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Championship · Matchweek 34
Swansea CitySwansea City
1–1
FT
Preston North EndPNE

Momentum

– Swansea CityPNE –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
34

Venue

Stadium
Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Capacity
20,827
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,233

Teams

Coaches
Vítor Matos · Paul Heckingbottom
Position
15 · 10
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-4-1-2

Referee

David Webb

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
9.6° (feels 9.4°)
Wind
1.3
Humidity
90%

Where to watch · 184

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Swansea City

LWWLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 4 · xG 8.91–5.46 · xPts 9.07

  • W H Bristol City 1–0 xG 1.08–0.94 UK CHAMP
  • L A Derby County 0–2 xG 1.31–1.11 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 4–0 xG 2.32–0.07 UK CHAMP
  • W A Watford 2–0 xG 2.3–0.97 UK CHAMP
  • L A Hull City 1–2 xG 1.91–2.36 UK CHAMP

Preston North End

LDWDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 3.31–8.72 · xPts 3.21

  • L A Blackburn Rovers 0–1 xG 0.18–1.33 UK CHAMP
  • D H Watford 2–2 xG 0.96–1.2 UK CHAMP
  • W H Portsmouth 1–0 xG 0.4–1.46 UK CHAMP
  • D A Ipswich Town 1–1 xG 1.29–2.79 UK CHAMP
  • L A Middlesbrough 0–4 xG 0.48–1.93 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 22 matches since 2008

Swansea City 114 draws7 Preston North End

Goals 34–22 · 2.55 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Swansea City 42 draws4 Preston North End

Goals 14–12 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Swansea City 22 draws1 Preston North End

Goals 7–4 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Swansea City 1–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 2–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 0–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 3–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 2–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 2–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 4–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 1–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 1–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 3–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricSwansea City all · 46Swansea City at home · 23Preston North End all · 46Preston North End away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.391.701.301.26
W / D / L18 / 10 / 1811 / 6 / 615 / 15 / 167 / 8 / 8
Goals for / match1.241.481.201.17
Goals against / match1.281.171.351.39
Clean sheets26%30%20%17%
Failed to score22%9%26%26%
Both teams scored54%61%59%61%
Over 2.550%52%48%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.351.181.14
xG against / match1.371.371.631.83
xG difference-0.15-0.02-0.45-0.70
Finishing vs xG0.020.130.020.04
xPts / match1.281.361.131.01
Points vs xPts0.120.340.170.25
Game state
Scored first48%61%41%44%
PPG when scoring first2.362.362.162.00
PPG when conceding first0.480.670.680.67
Came back from behind28%40%38%33%
Leads held72%69%62%54%
Minutes leading25%28%28%30%
Minutes level48%48%45%43%
Minutes trailing27%23%27%27%
First goal (min)46493632
First goal conceded (min)40374240
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half65%65%51%41%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%44%50%41%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.430.260.22
Late goals against0.300.300.300.26
Style
Possession55%56%46%44%
Shots12.313.610.910.6
On target3.93.83.63.8
Shot conversion10%11%11%11%
Shots inside box58%60%68%66%
Big chances created1.71.71.61.6
Corners4.55.14.53.7
xG from set plays36%36%34%33%
Goals from headers13%16%22%22%
Pressure index12.815.28.88.1
Dominant minutes51.958.040.538.6
Pass accuracy79%80%72%72%
Fouls9.89.110.410.7
Cards2.001.912.092.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Swansea City

0–15'66
16–30'86
31–45'616
46–60'1011
61–75'116
76–90'1614

Preston North End

0–15'1111
16–30'107
31–45'613
46–60'109
61–75'68
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Swansea City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222

Game state

When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355

Situations

At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237

Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.175
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Swansea City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 48%1.321.231.411.191.3
4-1-4-111 24%1.821.360.731.351.38
4-3-37 15%1.431.141.141.131.33
3-4-2-12 4%0.01.03.00.80.88
4-5-11 2%1.02.02.02.283.13

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-214 30%1.51.361.361.191.42
3-1-4-29 20%1.221.111.111.221.23
5-3-27 15%0.710.861.710.971.94
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.01.21.231.86
4-4-25 11%1.81.41.61.441.99

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.8Home 52% P 53%3.75Draw 25% P 26%4.1Away 23% P 21%

Double Chance

1.22Swansea or Draw 39% P 39%1.25Swansea or Preston 38% P 37%2.0Draw or Preston 24% P 23%

Draw No Bet

1.331 71%3.252 29%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49% P 51%1.8No 51% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 47%1.8Under 53% P 53%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

2.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
3.52.0Over 46% P 42%1.72Under 54% P 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 20–22.5% · 664 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home53%54%56%+2.6
Draw26%25%27%+1.4
Away21%21%17%-4.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 54%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

David Webb

Career
296 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
2.96 (2.84 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
18.7 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.19
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 137 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.264.05-1.446
Fouls / match20.421.8-1.35
Fouls per card6.55.4+1.44 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.2445
Time added7.67.2+0.4463
First card
38' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-21 40 240 23'5
2026-02-07 20 170 22'10
2026-01-31 –– 20– –8
2026-01-04 50 271 48'9
2025-12-29 50 230 23'9
2025-12-20 20 180 49'12
2025-12-13 10 212 32'7
2025-12-06 20 200 49'8
2025-11-29 20 150 14'12
2025-11-25 –– 28– –8