KickoffDNA
0 live
Sign in
Championship · Matchweek 34
WatfordWatford
0–2
FT
Ipswich TownIpswich Town

Momentum

– WatfordIpswich Town –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
34

Venue

Stadium
Vicarage Road, Watford
Capacity
22,200
Surface
grass
Attendance
18,249

Teams

Coaches
Edward Still · Kieran McKenna
Position
9 · 4
Formation
5-4-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Ben Toner

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
10.1° (feels 9.5°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
90%

Where to watch · 184

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Watford

LDLDW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 5 · xG 6.67–4.73 · xPts 8.48

  • W H Derby County 2–0 xG 1.95–0.52 UK CHAMP
  • D A Preston North End 2–2 xG 1.2–0.96 UK CHAMP
  • L A Southampton 0–1 xG 1.15–0.61 UK CHAMP
  • D A Hull City 0–0 xG 1.39–0.34 UK CHAMP
  • L H Swansea City 0–2 xG 0.97–2.3 UK CHAMP

Ipswich Town

LDWLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 11 · xG 9.48–6.85 · xPts 8.51

  • L A Wrexham 3–5 xG 1.21–2.06 UK CHAMP
  • L A Wrexham 0–1 xG 1.83–1.06 UK FA Cup
  • W A Derby County 2–1 xG 1.54–1.04 UK CHAMP
  • D H Preston North End 1–1 xG 2.79–1.29 UK CHAMP
  • L A Sheffield United 1–3 xG 2.11–1.4 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 23 matches since 2005

Watford 135 draws5 Ipswich Town

Goals 30–18 · 2.09 per match · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Watford 23 draws5 Ipswich Town

Goals 8–10 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Watford 02 draws3 Ipswich Town

Goals 2–6 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L Watford 0–2 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 1–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 0–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Watford 1–2 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Watford 0–1 Ipswich Town neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Ipswich Town 1–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Watford 3–1 Ipswich Town neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 1–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 0–2 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Watford 0–1 Ipswich Town neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricWatford all · 46Watford at home · 23Ipswich Town all · 46Ipswich Town away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.241.611.831.48
W / D / L14 / 15 / 1710 / 7 / 623 / 15 / 89 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.151.301.741.61
Goals against / match1.411.171.021.30
Clean sheets15%22%37%30%
Failed to score30%30%13%17%
Both teams scored59%52%56%61%
Over 2.548%44%52%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.341.501.831.59
xG against / match1.251.151.031.22
xG difference0.100.340.800.36
Finishing vs xG-0.19-0.19-0.090.02
xPts / match1.431.571.881.61
Points vs xPts-0.200.04-0.06-0.13
Game state
Scored first26%30%54%39%
PPG when scoring first2.332.712.682.78
PPG when conceding first0.841.130.780.58
Came back from behind47%60%60%46%
Leads held67%91%79%75%
Minutes leading18%25%33%21%
Minutes level49%48%50%53%
Minutes trailing34%27%17%26%
First goal (min)48424050
First goal conceded (min)34364035
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%50%59%76%
Goals conceded in 2nd half48%52%51%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.300.300.500.52
Late goals against0.280.220.130.22
Style
Possession51%52%56%56%
Shots13.815.715.113.7
On target4.45.45.14.5
Shot conversion8%8%12%12%
Shots inside box58%57%67%66%
Big chances created2.12.42.82.2
Corners4.95.45.75.2
xG from set plays27%23%32%36%
Goals from headers14%17%12%19%
Pressure index10.912.418.816.9
Dominant minutes47.052.262.357.8
Pass accuracy80%81%81%80%
Fouls11.011.111.212.0
Cards2.151.871.932.48

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Watford

0–15'59
16–30'613
31–45'1112
46–60'910
61–75'88
76–90'1413

Ipswich Town

0–15'124
16–30'56
31–45'1613
46–60'149
61–75'109
76–90'236

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Watford · 8 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.128
Early press (0-15, level)-0.178
Late push (76+, level)-0.453
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.264

Game state

When ahead-0.144
When level-0.198
When behind-0.055
10 min after conceding-0.218
10 min after scoring-0.015

Situations

At home-0.234
Away-0.014
3 days rest or fewer+0.062
4+ days rest-0.186

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.024
v bottom-tier opponents-0.203
As underdog-0.126

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.308
Conceded when ahead+0.454
Conceded late (76+)+0.068

Congested vs rested +0.24 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.14

Ipswich Town · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.494
Late push (76+, level)-0.762

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.364
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.143

Situations

At home-0.202
Away-0.302
4+ days rest-0.254

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
v mid-tier opponents-0.282
As underdog-0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.034
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)-0.123

Ahead vs level +0.36 · Behind vs level +0.12

Watford

Current: winless 2 · conceding 15

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-221 46%1.481.291.291.251.32
4-2-3-110 22%1.31.21.11.250.83
3-5-25 11%0.40.82.00.861.68
3-4-1-23 6%2.332.01.333.01.2
4-3-32 4%0.00.52.01.481.61

Ipswich Town

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.841.761.021.841.03
4-4-1-11 2%1.01.01.01.271.19

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.5h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.1Home 30% P 30%3.3Draw 28% P 29%2.25Away 42% P 42%

Double Chance

1.57Watford or Draw 18% P 29%1.33Tie or Ipswich 22% P 36%1.33Watford or Ipswich 22% P 36%1.66Watford or Tie 17% P 36%1.36Draw or Ipswich 21% P 35%

Draw No Bet

2.21 42%1.612 58%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 51%1.83No 50% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 45%1.66Under 57% P 55%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 40–42.5% · 469 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home30%29%31%+2.1
Draw29%30%25%-4.9
Away42%41%44%+2.7

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%44%43%-1.2

Ben Toner

Career
64 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
3.77 (3.66 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.25
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 42 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.384.05+0.5971
Fouls / match24.721.8+2.49
Fouls per card5.65.4+0.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.260.17+1.1690
Time added7.97.2+0.7874
First card
34' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-10 10 240 30'10
2026-01-31 40 300 56'5
2026-01-21 · Watford 20 210 51'9
2025-12-26 62 300 29'10
2025-12-20 · Watford 60 220 30'8
2025-12-09 11 180 39'8
2025-11-29 30 171 36'8
2025-11-22 60 280 15'7
2025-11-01 20 310 70'11
2025-10-21 30 200 10'8