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Championship · Matchweek 35

Momentum

BRCMID
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
35

Venue

Stadium
St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Capacity
29,409
Surface
grass
Attendance
26,918

Teams

Coaches
Chris Davies · Kim Hellberg
Position
11 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-1-2

Referee

Thomas Kirk

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
8.6° (feels 8.6°)
Wind
0.5
Humidity
88%

Where to watch · 407

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Birmingham City

WDDWL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 9.76–8.71 · xPts 7.55

  • L A Millwall 0–3 xG 0.24–1.46 UK CHAMP
  • W A Norwich City 2–1 xG 1.5–1.9 UK CHAMP
  • D H Leeds United 1–1 lost on pens None–None xG 4.56–4.32 UK FA Cup
  • D H West Bromwich Albion 0–0 xG 1.42–0.49 UK CHAMP
  • W H Leicester City 2–1 xG 2.04–0.54 UK CHAMP

Middlesbrough

WWLDD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 6.98–5.07 · xPts 8.29

  • D H Leicester City 1–1 xG 1.39–0.64 UK CHAMP
  • D H Oxford United 0–0 xG 1.99–1.04 UK CHAMP
  • L A Coventry City 1–3 xG 1.37–1.98 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield United 2–1 xG 1.44–1.05 UK CHAMP
  • W H Norwich City 1–0 xG 0.78–0.36 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 36 matches since 2002

Birmingham City 105 draws21 Middlesbrough

Goals 40–55 · 2.64 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Birmingham City 20 draws8 Middlesbrough

Goals 7–17 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Birmingham City 00 draws5 Middlesbrough

Goals 3–10 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Birmingham City 1–3 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 2–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 0–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 1–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 1–3 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 1–0 Birmingham City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 0–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 0–2 Birmingham City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 0–1 Birmingham City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 1–4 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBirmingham City all · 46Birmingham City at home · 23Middlesbrough all · 49Middlesbrough away · 25
Results
Matches46234925
Points per game1.391.911.651.52
W / D / L17 / 13 / 1612 / 8 / 322 / 15 / 1210 / 8 / 7
Goals for / match1.241.701.491.56
Goals against / match1.220.961.021.28
Clean sheets22%30%29%16%
Failed to score24%9%26%24%
Both teams scored56%65%55%64%
Over 2.546%48%53%64%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.491.911.591.55
xG against / match1.141.001.051.15
xG difference0.350.910.530.40
Finishing vs xG-0.25-0.21-0.100.01
xPts / match1.571.921.701.60
Points vs xPts-0.18-0.01-0.04-0.08
Game state
Scored first50%78%53%52%
PPG when scoring first2.352.332.462.31
PPG when conceding first0.410.250.670.64
Came back from behind33%40%46%50%
Leads held71%67%79%71%
Minutes leading28%44%32%31%
Minutes level42%46%49%47%
Minutes trailing31%10%19%22%
First goal (min)39303736
First goal conceded (min)35464645
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%44%51%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half39%50%55%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.170.220.28
Late goals against0.150.170.290.28
Style
Possession54%55%59%58%
Shots13.617.316.215.3
On target4.15.74.84.5
Shot conversion9%10%9%10%
Shots inside box64%63%64%65%
Big chances created2.43.02.42.5
Corners5.86.66.85.8
xG from set plays30%29%24%18%
Goals from headers21%24%12%10%
Pressure index14.418.319.718.4
Dominant minutes54.364.063.163.2
Pass accuracy77%77%84%84%
Fouls11.711.09.39.5
Cards2.112.001.612.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Birmingham City

0–15'1010
16–30'1112
31–45'812
46–60'98
61–75'87
76–90'117

Middlesbrough

0–15'97
16–30'1010
31–45'175
46–60'136
61–75'138
76–90'1113

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Birmingham City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.127
Early press (0-15, level)+0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.194
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.552

Game state

When ahead+0.152
When level+0.247
When behind-0.295
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.296

Situations

At home-0.063
Away+0.274
3 days rest or fewer+0.362
4+ days rest+0.035

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.155
v bottom-tier opponents+0.072
Evenly matched+0.093
As underdog+0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.207

Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.53

Middlesbrough · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697

Situations

At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417

Congested vs rested +0.62 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77

Birmingham City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 87%1.381.331.281.541.16
4-4-22 4%1.50.50.51.160.61
4-4-1-12 4%1.51.01.51.730.5
4-1-4-11 2%3.01.00.00.831.5
3-4-31 2%0.00.01.00.251.91

Middlesbrough

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 29%1.431.140.931.521.11
4-2-3-111 22%2.452.00.731.541.13
4-2-2-28 16%0.750.630.881.921.08
4-4-25 10%2.42.41.61.131.07
4-3-33 6%2.331.670.01.250.75

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.62Home 36% P 35%3.6Draw 26% P 28%2.45Away 38% P 37%

Double Chance

1.53Birmingham or Draw 30% P 32%1.25Birmingham or Middlesbrough 37% P 36%1.44Draw or Middlesbrough 32% P 33%

Draw No Bet

1.91 49%1.82 51%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 56%2.2No 42% P 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 51%2.0Under 47% P 49%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 35–37.5% · 584 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home35%36%35%-0.6
Draw28%28%28%+0.2
Away37%36%36%+0.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes56%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Thomas Kirk

Career
51 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.55 (4.39 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.444.05+0.7074
Fouls / match21.721.8-0.12
Fouls per card4.95.4-0.98 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.17+0.3974
Time added8.07.2+0.9178
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-22 81 321 15'11
2026-02-15 70 291 33'7
2026-02-08 40 240 12'4
2026-01-26 30 190 18'11
2026-01-21 40 250 53'7
2026-01-11 70 310 51'13
2026-01-07 62 280 43'10
2026-01-01 60 240 30'8
2025-12-26 60 200 16'11
2025-12-13 30 180 31'10