Under 25% P 47%1.83Mais de 25%1.83Menos de 25%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 27.5–30% · 815 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home41%41%42%+0.5
Draw29%30%27%-2.4
Away30%29%31%+1.9

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 43%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Gavin Ward

Career
292 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.58 (3.43 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
21.6 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 124 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.834.05-0.4029
Fouls / match20.821.8-1.02
Fouls per card5.55.4+0.00 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.2445
Time added7.27.2-0.0247
First card
39' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-14 60 270 37'5
2026-02-09 51 250 65'7
2026-01-24 20 211 26'8
2026-01-11 30 140 54'7
2026-01-01 20 180 55'6
2025-12-29 · Leicester City 30 220 83'11
2025-12-13 31 190 57'9
2025-12-06 20 160 39'13
2025-11-25 · Leicester City 31 210 5'5
2025-11-22 40 231 39'13