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Championship · Matchweek 34

Momentum

WrexhamPortsmouth
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
34

Venue

Stadium
Racecourse Ground, Racecourse Ground
Capacity
10,771
Surface
grass
Attendance
10,499

Teams

Coaches
Phil Parkinson · John Mousinho
Position
6 · 19
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Tom Reeves

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
9.2° (feels 6.4°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
85%

Where to watch · 184

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Wrexham

WLWDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 7.38–4.83 · xPts 8.7

  • W H Ipswich Town 5–3 xG 2.06–1.21 UK CHAMP
  • D A Bristol City 2–2 xG 0.96–0.44 UK CHAMP
  • W H Ipswich Town 1–0 xG 1.06–1.83 UK FA Cup
  • L H Millwall 0–2 xG 1.52–0.79 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 xG 1.78–0.56 UK CHAMP

Portsmouth

WLLWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 4 · xG 8.78–3.84 · xPts 10.19

  • W A Millwall 3–1 xG 1.46–0.51 UK CHAMP
  • W A Charlton Athletic 3–1 xG 1.26–1.2 UK CHAMP
  • L H Sheffield United 0–1 xG 2.25–1.63 UK CHAMP
  • L A Preston North End 0–1 xG 1.46–0.4 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 3–0 xG 2.36–0.11 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Wrexham 11 draws0 Portsmouth

Goals 2–1 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Wrexham 11 draws0 Portsmouth

Goals 2–1 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Wrexham 11 draws0 Portsmouth

Goals 2–1 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • W Wrexham 2–1 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Portsmouth 0–0 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricWrexham all · 46Wrexham at home · 23Portsmouth all · 46Portsmouth away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.541.611.201.09
W / D / L19 / 14 / 1310 / 7 / 614 / 13 / 196 / 7 / 10
Goals for / match1.501.781.071.04
Goals against / match1.411.611.391.78
Clean sheets26%22%22%17%
Failed to score13%4%28%26%
Both teams scored65%74%54%61%
Over 2.550%56%44%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.541.180.89
xG against / match1.481.281.241.37
xG difference-0.260.26-0.06-0.47
Finishing vs xG0.280.24-0.110.15
xPts / match1.221.541.361.11
Points vs xPts0.320.07-0.16-0.02
Game state
Scored first52%56%46%44%
PPG when scoring first2.082.232.192.10
PPG when conceding first0.950.800.300.25
Came back from behind46%50%27%23%
Leads held63%62%64%60%
Minutes leading31%30%18%14%
Minutes level46%43%51%51%
Minutes trailing23%26%31%34%
First goal (min)37385054
First goal conceded (min)40374138
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%49%61%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%51%55%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.370.480.280.22
Late goals against0.410.350.280.43
Style
Possession48%51%50%47%
Shots11.314.112.29.0
On target3.84.83.73.0
Shot conversion13%13%9%12%
Shots inside box66%68%65%63%
Big chances created2.32.81.61.3
Corners4.55.25.65.0
xG from set plays32%36%40%40%
Goals from headers29%38%16%12%
Pressure index10.113.111.78.5
Dominant minutes41.951.349.742.4
Pass accuracy78%80%74%74%
Fouls9.78.810.210.5
Cards1.591.261.932.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Wrexham

0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1212
46–60'138
61–75'79
76–90'1719

Portsmouth

0–15'59
16–30'512
31–45'98
46–60'814
61–75'98
76–90'1313

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Wrexham · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135

Situations

At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04

Portsmouth · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.016
Early press (0-15, level)-0.056
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.403

Game state

When ahead+0.163
When level+0.056
When behind-0.153
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.024

Situations

At home-0.013
Away+0.033
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.052
v bottom-tier opponents+0.044
Evenly matched-0.004

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.013
Conceded late (76+)-0.286

Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level +0.11 · Behind vs level -0.20

Wrexham

Current: winless 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 50%1.611.571.391.171.25
3-5-28 17%0.50.881.880.962.43
3-5-1-16 13%1.51.171.51.641.12
3-1-4-23 6%2.332.00.670.91.43
3-4-1-23 6%1.671.331.01.341.59

Portsmouth

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-143 94%1.261.091.31.181.23
3-4-2-12 4%0.51.01.51.461.28
3-4-31 2%0.00.05.00.341.67

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 45% P 45%3.25Draw 29% P 29%3.6Away 26% P 26%

Double Chance

1.3Wrexham or Draw 22% P 37%1.8Tie or Portsmouth 16% P 36%1.3Wrexham or Portsmouth 22% P 36%1.28Wrexham or Tie 23% P 36%1.7Draw or Portsmouth 17% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51% P 48%1.9No 49% P 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 43%1.8Under 53% P 57%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.9Over 49%1.8Under 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 853 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home45%46%44%-1.8
Draw29%28%30%+1.8
Away26%26%26%+0.0

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.543%44%43%-1.2

Tom Reeves

Career
26 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
3.04 (3.0 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
18.8 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
56%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 10 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.94.05-0.2841
Fouls / match21.221.8-0.61
Fouls per card5.45.4-0.17 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.17+0.3069
Time added8.17.2+1.0286
First card
36' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 42% in last 15'
Cards to home side
56% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-14 60 150 14'8
2026-01-10 20 170 60'5
2025-12-09 · Portsmouth 50 150 13'8
2025-12-07 30 200 30'8
2025-11-29 · Wrexham 40 170 64'6
2025-11-25 10 180 89'8
2025-10-18 31 210 7'9