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Championship · Matchweek 34
Stoke CityStoke City
2–1
FT
Oxford UnitedOXF

Momentum

– Stoke CityOXF –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
34

Venue

Stadium
Bet365 Stadium, Stoke
Capacity
30,089
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,153

Teams

Coaches
Mark Robins · Matt Bloomfield
Position
16 · 23
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

James Linington

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
11.3° (feels 11.0°)
Wind
7.0
Humidity
97%

Where to watch · 229

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Stoke City

LDLLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 3 GA 7 · xG 4.88–7.41 · xPts 4.94

  • D H Leicester City 2–2 xG 2.18–1.58 UK CHAMP
  • L H Fulham 1–2 xG 0.45–1.78 UK FA Cup
  • L A Charlton Athletic 0–1 xG 0.65–1.8 UK CHAMP
  • D A West Bromwich Albion 0–0 xG 0.34–0.57 UK CHAMP
  • L H Southampton 0–2 xG 1.25–1.69 UK CHAMP

Oxford United

LDLLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 1 GA 7 · xG 4.12–7.94 · xPts 4.29

  • D A Middlesbrough 0–0 xG 1.04–1.99 UK CHAMP
  • L H Sunderland 0–1 xG 1.19–1.8 UK FA Cup
  • L H Norwich City 0–3 xG 0.74–1.31 UK CHAMP
  • D A Coventry City 0–0 xG 0.16–1.82 UK CHAMP
  • L A Sheffield United 1–3 xG 0.99–1.02 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 4 matches since 2024

Stoke City 21 draws1 Oxford United

Goals 5–2 · 1.75 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Stoke City 21 draws1 Oxford United

Goals 5–2 · 1.75 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Stoke City 21 draws1 Oxford United

Goals 5–2 · 1.75 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • W Stoke City 2–1 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Oxford United 0–3 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 0–0 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Oxford United 1–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricStoke City all · 46Stoke City at home · 23Oxford United all · 46Oxford United away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.201.431.020.78
W / D / L15 / 10 / 219 / 6 / 811 / 14 / 214 / 6 / 13
Goals for / match1.111.480.980.91
Goals against / match1.221.221.281.39
Clean sheets28%26%17%13%
Failed to score37%22%41%44%
Both teams scored44%61%52%56%
Over 2.544%56%46%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.241.441.170.99
xG against / match1.431.191.431.68
xG difference-0.190.26-0.25-0.70
Finishing vs xG-0.130.03-0.20-0.07
xPts / match1.281.551.210.95
Points vs xPts-0.08-0.12-0.19-0.17
Game state
Scored first44%52%39%35%
PPG when scoring first2.252.172.061.63
PPG when conceding first0.270.560.220.17
Came back from behind22%38%19%13%
Leads held71%69%58%44%
Minutes leading24%31%21%19%
Minutes level50%48%47%47%
Minutes trailing27%21%32%34%
First goal (min)37342829
First goal conceded (min)44473538
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%50%38%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%75%41%41%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.260.150.13
Late goals against0.350.350.150.26
Style
Possession52%53%40%38%
Shots11.212.711.99.8
On target3.84.73.42.6
Shot conversion10%12%8%9%
Shots inside box65%67%54%53%
Big chances created1.82.11.61.6
Corners6.06.44.03.4
xG from set plays28%34%40%33%
Goals from headers16%15%16%19%
Pressure index13.316.36.43.8
Dominant minutes52.757.333.723.1
Pass accuracy78%79%69%70%
Fouls10.410.610.811.0
Cards2.302.261.672.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Stoke City

0–15'88
16–30'55
31–45'108
46–60'1314
61–75'85
76–90'716

Oxford United

0–15'1013
16–30'108
31–45'814
46–60'511
61–75'56
76–90'77

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Stoke City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807

Situations

At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05

Oxford United

No pressure profile yet.

Stoke City

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-141 89%1.241.11.151.21.34
3-4-2-13 6%1.331.331.331.762.14
4-4-22 4%0.01.02.51.292.17

Oxford United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 59%1.070.931.191.31.37
4-4-26 13%0.831.331.51.331.73
5-4-14 9%1.01.01.50.841.78
3-4-2-14 9%1.00.751.50.781.22
4-1-4-13 6%1.331.01.00.881.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.9Home 50% P 50%3.5Draw 27% P 27%4.0Away 24% P 23%

Double Chance

1.22Stoke or Draw 24% P 39%1.28Stoke or Oxford Utd 22% P 37%1.18Stoke or Tie 24% P 37%2.0Tie or Oxford Utd 14% P 37%1.9Draw or Oxford Utd 15% P 25%

Draw No Bet

1.361 69%3.02 31%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 46% P 48%1.72No 54% P 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.3Over 41% P 44%1.61Under 59% P 56%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56% P 54%2.1Under 44% P 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 22.5–25% · 500 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home50%51%53%+2.3
Draw27%25%23%-2.6
Away23%23%24%+0.3

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 55%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

James Linington

Career
298 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
3.82 (3.69 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
20.7 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 103 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.324.05+0.4969
Fouls / match22.021.8+0.11
Fouls per card5.15.4-0.61 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.220.17+0.6280
Time added7.27.2-0.0247
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 45%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-21 30 170 16'6
2026-02-14 50 240 25'11
2026-02-07 40 230 74'7
2026-01-24 · Oxford United 30 240 44'9
2026-01-20 41 260 31'11
2026-01-10 20 200 87'5
2026-01-04 41 210 36'12
2026-01-01 70 220 2'7
2025-12-26 30 230 62'7
2025-12-13 · Oxford United 30 190 43'6