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Championship · Matchweek 34

Momentum

SouthamptonQPR
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
34

Venue

Stadium
St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
Capacity
32,384
Surface
grass
Attendance
26,422

Teams

Coaches
Tonda Eckert · Julien Stéphan
Position
11 · 13
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Oliver Langford

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
9.8° (feels 8.6°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
97%

Where to watch · 226

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Southampton

WWWWD 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 10 GA 5 · xG 7.34–5.25 · xPts 8.18

  • D H Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 1.64–0.95 UK CHAMP
  • W H Leicester City 2–1 aet xG 1.4–1.2 UK FA Cup
  • W A Leicester City 4–3 xG 2.0–0.7 UK CHAMP
  • W H Watford 1–0 xG 0.61–1.15 UK CHAMP
  • W A Stoke City 2–0 xG 1.69–1.25 UK CHAMP

Queens Park Rangers

LWDLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 7.55–5.7 · xPts 8.09

  • W A Hull City 3–1 xG 0.86–2.2 UK CHAMP
  • L H Blackburn Rovers 1–3 xG 2.92–0.98 UK CHAMP
  • D A Charlton Athletic 0–0 xG 1.37–1.4 UK CHAMP
  • W H Coventry City 2–1 xG 1.35–0.6 UK CHAMP
  • L H Wrexham 2–3 xG 1.05–0.52 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 16 matches since 2005

Southampton 92 draws5 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 27–17 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 62%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Southampton 71 draws2 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 18–10 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Southampton 50 draws0 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 11–2 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Southampton 5–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 1–2 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 0–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 2–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 0–1 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 2–1 Queens Park Rangers UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 1–2 Queens Park Rangers UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 1–3 Southampton neutral UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 0–0 Queens Park Rangers neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 4–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricSouthampton all · 48Southampton at home · 24Queens Park Rangers all · 46Queens Park Rangers away · 23
Results
Matches48244623
Points per game1.751.961.261.09
W / D / L23 / 15 / 1013 / 8 / 316 / 10 / 206 / 7 / 10
Goals for / match1.751.671.330.91
Goals against / match1.190.831.591.57
Clean sheets25%42%22%26%
Failed to score12%17%28%39%
Both teams scored71%54%63%52%
Over 2.562%54%63%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.711.781.300.98
xG against / match1.331.091.331.45
xG difference0.380.69-0.03-0.47
Finishing vs xG0.04-0.110.02-0.07
xPts / match1.591.781.371.07
Points vs xPts0.160.18-0.110.02
Game state
Scored first52%50%33%17%
PPG when scoring first2.242.672.473.00
PPG when conceding first1.261.330.600.60
Came back from behind54%67%26%33%
Leads held72%81%84%100%
Minutes leading34%36%20%10%
Minutes level49%48%46%48%
Minutes trailing18%16%34%42%
First goal (min)40394550
First goal conceded (min)44403423
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%49%57%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%55%48%28%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.250.390.26
Late goals against0.270.170.260.04
Style
Possession56%58%46%45%
Shots14.415.712.711.1
On target5.35.54.13.2
Shot conversion12%11%10%8%
Shots inside box68%66%63%63%
Big chances created2.92.91.81.2
Corners5.86.54.84.3
xG from set plays28%26%31%34%
Goals from headers22%25%17%20%
Pressure index17.921.111.77.9
Dominant minutes59.063.846.738.9
Pass accuracy83%84%76%76%
Fouls10.79.811.010.8
Cards1.881.631.911.70

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Southampton

0–15'135
16–30'178
31–45'79
46–60'1710
61–75'1212
76–90'1713

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'712
16–30'711
31–45'1215
46–60'716
61–75'107
76–90'1812

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.60

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.315
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 42%2.051.950.951.521.23
3-4-2-117 35%1.181.651.651.951.44
3-4-34 8%1.51.51.51.071.7
4-2-2-22 4%2.02.01.52.560.86
4-1-4-12 4%3.01.50.51.392.18

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-123 50%1.391.261.481.321.24
4-4-223 50%1.131.391.71.281.42

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.7Home 55% P 54%3.9Draw 24% P 24%4.5Away 21% P 22%

Double Chance

1.18Southampton or Draw 25% P 39%1.22Southampton or QPR 24% P 38%1.2Southampton or Tie 24% P 38%2.0Tie or QPR 14% P 38%2.2Draw or QPR 13% P 23%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 57%2.1No 44% P 43%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.1Under 45% P 45%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 34%3.612 - 14 25%6.5Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 20–22.5% · 665 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home54%54%56%+2.6
Draw24%25%27%+1.4
Away22%21%17%-4.0

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 54%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes57%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%56%56%-0.2

Oliver Langford

Career
353 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.37 (3.23 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
20.9 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 119 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.824.05-0.4229
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.91
Fouls per card5.55.4-0.02 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3731
Time added7.47.2+0.2157
First card
35' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-21 40 200 39'6
2026-02-07 20 180 81'12
2026-01-24 · Queens Park Rangers 51 260 12'6
2026-01-17 62 200 35'8
2026-01-09 20 191 71'8
2026-01-04 · Southampton 30 190 64'8
2025-12-29 50 230 57'4
2025-12-19 40 180 18'8
2025-12-09 50 230 31'7
2025-12-02 40 230 10'6