KickoffDNA
0 live
Sign in
Championship · Matchweek 33
WrexhamWrexham
5–3
FT
Ipswich TownIpswich Town

Momentum

– WrexhamIpswich Town –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
33

Venue

Stadium
Racecourse Ground, Racecourse Ground
Capacity
10,771
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Phil Parkinson · Kieran McKenna
Position
7 · 4
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Leigh Doughty

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
12.0° (feels 11.5°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
88%

Where to watch · 184

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Wrexham

WWLWD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 5.84–4.67 · xPts 7.66

  • D A Bristol City 2–2 xG 0.96–0.44 UK CHAMP
  • W H Ipswich Town 1–0 xG 1.06–1.83 UK FA Cup
  • L H Millwall 0–2 xG 1.52–0.79 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 xG 1.78–0.56 UK CHAMP
  • W A Queens Park Rangers 3–2 xG 0.52–1.05 UK CHAMP

Ipswich Town

WLDWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 9.79–5.6 · xPts 9.53

  • L A Wrexham 0–1 xG 1.83–1.06 UK FA Cup
  • W A Derby County 2–1 xG 1.54–1.04 UK CHAMP
  • D H Preston North End 1–1 xG 2.79–1.29 UK CHAMP
  • L A Sheffield United 1–3 xG 2.11–1.4 UK CHAMP
  • W H Bristol City 2–0 xG 1.51–0.81 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 3 matches since 2025

Wrexham 21 draws0 Ipswich Town

Goals 6–3 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Wrexham 21 draws0 Ipswich Town

Goals 6–3 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Wrexham 21 draws0 Ipswich Town

Goals 6–3 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Recent meetings

  • W Wrexham 5–3 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Wrexham 1–0 Ipswich Town UK FA Cup · Round 4
  • D Ipswich Town 0–0 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricWrexham all · 46Wrexham at home · 23Ipswich Town all · 46Ipswich Town away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.541.611.831.48
W / D / L19 / 14 / 1310 / 7 / 623 / 15 / 89 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.501.781.741.61
Goals against / match1.411.611.021.30
Clean sheets26%22%37%30%
Failed to score13%4%13%17%
Both teams scored65%74%56%61%
Over 2.550%56%52%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.541.831.59
xG against / match1.481.281.031.22
xG difference-0.260.260.800.36
Finishing vs xG0.280.24-0.090.02
xPts / match1.221.541.881.61
Points vs xPts0.320.07-0.06-0.13
Game state
Scored first52%56%54%39%
PPG when scoring first2.082.232.682.78
PPG when conceding first0.950.800.780.58
Came back from behind46%50%60%46%
Leads held63%62%79%75%
Minutes leading31%30%33%21%
Minutes level46%43%50%53%
Minutes trailing23%26%17%26%
First goal (min)37384050
First goal conceded (min)40374035
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%49%59%76%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%51%51%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.370.480.500.52
Late goals against0.410.350.130.22
Style
Possession48%51%56%56%
Shots11.314.115.113.7
On target3.84.85.14.5
Shot conversion13%13%12%12%
Shots inside box66%68%67%66%
Big chances created2.32.82.82.2
Corners4.55.25.75.2
xG from set plays32%36%32%36%
Goals from headers29%38%12%19%
Pressure index10.113.118.816.9
Dominant minutes41.951.362.357.8
Pass accuracy78%80%81%80%
Fouls9.78.811.212.0
Cards1.591.261.932.48

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Wrexham

0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1212
46–60'138
61–75'79
76–90'1719

Ipswich Town

0–15'124
16–30'56
31–45'1613
46–60'149
61–75'109
76–90'236

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Wrexham · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135

Situations

At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04

Ipswich Town · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.494
Late push (76+, level)-0.762

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.364
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.143

Situations

At home-0.202
Away-0.302
4+ days rest-0.254

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
v mid-tier opponents-0.282
As underdog-0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.034
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)-0.123

Ahead vs level +0.36 · Behind vs level +0.12

Wrexham

Current: winless 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 50%1.611.571.391.171.25
3-5-28 17%0.50.881.880.962.43
3-5-1-16 13%1.51.171.51.641.12
3-4-1-23 6%1.671.331.01.341.59
3-1-4-23 6%2.332.00.670.91.43

Ipswich Town

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.841.761.021.841.03
4-4-1-11 2%1.01.01.01.271.19

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -2.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.5Home 21% P 29%3.5Draw 21% P 27%2.05Away 36% P 44%3.3Tie 22%

Double Chance

1.72Wrexham or Draw 17% P 28%1.33Tie or Ipswich 21% P 36%1.28Wrexham or Ipswich 22% P 36%1.66Wrexham or Tie 17% P 36%1.28Draw or Ipswich 22% P 36%

Draw No Bet

2.621 35%1.442 65%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51% P 53%1.9No 49% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 48%1.8Under 53% P 52%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49%1.8Under 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 42.5–45% · 505 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home29%29%23%-5.8
Draw27%28%27%-0.3
Away44%44%50%+6.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 57%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Leigh Doughty

Career
119 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.44 (4.29 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
22.4 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.22
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 94 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.514.05+0.8378
Fouls / match22.121.8+0.18
Fouls per card5.05.4-0.89 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.220.17+0.6280
Time added6.97.2-0.3735
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-17 90 231 7'8
2026-02-03 70 210 34'7
2026-01-20 30 190 41'5
2025-12-29 60 220 15'8
2025-12-26 30 230 8'5
2025-12-09 30 231 40'6
2025-11-26 11 171 39'6
2025-11-08 · Wrexham 50 191 8'10
2025-11-04 40 190 40'7
2025-10-22 20 200 42'8