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Championship · Matchweek 34

Momentum

BBRBristol City
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
34

Venue

Stadium
Ewood Park, Blackburn
Capacity
31,367
Surface
grass
Attendance
10,999

Teams

Coaches
Michael O'Neill · Gerhard Struber
Position
20 · 12
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Matt Donohue

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
9.9° (feels 9.3°)
Wind
1.8
Humidity
84%

Where to watch · 184

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Blackburn Rovers

LWLWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 4 · xG 4.97–5.98 · xPts 6.58

  • W H Preston North End 1–0 xG 1.33–0.18 UK CHAMP
  • W A Queens Park Rangers 3–1 xG 0.98–2.92 UK CHAMP
  • L A Norwich City 0–2 xG 0.43–1.13 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 xG 1.35–0.43 UK CHAMP
  • L H Hull City 0–1 xG 0.87–1.32 UK CHAMP

Bristol City

WLWDL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 10 · xG 5.18–6.72 · xPts 6.03

  • L A Swansea City 0–1 xG 0.94–1.08 UK CHAMP
  • D H Wrexham 2–2 xG 0.44–0.96 UK CHAMP
  • W A Hull City 3–2 xG 1.41–1.32 UK CHAMP
  • L H Derby County 0–5 xG 0.49–2.77 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 2–0 xG 1.9–0.59 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 23 matches since 2012

Blackburn Rovers 95 draws9 Bristol City

Goals 32–30 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Blackburn Rovers 32 draws5 Bristol City

Goals 12–16 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Blackburn Rovers 20 draws3 Bristol City

Goals 6–9 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 0–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 2–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 3–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 5–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 2–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Bristol City 1–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 2–3 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 0–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Bristol City 1–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBlackburn Rovers all · 46Blackburn Rovers at home · 23Bristol City all · 46Bristol City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.130.911.351.35
W / D / L13 / 13 / 204 / 9 / 1017 / 11 / 188 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match0.910.831.281.13
Goals against / match1.221.171.281.22
Clean sheets26%22%30%26%
Failed to score35%30%33%35%
Both teams scored48%56%46%52%
Over 2.539%30%46%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.201.261.181.16
xG against / match1.301.151.481.46
xG difference-0.100.11-0.29-0.31
Finishing vs xG-0.28-0.430.10-0.03
xPts / match1.321.461.201.19
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.540.150.16
Game state
Scored first46%39%39%35%
PPG when scoring first1.761.222.332.50
PPG when conceding first0.520.670.670.67
Came back from behind26%38%31%33%
Leads held56%40%77%80%
Minutes leading21%14%30%28%
Minutes level55%61%41%43%
Minutes trailing24%24%29%29%
First goal (min)44513236
First goal conceded (min)49533029
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%58%46%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half59%52%44%39%
Late goals for (76'+)0.220.350.240.13
Late goals against0.390.430.240.17
Style
Possession48%48%49%46%
Shots11.511.612.211.7
On target3.23.24.14.2
Shot conversion8%7%10%10%
Shots inside box67%69%60%62%
Big chances created2.01.71.91.9
Corners5.35.84.85.0
xG from set plays27%30%24%29%
Goals from headers27%26%21%20%
Pressure index10.110.711.99.3
Dominant minutes44.645.843.939.0
Pass accuracy74%73%78%76%
Fouls10.59.89.510.3
Cards2.172.001.832.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Blackburn Rovers

0–15'54
16–30'67
31–45'1112
46–60'69
61–75'46
76–90'1018

Bristol City

0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Blackburn Rovers · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.512
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.353

Game state

When ahead-0.145
When level+0.067
When behind+0.155
10 min after conceding+0.236
10 min after scoring+0.556

Situations

At home+0.004
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.282
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.016
Evenly matched+0.125
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.067
Conceded when ahead+0.045
Conceded late (76+)-0.057

Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.09

Bristol City · 8 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.378
Early press (0-15, level)+0.568
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.105
When level+0.478
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.087
10 min after scoring+0.496

Situations

At home+0.154
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.423
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.244
As favourite+0.193
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.148
Conceded when ahead-0.285
Conceded late (76+)-0.408

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level +0.04

Blackburn Rovers

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-1-217 37%1.060.941.291.311.11
4-2-3-113 28%1.080.921.231.131.34
3-4-2-112 26%1.170.831.081.151.35
3-5-22 4%1.51.51.01.062.12
3-1-4-21 2%0.00.03.00.782.71

Bristol City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 54%1.481.441.41.161.42
4-2-3-18 17%1.131.251.380.971.51
3-5-25 11%0.81.01.01.521.38
3-4-1-24 9%1.00.751.51.481.44
4-2-2-21 2%3.02.00.00.962.9

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.37Home 40% P 39%3.1Draw 30% P 30%3.1Away 30% P 31%

Double Chance

1.36Blackburn or Draw 21% P 34%1.36Blackburn or Tie 21% P 35%1.61Tie or Bristol City 18% P 35%1.36Blackburn or Bristol City 21% P 35%1.53Draw or Bristol City 19% P 31%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 47%1.83No 50% P 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 40%1.66Under 57% P 60%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51% P 53%1.9Under 49% P 47%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 30–32.5% · 800 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home39%39%39%-0.2
Draw30%30%31%+1.5
Away31%31%30%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes47%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.540%41%41%-0.4

Matt Donohue

Career
202 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.26 (4.07 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
23.4 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 134 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.634.05+1.0490
Fouls / match23.021.8+0.97
Fouls per card5.05.4-0.77 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.4026
Time added7.27.2-0.0245
First card
36' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-14 20 140 3'4
2026-01-31 20 180 11'6
2026-01-20 30 240 68'11
2026-01-17 70 210 29'13
2026-01-07 30 261 43'7
2025-12-29 30 250 41'6
2025-12-26 50 260 46'4
2025-12-20 60 271 19'7
2025-12-12 10 180 65'6
2025-11-28 18 7